DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.2 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 564 - - 558 - - 230 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11343 - - 12033 - - 11923 - - 467 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15612 - - 16181 - - 15535 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18028 - - 18718 - - 18608 - - 7152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1231 - - 1408 - - 913 - - 4425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 792 - - 805 - - 598 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 29 - - 28 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 262 - - 280 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -16 - - -18 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2539 - - 3849 - - 3209 - - -2849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15490 - - 14870 - - 15400 - - 10001 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1449 - - 2605 - - 1715 - - -5354 ODpotential blCL - - - 16579 - - 16113 - - 16893 - - 12506 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 93 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 90 - - 40 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.2 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.6 - - 14.4 - - 10.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 54.0 - - 54.1 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.0 - - 14.1 - - 10.6 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 564 - - 558 - - 230 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11343 - - 12033 - - 11923 - - 467 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 89 - - 70 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97841 9 180 17 211 12 266 13 312 97841 90443 8 235 7 265 5 314 4 261 90443 84782 5 237 7 288 3 337 3 112 84782 80094 6 257 5 210 4 292 5 036 80094 76055 7 187 10 160 5 219 4 039 76055 72477 10 127 9 146 8 150 2 098 72477 69225 5 125 9 142 10 163 2 087 69225 66232 6 148 6 164 11 149 3 179 66232 63459 4 151 6 200 8 203 8 202 63459 60783 4 124 6 143 9 185 10 212 60783 57977 10 224 11 227 17 218 17 220 57977 55029 25 225 21 218 23 219 27 235 55029 52198 28 183 20 245 31 236 38 237 52198 49653 25 241 35 237 41 238 40 241 49653 47372 50 240 48 234 46 242 42 245 47372 45299 63 233 54 237 52 249 45 250 45299 43404 68 233 59 243 60 253 56 257 43404 41665 70 237 67 248 67 254 70 259 41665 40058 76 243 77 251 72 257 80 259 40058 38563 84 245 89 254 81 262 89 260 38563 37173 93 246 101 255 93 263 97 262 37173 35857 101 247 110 254 102 261 106 262 35857 34553 108 247 111 252 101 258 107 261 34553 33233 110 246 110 251 97 257 99 261 33233 31901 109 244 108 250 94 259 94 263 31901 30542 111 243 105 250 95 260 94 264 30542 29147 113 242 103 250 94 261 89 264 29147 27719 110 240 102 250 93 260 83 266 27719 26256 106 237 102 248 92 258 82 268 26256 24761 102 233 100 250 89 258 81 269 24761 23240 94 230 84 254 79 262 73 272 23240 21699 80 228 60 253 61 264 56 273 21699 20138 62 227 42*250 42*263 43 268 20138 18578 41*233 30*254 29*274 36 263 18578 17089 34*237 29 256 28 278 33 262 17089 15735 31 241 29 257 28 279 31 267 15735 14521 30 242 29 258 28 280 30 272 14521 13427 29 244 29 260 28 280 30 276 13427 12434 29 245 29 262 28 281 30 279 12434 11532 29 246 29 264 28 281 30 282 11532 10713 28 247 29 266 28 282 30 286 10713 9974 28 248 29 267 28 282 30 291 9974 9305 28 248 29 268 28 283 30 297 9305 8691 28 249 29 269 27 283 29 304 8691 8138 27 249 29 270 27 283 28 313 8138 7668 26 249 28 270 26 283 26 318 7668 7301 26 249 27 271 26 283 23*319 7301 7045 25 249 27 271 25 283 20*320 7045 6888 23 250 25 271 23 283 17 320 6888 6798 20 249 21 271 18 283 11 320 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography