DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 51.4 - - 51.7 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 239 - - 207 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2807 - - 3886 - - 3958 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4889 - - 5904 - - 5896 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6210 - - 7289 - - 7361 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2526 - - 3038 - - 2512 - - 4423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 404 - - 388 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 324 - - 325 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 405 - - 526 - - 296 - - -2253 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5805 - - 6763 - - 7065 - - 5810 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -361 - - 16 - - -309 - - -3392 ODpotential blCL - - - 6571 - - 7273 - - 7670 - - 6949 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 51.4 - - 51.7 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 34.2 - - 33.2 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 49.7 - - 50.3 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 34.0 - - 33.0 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 239 - - 207 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2807 - - 3886 - - 3958 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 84 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97853 2 137 6 329 4 143 4 022 97853 90450 5 157 4 270 3 077 3 337 90450 84798 5 120 4 147 2 026 3 054 84798 80108 5 117 6 118 2 231 6 053 80108 76050 4 148 5 088 3 160 4 069 76050 72448 4 171 2 133 4 182 3 108 72448 69161 2 181 4 183 6 240 3 159 69161 66118 5 207 7 193 10 246 4 228 66118 63278 7 231 7 213 6 267 4 234 63278 60517 9 232 8 218 10 261 8 273 60517 57636 9 261 6 277 5 311 5 284 57636 54649 11 273 14 293 15 317 12 324 54649 51813 6 312 10 312 11 313 12 338 51813 49268 16 339 20 336 12 347 20 346 49268 46997 19 337 23 339 22 346 26 344 46997 44946 20 345 27 340 23 344 29 345 44946 43078 22 348 27 339 30 353 34 351 43078 41371 22 356 26 344 37 358 44 005 41371 39805 29 357 30 353 45 003 60 011 39805 38359 36 351 36 353 60 003 79 011 38359 37014 43 343 42 352 63 001 87 009 37014 35731 45 341 48 354 66 003 84 008 35731 34439 47 342 52 353 70 005 78 007 34439 33108 48 340 53 354 70 006 72 011 33108 31740 47 340 54 357 67 004 70 013 31740 30320 46 344 55 359 63 003 64 010 30320 28839 47 349 55 000 59 002 57 006 28839 27302 46 353 54 001 55 000 52 000 27302 25709 42 353 50 002 51 358 49 357 25709 24060 37 346 45 003 47 358 47 355 24060 22358 35 341 38 002 41 359 44 355 22358 20595 33 347 32 358 35 358 40 353 20595 18768 30 353 30 352 31 357 37 349 18768 16908 25 346 25 348 27 355 34 347 16908 15118 20 337 19 338 26 346 30 348 15118 13490 14 329 17 334 27 338 27 347 13490 12043 13 318 21 322 25 335 26 344 12043 10755 14 310 17 306 19 319 25 343 10755 9607 12 300 13 304 14 292 20 335 9607 8587 10 305 13 306 13 291 14 305 8587 7679 10 307 13*312 13*299 12 288 7679 6874 11*312 14*320 14*313 12 290 6874 6155 11*318 15 322 15 320 12 302 6155 5507 11 323 15 324 15 324 12 318 5507 4929 11 325 15 325 15 327 12 328 4929 4442 11 327 15 326 15 328 12 331 4442 4066 11 328 15 327 15 329 12 333 4066 3806 11 329 15 327 15 330 12 334 3806 3648 10 329 14 327 14 330 11*334 3648 3557 9 330 12 328 12 330 8*335 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography