DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.2 - - 72.0 - - 72.9 - - 76.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 79 - - 86 - - 25 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1169 - - 1579 - - 1270 - - 1676 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1829 - - 2239 - - 1930 - - 2336 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 760 - - 978 - - 1848 - - 3221 - - 1841 Hgt.Variab. W* 195 - - 221 - - 141 - - 96 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 30 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 315 - - 052 - - 115 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 684 - - 841 - - 608 - - -4 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1145 - - 1398 - - 1322 - - 2340 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential 306 - - 297 - - 122 - - -1159 - - -1385 ODpotential blCL 1523 - - 1942 - - 1808 - - 3495 - - 2128 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 1160 - - 1510 - - 1760 - - 1800 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m 70.2 - - 72.0 - - 72.9 - - 76.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.3 - - 67.9 - - 69.1 - - 68.3 - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.7 - - 71.4 - - 72.7 - - 77.0 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.4 - - 67.0 - - 68.4 - - 67.2 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 79 - - 86 - - 25 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1169 - - 1579 - - 1270 - - 1676 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 100 - - 101 - - 93 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98218 8 167 14 153 8 190 6 096 3 035 98218 90801 8 128 10 142 7 102 5 095 9 074 90801 85076 14 080 9 143 7 137 3 191 4 012 85076 80341 12 063 6 117 10 152 6 200 2 033 80341 76273 9 120 8 073 10 150 1 165 7 081 76273 72675 11 144 6 152 5 178 2 349 5 046 72675 69427 0 261 10 139 10 166 9 186 8 252 69427 66471 9 239 2 168 7 153 11 171 7 207 66471 63741 14 207 11 233 11 229 9 264 4 210 63741 61102 15 240 18 241 19 245 17 246 20 246 61102 58363 20 253 26 241 26 246 25 240 25 246 58363 55506 16 214 23 240 32 251 34 261 37 263 55506 52749 19 177 33 256 46 264 43 261 46 258 52749 50256 40 252 46 249 48 258 50 260 47 259 50256 48027 56 252 47 256 46 256 54 263 49 267 48027 46017 58 253 52 265 48 265 49 267 54 272 46017 44192 60 256 57 264 54 267 52 278 51 275 44192 42520 61 254 57 259 52 263 54 280 50 274 42520 40971 54 250 55 257 47 278 58 286 46 270 40971 39518 54 253 48 259 53 287 57 285 40 281 39518 38146 64 256 46 266 57 288 46 292 41 293 38146 36817 73 251 47 264 58 288 43 305 41 297 36817 35462 79 245 51 253 53 295 45 312 38 297 35462 34052 76 240 56 237 51 302 46 306 33 301 34052 32589 64 239 62 227 52 303 44 302 31 298 32589 31054 58 240 62 230 52 302 41 300 31 291 31054 29436 54 241 56 237 49 297 41 294 31 289 29436 27736 52 243 48 242 42 287 43 287 34 284 27736 25953 50 247 43 252 36 280 42 292 39 281 25953 24088 50 250 35 257 33 275 40 293 37 284 24088 22147 47 258 28 260 32 271 37 290 29 290 22147 20127 39 269 29 256 32 272 32 289 23 293 20127 18033 34 277 32 260 32 272 28 281 23 281 18033 15908 33 276 29 266 30 277 26 277 22 279 15908 13858 24 281 25 267 26 268 24 276 20 266 13858 11986 17 296 21 264 24 259 19 267 17 255 11986 10319 16 275 16 256 24 264 16 262 15 222 10319 8833 14 257 16 270 21 269 11 265 19 200 8833 7511 10 247 15 269 13 283 7 226 20 195 7511 6337 12 243 12 243 10 266 10 202 18 193 6337 5298 16 218 14 232 9 238 10 198 18 194 5298 4384 14 212 13 231 6 236 9 192 15 191 4384 3579 9 208 8 224 3 236 8 187 12 183 3579 2860 10 162 4*216 1 041 5*170 10 172 2860 2225 16*142 1*291 3*049 4*137 10 168 2225 1695 15*138 1 312 4*051 3 119 12 172 1695 1288 14 136 1 320 4 052 3 109 13 175 1288 1009 13 135 1 324 4 053 3 105 11 173 1009 839 12 135 1 323 4 053 3 103 10*170 839 743 10 135 1 327 4 053 3 100 5*166 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography