DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 55.9 - - 62.1 - - 62.8 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 210 - - 281 - - 61 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3360 - - 6358 - - 6887 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 2155 - - 4561 - - 3751 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 3465 - - 6462 - - 6992 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2475 - - 3354 - - 2251 - - 1860 - - 6776 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 368 - - 494 - - 309 - - 10 W* B/S 7 - - 17 - - 22 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 355 - - 229 - - 282 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -9 - - 12 - - 16 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2472 - - -749 - - 40 - - 543 - - -3808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2593 - - 4214 - - 6423 - - 6449 - - 3931 sfcLCL ODpotential -3760 - - -2185 - - -181 - - 127 - - -4738 ODpotential blCL 3881 - - 5650 - - 6643 - - 6865 - - 4860 blCL maxRH 64 - - 65 - - 97 - - 100 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 55.9 - - 62.1 - - 62.8 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 38.0 - - 34.3 - - 35.0 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 54.6 - - 60.5 - - 62.3 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.9 - - 36.7 - - 33.2 - - 34.1 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 210 - - 281 - - 61 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3360 - - 6358 - - 6887 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 89 - - 100 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98277 8 103 13 213 7 205 16 241 11 293 98277 90881 4 171 5 228 7 198 6 208 5 263 90881 85164 7 160 8 188 11 252 4 338 3 125 85164 80389 5 134 6 194 9 216 6 308 4 098 80389 76255 5 115 9 232 8 217 6 272 3 277 76255 72608 2 072 9 207 9 223 5 253 5 255 72608 69303 7 230 9 183 9 210 9 236 11 252 69303 66257 9 241 8 222 7 232 7 214 11 268 66257 63434 12 251 14 270 11 264 11 272 15 277 63434 60693 9 261 18 283 19 286 14 277 15 271 60693 57822 14 278 16 299 19 289 19 298 19 307 57822 54857 20 307 20 310 26 302 28 304 30 310 54857 52051 30 308 22 308 27 299 33 306 33 315 52051 49522 33 305 28 314 23 310 37 315 40 317 49522 47241 33 316 34 327 33 318 44 321 44 311 47241 45174 38 321 40 330 40 324 50 321 50 318 45174 43299 44 326 47 329 47 335 57 327 64 319 43299 41585 52 322 50 329 54 336 65 328 67 317 41585 40003 54 320 51 333 68 333 68 334 89 331 40003 38536 55 325 56 341 84 335 103 339 107 328 38536 37159 54 326 66 348 94 339 109 336 115 327 37159 35830 55 338 81 352 101 342 105 340 123 332 35830 34480 67 341 94 352 106 341 114 343 133 335 34480 33071 68 337 105 351 105 341 117 343 127 334 33071 31605 68 345 104 353 96 344 113 342 118 332 31605 30071 73 347 87 355 85 345 104 344 106 335 30071 28462 70 342 69 357 79 346 79 336 91 339 28462 26774 60 342 66 000 69 352 72 329 76 334 26774 25000 51 345 69 358 61 350 67 332 68 327 25000 23141 43 344 68 357 58 342 57 337 66 324 23141 21205 35 345 64 000 57 343 49 332 58 329 21205 19190 34 353 56 003 55 347 46 326 45 330 19190 17090 36 359 44 000 49 345 44 325 44 328 17090 14951 31 354 37 353 43 343 41 329 41 330 14951 12897 26 344 29 348 33 347 37 335 35 336 12897 11034 24 339 20 342 22 344 28 334 29 339 11034 9386 22 339 16 334 17 314 15 317 22 335 9386 7935 17 343 15 330 12 282 8*305 13 320 7935 6656 11 350 13 338 11*280 8*299 5 304 6656 5526 11 002 11 340 8*264 8 294 3 316 5526 4525 15 012 10 339 6 250 8 287 4 312 4525 3642 19 015 7*342 5 237 8 281 5 300 3642 2863 16 013 5*344 4 225 8 278 7 290 2863 2167 12 015 4 351 4 214 8 276 9 283 2167 1553 10 027 4 354 4 203 8 275 10 278 1553 1041 8 045 4 359 3 191 8 273 11 274 1041 648 5 054 3 003 3 186 8 272 11 270 648 379 1 342 3 003 3 183 7 270 9 264 379 215 1*248 3 006 3 180 7 270 7*256 215 122 1*253 3 004 3 179 6 269 4*251 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography