DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/06 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.0 - - 75.3 - - 81.4 - - 80.5 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 63 - - 370 - - 461 - - 273 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 289 - - 2083 - - 5482 - - 3057 - - 465 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4360 - - 7072 - - 4998 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3350 - - 5145 - - 8544 - - 6119 - - 3527 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 489 - - 1927 - - 2512 - - 4527 - - 801 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 381 - - 566 - - 392 - - 62 W* B/S 9 - - 65 - - 36 - - 14 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 178 - - 169 - - 251 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 15 - - 33 - - 22 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3249 - - -4004 - - -1904 - - -3591 - - -3482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6599 - - 9149 - - 10448 - - 9710 - - 7009 sfcLCL ODpotential -9291 - - -7296 - - -4655 - - -6082 - - -8097 ODpotential blCL 12641 - - 12441 - - 13199 - - 12201 - - 11624 blCL maxRH 52 - - 45 - - 47 - - 50 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.0 - - 75.3 - - 81.4 - - 80.5 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.8 - - 45.8 - - 45.9 - - 48.4 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.4 - - 72.9 - - 78.7 - - 78.6 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.1 - - 47.8 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 63 - - 370 - - 461 - - 273 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 289 - - 2083 - - 5482 - - 3057 - - 465 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98433 32 100 19 114 23 106 15 126 15 118 98433 91059 23 091 25 114 15 110 19 107 19 106 91059 85397 16 085 19 100 17 135 17 109 16 102 85397 80658 13 112 7 125 10 110 15 122 8 126 80658 76559 12 121 9 150 5 123 11 105 7 105 76559 72931 9 150 10 167 7 148 8 125 7 119 72931 69640 9 148 12 160 10 187 4 229 4 114 69640 66612 5 142 10 144 11 192 8 248 2 268 66612 63816 7 215 3 176 9 171 10 230 7 265 63816 61134 10 227 9 252 8 232 12 226 10 253 61134 58351 12 247 12 257 13 243 14 235 14 241 58351 55461 17 258 14 261 16 244 18 244 18 238 55461 52703 23 263 17 260 19 245 23 243 21 237 52703 50228 26 264 20 261 21 249 25 245 23 236 50228 48016 26 264 23 259 22 249 25 247 24 239 48016 46012 26 263 27 258 24 253 25 248 25 240 46012 44178 27 259 30 256 27 253 25 247 25 240 44178 42488 29 254 31 254 29 252 24 245 26 239 42488 40920 30 252 34 252 32 252 23 248 25 239 40920 39454 28 254 36 249 33 252 25 253 22 244 39454 38079 26 255 32 247 33 251 27 253 22 251 38079 36756 23 256 27 247 29 247 26 251 19 254 36756 35421 22 255 25 247 26 243 23 243 15 247 35421 34045 21 253 24 248 24 239 20 235 14 240 34045 32630 19 255 21 252 21 239 19 230 15 234 32630 31162 17 263 19 256 19 243 16 229 15 231 31162 29628 16 269 18 258 17 245 10 219 12 229 29628 28031 15 270 16 257 16 242 9 222 8 213 28031 26369 14 272 12 255 13 237 8 218 8 196 26369 24645 11 273 9 244 10 224 8 203 10 197 24645 22865 10 258 8 241 7 211 8 200 9 204 22865 21024 12 243 7 214 9 195 10 201 9 213 21024 19115 11 233 9 201 11 179 11 181 9 193 19115 17172 10 211 12 190 13 174 12 167 10 164 17172 15302 8 197 13 183 13 171 14 163 14 151 15302 13599 7 177 13 174 14 170 14 166 17 150 13599 12081 5 178 10 167 13 171 13 176 16 158 12081 10726 5 194 8 168 10 173 9 176 13 174 10726 9515 4 199 7 174 6*166 4 132 10 190 9515 8430 6 168 6 162 4*138 5 092 7 185 8430 7461 8 141 9 138 4 131 4 077 6 104 7461 6600 9 122 9 129 3 133 3*066 8 063 6600 5832 9 102 7*117 3 145 1*299 8 045 5832 5140 9 082 3*098 3 175 3 265 6 016 5140 4525 7 080 2 111 3 200 6 251 6 333 4525 4009 4 089 1 206 4 210 7 249 6 295 4009 3613 1*203 2 220 4 214 7 248 7*275 3613 3340 2*241 2 227 4 217 7 247 7*271 3340 3174 2 246 2 232 4 217 7 247 7 270 3174 3078 2 248 2 231 4 218 7 246 5 269 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography