DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 WarnerSprings_CA 2850ft pt24748@-116.486,33.221,2753ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF SPONSORED BY: Scott Wexman RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 84.8 - - 78.2 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 598 - - 345 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4317 - - 3159 - - 1871 - - 525 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5940 - - 5090 - - 3969 - - 3206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7167 - - 6009 - - 4721 - - 3375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2072 - - 3955 - - 826 - - 508 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 526 - - 511 - - 357 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 13 - - 22 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 274 - - 280 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - -42 - - -91 - - -72 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6236 - - -5926 - - -5030 - - -4806 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13403 - - 11936 - - 9752 - - 8181 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10500 - - -10121 - - -10032 - - -11257 ODpotential blCL - - - 17667 - - 16130 - - 14753 - - 14632 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 36 - - 40 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 84.8 - - 78.2 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 43.2 - - 46.5 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.3 - - 81.8 - - 76.4 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 43.2 - - 46.5 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 598 - - 345 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4317 - - 3159 - - 1871 - - 525 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98482 25 124 17 123 15 093 16 088 98482 91011 22 090 20 103 18 106 18 095 91011 85269 20 089 22 094 20 086 24 103 85269 80534 16 111 12 117 13 091 22 108 80534 76471 19 111 9 138 11 071 14 118 76471 72896 14 115 13 145 5 067 10 077 72896 69656 14 103 16 146 11 160 5 007 69656 66669 12 073 7 129 9 172 2 012 66669 63909 4 218 1 119 4 197 5 305 63909 61242 14 228 14 258 0 353 5 245 61242 58462 20 234 27 243 20 257 14 264 58462 55582 27 239 31 246 37 247 30 257 55582 52834 37 245 38 250 47 246 45 253 52834 50353 49 254 43 249 52 249 51 250 50353 48127 61 257 49 256 52 257 52 255 48127 46109 67 259 57 262 56 260 57 256 46109 44259 67 263 59 262 58 261 59 256 44259 42550 68 267 60 263 59 265 57 259 42550 40962 69 266 62 264 60 267 52 263 40962 39484 71 266 61 260 58 262 47 262 39484 38101 75 266 58 259 52 258 46 260 38101 36774 73 264 53 262 42 259 43 259 36774 35435 62 259 46 260 35 259 39 256 35435 34055 59 253 46 254 28 264 33 253 34055 32638 63 251 45 253 24 266 28 250 32638 31172 60 250 46 251 21 262 25 253 31172 29646 56 258 48 250 20 261 24 258 29646 28056 51 268 49 252 24 254 23 254 28056 26402 45 271 46 256 33 249 26 253 26402 24688 41 264 41 259 37 249 28 252 24688 22916 39 250 38 253 36 253 30 250 22916 21082 36 245 39 247 35 254 31 251 21082 19180 29 243 34 246 32 256 28 254 19180 17250 22 236 25 241 25 252 23 252 17250 15396 18 236 21 235 20 245 19 245 15396 13706 14 240 18 243 16 246 17 243 13706 12197 11 249 13 256 13 247 14 243 12197 10848 8 270 9 259 10 241 11 238 10848 9640 6 289 4 245 8 230 9 232 9640 8558 3 305 2 221 7 226 8 233 8558 7591 1*320 2 218 6 233 7 238 7591 6732 1*309 3*249 7 254 8 250 6732 5966 2 308 7*272 9 269 10 264 5966 5276 3 302 11 276 15*279 14 280 5276 4662 4 294 14 275 22*281 20 287 4662 4149 4 283 15 273 24 281 24 289 4149 3754 4 279 15 272 24 280 25 287 3754 3482 4 277 14 271 23 280 24*287 3482 3317 4 276 13 271 21 279 21*286 3317 3223 3 275 11 270 14 278 13 284 3223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography