DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 57.2 - - 61.6 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 72 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1814 - - 539 - - 735 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6114 - - 4839 - - 5035 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3509 - - 6824 - - 9143 - - 10208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 145 - - 126 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 073 - - 019 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - 10 - - -9 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1442 - - -4142 - - -5244 - - -6387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7557 - - 8981 - - 10279 - - 10482 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3277 - - -5973 - - -6805 - - -7314 ODpotential blCL - - - 9391 - - 10812 - - 11840 - - 11408 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 81 - - 83 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 57.2 - - 61.6 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 32.1 - - 30.7 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 56.5 - - 61.1 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 31.0 - - 29.6 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 72 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1814 - - 539 - - 735 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - 31 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97791 3 197 4 270 1 349 1 158 97791 90412 3 155 4 173 3 191 4 323 90412 84750 5 157 7 177 5 243 7 342 84750 80059 3 180 3 216 2 173 2 207 80059 76011 4 127 3 264 1 193 3 150 76011 72419 4 098 3 187 4 265 4 100 72419 69152 1 270 7 136 6 218 2 232 69152 66134 8 256 1 140 6 178 5 206 66134 63313 15 216 13 264 8 265 5 288 63313 60565 8 211 13 233 16 246 15 274 60565 57692 9 285 7 278 13 251 14 276 57692 54716 24 277 20 287 17 286 12 297 54716 51881 23 277 21 292 19 307 15 319 51881 49327 19 294 21 293 21 311 23 317 49327 47050 22 302 23 302 22 313 24 317 47050 44999 25 310 24 310 25 326 22 330 44999 43125 27 316 27 308 28 322 27 341 43125 41401 28 324 28 310 33 322 32 348 41401 39812 34 333 29 316 32 319 35 350 39812 38345 43 332 31 322 35 331 38 350 38345 36990 48 333 41 329 39 330 40 355 36990 35706 52 335 45 332 38 327 42 003 35706 34421 55 337 45 335 38 325 42 005 34421 33106 54 339 46 338 40 321 43 008 33106 31761 54 344 46 338 40 319 45 011 31761 30370 54 349 44 335 39 323 45 013 30370 28923 52 352 42 334 37 325 44 013 28923 27420 51 352 41 338 35 327 42 012 27420 25861 50 349 41 337 33 332 40 012 25861 24248 47 348 40 336 31 338 36 010 24248 22582 41 350 37 339 29 345 33 008 22582 20859 36 350 32 340 27 351 29 004 20859 19073 32 350 27 342 26 353 29 356 19073 17267 25 349 23 344 25 351 24 347 17267 15544 20 348 18 338 19 341 16 335 15544 13979 17 347 14 321 14 324 15 333 13979 12580 14 347 12 305 14 322 13 326 12580 11328 11 341 11 302 12 312 12 318 11328 10203 9 324 11 303 11 309 11 314 10203 9191 7 300 11 304 10 310 10 315 9191 8283 6 296 10 308 10 314 9 318 8283 7471 6 294 8 312 8 318 9 320 7471 6744 5*293 7 319 7 324 8 323 6744 6085 4*294 6 328 6 331 6 327 6085 5496 3 296 4 345 4*340 5 330 5496 5000 2 297 3*007 3*356 4 331 5000 4615 1 290 2*050 1 022 3 336 4615 4349 1 291 2 076 1 034 3 339 4349 4187 1 286 2 083 1 040 2*341 4187 4093 1 281 2 085 1 046 2*345 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography