DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 56.9 - - 56.5 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 46 - - 23 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 608 - - 444 - - 217 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2086 - - 2045 - - 1881 - - 1654 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 743 - - 802 - - 896 - - 744 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 125 - - 89 - - 64 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 121 - - 110 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 357 - - 111 - - 282 - - 188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1729 - - 1934 - - 1599 - - 1467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 89 - - -5118 - - -96 - - -5411 ODpotential blCL - - - 1997 - - 7163 - - 1977 - - 7065 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 90 - - 140 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 56.9 - - 56.5 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 53.0 - - 54.0 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 56.5 - - 56.4 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 52.8 - - 53.9 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 46 - - 23 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 608 - - 444 - - 217 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98117 9 192 12 203 11 234 12 291 98117 90748 6 197 11 212 18 251 11 263 90748 85046 7 295 9 240 15 249 10 261 85046 80298 8 304 11 264 6 269 10 284 80298 76225 1 307 3 275 3 083 4 287 76225 72656 5 087 1 036 7 086 2 315 72656 69435 3 041 4 012 7 074 2 059 69435 66476 2 031 5 010 1 242 5 329 66476 63744 7 336 10 030 1 172 7 263 63744 61100 14 321 16 330 9 341 6 326 61100 58329 16 316 16 302 13 303 12 298 58329 55422 26 306 23 284 26 277 21 274 55422 52618 31 284 27 272 32 272 30 261 52618 50080 24 277 30 267 38 269 31 267 50080 47811 27 283 34 262 36 264 30 265 47811 45776 33 267 31 262 30 248 32 250 45776 43941 33 247 36 247 37 238 37 245 43941 42267 35 240 39 229 41 231 38 234 42267 40721 44 238 35 226 38 226 38 224 40721 39280 44 239 33 219 36 222 35 216 39280 37923 40 238 34 219 35 218 31 218 37923 36607 32 238 32 222 32 221 29 224 36607 35268 31 231 25 223 29 224 25 226 35268 33875 32 220 19 223 25 222 24 229 33875 32430 24 218 19 233 21 225 29 234 32430 30917 21 219 17 231 17 233 32 234 30917 29324 21 215 15 225 18 229 29 236 29324 27653 20 217 15 220 20 228 25 240 27653 25901 17 222 15 223 20 224 21 246 25901 24073 14 223 17 234 18 225 25 244 24073 22170 15 203 18 228 17 220 26 245 22170 20191 15 195 19 217 18 211 19 243 20191 18134 13 218 21 219 18 222 15 225 18134 16042 15 230 19 227 19 227 11 217 16042 14030 13 233 17 226 18 228 10 217 14030 12204 14 227 17 219 18 226 11 221 12204 10581 13 222 17 213 18 220 15 213 10581 9139 13 231 17 206 18 210 18 208 9139 7856 16 232 17 200 18 202 20 207 7856 6715 17 224 16 198 18 200 20 206 6715 5703 16 213 15 198 18 197 20 195 5703 4813 14 206 14 198 18 191 20 183 4813 4027 11 199 12 183 17 176 19 174 4027 3328 9 163 13 150 15 152 16 159 3328 2713 11 134 14 132 14 129 14 133 2713 2204 11*126 13*124 11*116 13 114 2204 1815 10*126 11*122 9*111 12*110 1815 1547 9 126 10 121 8 110 10*109 1547 1385 8 126 9 121 7 110 9 109 1385 1293 6 127 7 122 5 111 6 110 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography