DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.5 - - 97.1 - - 93.3 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 177 - - -28 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1936 - - 3543 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2494 - - 3535 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3321 - - 4928 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 714 - - 2896 - - 5250 - - 1015 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 365 - - 52 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 196 - - 159 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3278 - - -3986 - - -5915 - - -2903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6599 - - 8915 - - 7496 - - 4484 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7339 - - -7127 - - -9606 - - -9118 ODpotential blCL - - - 10660 - - 12055 - - 11186 - - 10698 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 74 - - 65 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 2720 - - 2460 - - 2980 - - 3160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.5 - - 97.1 - - 93.3 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.7 - - 63.1 - - 65.6 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 95.5 - - 94.2 - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 61.8 - - 64.6 - - 67.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 177 - - -28 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1936 - - 3543 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97989 11 223 13 247 14 257 8 269 97989 90541 9 233 12 274 10 295 9 301 90541 84797 3 302 5 257 7 325 5 328 84797 80046 9 075 5 105 5 357 4 018 80046 75961 13 056 11 092 4 077 5 003 75961 72375 9 058 19 082 10 091 12 081 72375 69168 2 327 10 072 11 086 13 093 69168 66245 7 198 4 185 7 104 9 086 66245 63524 17 211 14 244 10 263 8 310 63524 60913 21 207 25 241 23 243 26 260 60913 58229 18 231 21 213 29 243 29 240 58229 55449 36 271 42 263 39 267 30 265 55449 52804 62 262 58 261 47 272 50 273 52804 50436 57 263 64 269 53 273 63 269 50436 48322 59 276 68 272 65 274 68 267 48322 46396 70 280 76 276 77 274 74 269 46396 44618 77 280 81 274 80 271 80 268 44618 42963 76 277 79 272 77 267 80 266 42963 41408 74 275 74 271 75 266 77 268 41408 39941 76 274 73 268 73 265 73 271 39941 38552 75 275 72 264 72 263 71 273 38552 37203 71 278 70 266 72 263 72 270 37203 35829 64 277 63 271 71 265 72 265 35829 34406 57 269 58 269 67 267 67 261 34406 32936 51 267 50 270 58 271 55 261 32936 31407 48 271 47 269 48 273 45 267 31407 29809 47 266 42 265 43 274 42 278 29809 28141 46 262 42 267 39 271 37 277 28141 26402 36 264 39 263 31 266 31 264 26402 24594 32 275 32 264 28 267 28 259 24594 22722 28 283 28 269 33 272 28 259 22722 20777 25 293 29 269 35 271 35 252 20777 18750 22 303 24 274 30 259 37 248 18750 16677 20 292 16 267 29 250 37 248 16677 14671 20 265 12 255 21 236 35 248 14671 12835 18 239 23 226 18 224 32 248 12835 11194 19 235 27 222 27 227 28 248 11194 9728 20 227 23 213 32 222 25 246 9728 8417 23 214 27 208 31 212 22 239 8417 7247 29 216 29 207 27 204 21 221 7247 6207 30 223 24 202 21 184 24 207 6207 5288 26 226 17*195 20 177 25 196 5288 4473 20 226 14*193 20 172 24 186 4473 3742 14*217 13 194 20 169 22 174 3742 3095 12*211 12 195 20 166 25 162 3095 2555 12 210 11 197 19 164 26 156 2555 2139 11 210 11 198 18 162 24 154 2139 1853 10 210 10 199 15 161 20 154 1853 1679 10 210 9 199 12 160 14*153 1679 1580 9 210 8 200 8*159 8*151 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography