DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.0 - - 72.1 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 258 - - 115 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4618 - - 4818 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4289 - - 4005 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5818 - - 6018 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1584 - - 1826 - - 4890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 438 - - 344 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 170 - - 170 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 694 - - 397 - - -2324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5124 - - 5621 - - 3558 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -408 - - -817 - - -3529 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6226 - - 6835 - - 4763 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 89 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.0 - - 72.1 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 51.8 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.9 - - 71.8 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.0 - - 51.0 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 258 - - 115 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4618 - - 4818 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 46 - - 58 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98013 19 129 8 099 18 084 98013 90567 9 069 3 085 11 057 90567 84879 4 013 7 051 7 061 84879 80153 2 111 9 023 8 040 80153 76072 12 065 5 020 8 025 76072 72471 17 051 4 042 3 008 72471 69205 11 014 9 020 5 000 69205 66197 14 336 15 358 11 006 66197 63414 15 326 17 350 16 356 63414 60731 15 321 18 341 16 342 60731 57944 15 312 18 313 16 328 57944 55053 15 304 19 292 20 306 55053 52297 17 292 18 290 22 293 52297 49820 17 296 15 285 19 292 49820 47601 18 307 14 272 17 290 47601 45598 18 306 12 264 11 274 45598 43779 16 286 7 274 5 219 43779 42111 17 232 11 245 1 242 42111 40569 10 208 11 205 10 189 40569 39134 3 333 11 194 13 173 39134 37783 7 310 9 206 10 166 37783 36472 10 278 7 229 7 164 36472 35135 12 253 7 244 4 146 35135 33744 13 248 8 242 2 129 33744 32302 13 255 8 236 3 120 32302 30792 12 266 7 245 7 130 30792 29205 11 275 7 253 8 144 29205 27540 8 280 7 261 9 152 27540 25797 2 226 6 254 10 173 25797 23978 7 153 7 185 15 187 23978 22083 11 152 11 170 13 199 22083 20110 16 153 16 157 10 182 20110 18060 17 149 17 148 13 158 18060 15974 18 150 17 145 15 176 15974 13967 22 155 21 149 16 196 13967 12142 26 151 24 158 17 191 12142 10521 29 149 24 171 17 183 10521 9081 34 158 28 176 18 184 9081 7803 34 169 28 173 19 181 7803 6673 28*174 22*171 20 175 6673 5672 24*173 19*170 20 169 5672 4790 20 170 19 170 20 165 4790 4009 19 170 18 170 19 164 4009 3309 19 169 18 170 18 163 3309 2688 18 169 18 170 18 162 2688 2169 18 168 17 170 16 162 2169 1770 17 168 16 170 14 161 1770 1496 15 168 15 170 11 159 1496 1329 14 168 13 170 8*156 1329 1234 10 168 9 169 4*153 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography