DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.6 - - 72.8 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3822 - - 1527 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1750 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3902 - - 1607 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2523 - - 2233 - - 4265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 269 - - 131 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 175 - - 212 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1322 - - 704 - - -441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2580 - - 903 - - 541 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 248 - - -301 - - -1143 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3654 - - 1908 - - 1243 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2150 - - 2090 - - 2820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.6 - - 72.8 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.3 - - 68.8 - - 70.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.5 - - 72.8 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.0 - - 68.2 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3822 - - 1527 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 81 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98058 4 165 4 171 8 196 98058 90571 5 194 5 031 4 119 90571 84835 5 148 3 299 9 041 84835 80087 6 084 2 275 10 012 80087 76003 8 056 3 028 6 003 76003 72413 11 045 4 028 5 014 72413 69180 10 031 3 037 5 346 69180 66222 7 003 6 025 7 357 66222 63481 7 324 5 009 7 343 63481 60829 7 312 10 339 5 325 60829 58071 8 282 14 290 10 322 58071 55207 8 288 12 261 13 293 55207 52462 13 260 11 254 13 269 52462 49978 14 245 11 250 13 242 49978 47740 17 227 14 240 13 237 47740 45703 20 211 14 224 12 224 45703 43838 27 205 17 223 9 248 43838 42119 31 195 23 209 17 266 42119 40526 28 192 23 196 17 235 40526 39041 28 202 20 221 12 201 39041 37648 33 200 27 218 10 236 37648 36315 32 197 27 195 19 229 36315 34970 28 197 17 178 21 210 34970 33575 28 200 18 180 17 199 33575 32122 27 202 19 181 17 195 32122 30594 25 200 22 188 15 198 30594 28979 23 201 21 196 16 198 28979 27281 22 204 19 200 18 196 27281 25498 21 202 18 201 19 193 25498 23632 19 195 16 201 20 194 23632 21683 19 190 15 204 19 193 21683 19647 20 194 15 206 16 190 19647 17522 22 203 15 199 17 196 17522 15358 23 212 17 189 19 202 15358 13279 21 209 17 187 18 198 13279 11390 18 196 16 188 17 192 11390 9711 18 197 15 184 19 192 9711 8219 18 201 16 182 19 202 8219 6893 17 201 17 186 17 204 6893 5718 16 196 17 188 15 201 5718 4678 15*191 16 190 14 199 4678 3761 12*181 16 194 13 196 3761 2951 10 177 17 200 12 192 2951 2227 10 174 17*209 11 192 2227 1588 9 174 17*211 11 192 1588 1056 8 173 16 212 8 184 1056 648 8 173 15 213 7 176 648 368 7 173 13 213 6 162 368 197 7 172 12 212 5*153 197 100 6 172 8 213 3*144 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography