DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.5 - - 61.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 285 - - 139 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3585 - - 5466 - - 5459 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5264 - - 6786 - - 6390 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6578 - - 8459 - - 8452 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3121 - - 3926 - - 3579 - - 6450 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 480 - - 380 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 309 - - 315 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -14 - - -6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 119 - - -22 - - 147 - - -3734 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6460 - - 8481 - - 8306 - - 6686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -855 - - -821 - - -661 - - -5367 ODpotential blCL - - - 7433 - - 9280 - - 9113 - - 8319 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 70 - - 90 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.5 - - 61.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 33.5 - - 34.9 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 58.6 - - 59.9 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 32.8 - - 34.3 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 285 - - 139 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3585 - - 5466 - - 5459 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 77 - - 58 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97812 4 197 3 243 5 101 7 147 97812 90453 8 141 6 173 1 204 6 054 90453 84808 10 120 13 105 6 224 8 011 84808 80109 7 119 7 103 9 191 5 298 80109 76053 3 143 4 318 8 160 6 244 76053 72459 3 209 2 353 4 178 6 176 72459 69186 5 201 2 168 2 324 7 116 69186 66152 9 190 10 212 8 264 1 052 66152 63324 8 184 14 200 12 235 5 230 63324 60569 10 204 14 200 14 221 11 223 60569 57675 12 215 13 201 14 221 10 239 57675 54666 14 230 11 225 13 225 12 253 54666 51796 16 238 12 241 9 247 11 262 51796 49222 15 258 14 255 10 265 8 259 49222 46921 17 263 13 260 10 284 6 302 46921 44843 12 268 9 272 11 307 7 335 44843 42949 12 276 11 284 12 324 15 345 42949 41209 8 297 14 292 16 330 17 350 41209 39605 9 341 16 311 19 337 20 356 39605 38119 19 348 19 331 22 339 30 358 38119 36740 30 350 24 348 24 336 37 354 36740 35434 37 353 30 351 24 337 38 354 35434 34129 41 355 32 347 26 344 37 351 34129 32794 43 357 32 346 28 346 35 348 32794 31425 42 357 33 347 28 345 34 347 31425 30008 41 356 35 347 29 344 33 346 30008 28530 40 354 37 349 28 345 31 345 28530 26992 38 353 35 350 28 348 29 344 26992 25393 35 352 33 350 29 348 28 344 25393 23734 30 349 31 347 31 346 29 345 23734 22017 27 347 29 344 29 343 29 346 22017 20236 24 344 25 339 25 336 27 345 20236 18388 21 346 21 334 22 330 23 341 18388 16510 17 350 17 333 19 328 21 339 16510 14703 14 352 15 338 15 328 19 328 14703 13062 15 352 15 334 16 310 20 306 13062 11603 18 339 16 317 18 307 25 297 11603 10303 19 322 17 313 19 307 24 305 10303 9139 17 324 17*311 19*308 23 311 9139 8099 16 331 17*310 19*310 21 317 8099 7169 17*330 16 309 19 311 19 322 7169 6342 17*324 16 309 18 313 18 328 6342 5606 18 318 16 309 18 315 17 333 5606 4942 18 314 16 309 18 317 17 337 4942 4350 18 313 16 309 17 318 16 341 4350 3853 17 313 15 310 17 319 16 343 3853 3470 17 312 14 310 16 320 14 345 3470 3204 16 313 14 311 16 321 12 343 3204 3043 15 313 13 311 15 321 9*342 3043 2951 12 313 11 312 12 321 5*338 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography