DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 39.1 - - 43.8 - - 44.0 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 34 - - 10 - - -31 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 915 - - 2540 - - 16 - - 2551 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9925 - - 11550 - - 7163 - - 11561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2516 - - 896 - - 1606 - - 7845 - - 2281 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 148 - - 160 - - 15 - - 33 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 19 - - 24 - - 15 - - 22 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 143 - - 145 - - 148 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 17 - - 20 - - 15 - - 36 Wind Shear Max.Converg 28 - - 26 - - 41 - - 38 - - 27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2299 - - 1184 - - 3134 - - -1317 - - 2373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9462 - - 8741 - - 8416 - - 8481 - - 9188 sfcLCL ODpotential -11652 - - -6745 - - -2635 - - -5417 - - -2042 ODpotential blCL 18814 - - 16670 - - 14185 - - 12580 - - 13603 blCL maxRH 76 - - 82 - - 89 - - 97 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 39.1 - - 43.8 - - 44.0 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.2 - - 25.7 - - 31.6 - - 31.4 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 43.0 - - 48.5 - - 51.2 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 24.6 - - 30.5 - - 30.2 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 34 - - 10 - - -31 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 915 - - 2540 - - 16 - - 2551 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 26 - - 57 - - 90 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98081 6 023 6 086 4 219 11 281 5 357 98081 90734 2 337 7 250 1 206 11 266 5 244 90734 85060 5 164 8 236 3 254 11 264 7 275 85060 80328 8 125 3 194 5 241 4 280 4 274 80328 76221 5 084 5 141 5 226 3 263 7 300 76221 72572 3 115 6 136 5 201 6 236 5 265 72572 69253 6 183 7 185 4 171 3 247 7 227 69253 66182 11 179 9 215 7 234 3 262 10 189 66182 63319 9 163 15 202 10 239 10 263 6 252 63319 60532 6 253 13 189 18 230 17 241 11 269 60532 57618 15 264 12 218 18 219 16 241 19 263 57618 54604 20 248 19 247 17 240 19 241 17 247 54604 51734 22 246 27 245 26 245 16 228 15 245 51734 49156 24 251 27 240 30 241 22 244 20 236 49156 46862 23 254 24 237 26 235 32 236 23 214 46862 44804 22 261 22 242 27 245 32 231 24 222 44804 42940 29 267 29 256 36 241 35 238 30 234 42940 41236 39 264 35 258 35 244 43 243 44 234 41236 39671 38 259 32 266 55 253 52 239 63 223 39671 38230 35 259 40 271 51 245 52 231 75 214 38230 36895 33 259 40 268 46 239 45 230 75 208 36895 35623 31 260 33 260 44 235 47 231 67 205 35623 34353 30 260 29 247 37 228 47 231 61 203 34353 33057 33 261 29 239 29 215 46 228 62 201 33057 31743 37 258 29 232 28 207 47 225 62 202 31743 30402 36 247 28 226 32 215 46 222 60 206 30402 29025 30 236 28 222 37 224 45 220 58 208 29025 27618 29 233 28 220 38 229 45 219 56 208 27618 26184 30 233 30 222 39 227 45 219 52 205 26184 24730 30 234 33 226 46 222 48 219 48 200 24730 23260 28 237 35 229 52 219 53 218 45 194 23260 21770 27 246 37 228 53 215 55 214 47 192 21770 20250 29 247 37 220 49 208 53 206 49 191 20250 18727 30 238 37 213 46 203 51 199 50 190 18727 17271 30 233 37 212 45 203 48 194 51 190 17271 15948 30 234 37 215 43 205 45 191 50 189 15948 14763 30 232 36 217 40 205 40 182 47 184 14763 13695 29 228 34 214 37 202 37 171 43 178 13695 12727 27 221 32 209 34 194 36 163 40 174 12727 11847 25 210 30 199 29*180 36 159 37*170 11847 11047 24 197 29 188 26*166 35 157 34*168 11047 10321 23 180 27*177 26 154 35 156 30 168 10321 9661 23 165 23*165 26 146 33 155 27 168 9661 9054 23 153 21 151 26 142 33 154 24 169 9054 8504 23 142 20 140 26 138 32 153 21 169 8504 8034 21 135 20 135 24 136 30 153 17 171 8034 7666 17 130 18 133 21 134 27 152 13 172 7666 7410 12 126 16 133 18 134 22 151 9 176 7410 7252 8*121 13 133 15 134 15*148 6 179 7252 7162 2*097 8 134 8 134 7*143 2 348 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography