DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/05 ValleySoaring_NY 520ft pt38480@41.445,-74.392,621ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.3 degF SPONSORED BY: Valley Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1005z - - 1333z - - 1604z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.3 - - 80.5 - - 87.0 - - 86.8 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 65 - - 313 - - 411 - - 170 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 12 - - 3660 - - 6508 - - 6821 - - 12 BL Depth Hcrit 515 - - 2940 - - 5280 - - 5069 - - 515 Hcrit BL Top 532 - - 4180 - - 7028 - - 7341 - - 532 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 864 - - 2432 - - 1166 - - 883 - - 3110 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 427 - - 566 - - 435 - - 16 W* B/S 10 - - 40 - - 29 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 256 - - 230 - - 206 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -7 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2146 - - -1876 - - 713 - - 1259 - - -2443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2679 - - 6056 - - 6315 - - 6083 - - 2975 sfcLCL ODpotential -5616 - - -6970 - - -444 - - 765 - - -3834 ODpotential blCL 6148 - - 11150 - - 7472 - - 6576 - - 4366 blCL maxRH 74 - - 74 - - 87 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 81 - - 86 CAPE Temp@2m 68.3 - - 80.5 - - 87.0 - - 86.8 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.3 - - 55.6 - - 60.8 - - 61.7 - - 65.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.0 - - 77.4 - - 82.9 - - 84.3 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.3 - - 55.6 - - 60.8 - - 61.7 - - 65.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 65 - - 313 - - 411 - - 170 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 12 - - 3660 - - 6508 - - 6821 - - 12 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 83 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 68655 3 170 1 076 6 111 6 150 3 204 68655 60425 8 305 6 217 11 306 19 315 12 030 60425 57125 14 327 11 312 19 275 26 285 18 330 57125 54306 4 312 18 263 23 278 35 273 34 280 54306 52574 41 326 33 298 33 299 29 291 28 271 52574 48167 40 301 36 295 37 300 39 281 43 269 48167 46171 53 319 56 329 49 304 49 306 49 301 46171 45092 72 319 66 323 61 304 67 301 60 299 45092 43781 86 310 76 315 66 306 73 297 69 296 43781 42005 86 306 73 310 68 305 72 303 78 288 42005 38213 81 308 66 306 69 305 85 308 81 291 38213 36523 75 308 62 302 70 303 81 309 82 298 36523 34926 67 306 63 299 67 301 63 306 88 306 34926 33303 59 303 56 294 60 296 59 305 63 308 33303 29843 57 300 52 296 52 298 58 301 43 294 29843 26546 50 300 45 299 44 298 48 301 44 295 26546 24006 46 303 39 304 36 295 45 293 30 292 24006 22315 36 310 36 309 33 294 34 296 26 297 22315 20439 27 317 25 309 27 301 26 295 24 295 20439 18481 22 320 20 306 22 300 22 297 21 293 18481 16974 22 323 20 304 20 298 20 298 20 291 16974 15462 23 326 21 305 20 298 19 297 19 289 15462 13884 24 329 20 308 18 301 17 290 20 285 13884 12687 22 329 18 305 16 313 18 283 19 284 12687 11905 19 319 19 300 16 319 16 286 19 285 11905 11312 15 317 19 302 16 303 16 289 18 287 11312 10730 14 318 19 304 18 296 16 290 17 290 10730 10158 13 313 18 304 19 297 17 291 16 294 10158 9596 13 309 17 300 18 298 17 291 17 299 9596 9044 12 310 16 295 16 298 17 293 17 300 9044 8503 11 309 15 290 13 295 16 294 17 298 8503 7972 11 307 15 287 10 292 14 291 15 282 7972 7449 11 300 15 286 10*287 12*269 15 271 7449 6934 12 294 15 283 10*284 10*241 14 271 6934 6427 14 290 16 280 8 270 9 236 14 266 6427 5926 14 287 15 278 5 244 8 232 13 262 5926 5431 15 286 14 277 5 240 8 227 13 256 5431 4943 16 287 13 280 5 236 7 221 13 248 4943 4462 16 290 11*283 4 231 7 215 13 238 4462 3986 17 293 9*287 4 224 7 207 13 223 3986 3517 17 294 8 291 4 218 7 200 14 210 3517 3054 14 295 3 274 3 210 6 193 15 198 3054 2596 10 293 2 198 3 200 6 186 17 186 2596 2144 6 292 2 184 3 189 6 181 18 175 2144 1697 3 301 2 177 3 181 6 176 18 165 1697 1256 2 341 2 170 3 177 6 172 17 157 1256 965 3 345 1 169 2 173 6 169 14 153 965 748 2 331 1 169 2 172 5 166 12 150 748 604 1*335 1 168 2 166 4 164 9*150 604 532 1*324 1 166 2 163 3 164 5*148 532 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography