DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 75.4 - - 78.1 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 142 - - 89 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1189 - - 3026 - - 3604 - - 699 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2281 - - 2420 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1784 - - 3621 - - 4199 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2917 - - 1364 - - 2414 - - 2115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 326 - - 297 - - 74 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 195 - - 220 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -354 - - 544 - - 981 - - 609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2138 - - 3077 - - 3218 - - 685 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1547 - - -1535 - - -9 - - 181 ODpotential blCL - - - 3331 - - 5156 - - 4208 - - 1113 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 740 - - 1110 - - 2030 - - 1900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 75.4 - - 78.1 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 63.7 - - 65.7 - - 67.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 74.5 - - 77.5 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 62.3 - - 64.5 - - 67.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 142 - - 89 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1189 - - 3026 - - 3604 - - 699 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 45 - - 37 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98184 6 175 13 256 8 233 11 288 98184 90810 6 181 8 224 7 243 14 291 90810 85111 8 165 7 189 6 273 10 270 85111 80374 5 113 8 180 6 274 5 253 80374 76292 1 004 5 144 10 199 6 234 76292 72690 5 220 5 043 7 156 3 183 72690 69433 12 169 7 170 7 210 4 233 69433 66442 7 136 16 168 14 209 14 224 66442 63678 8 291 10 185 14 199 16 216 63678 61007 22 259 15 239 14 227 12 232 61007 58212 26 226 24 240 19 237 20 256 58212 55285 33 222 32 230 32 234 27 244 55285 52463 36 227 34 237 32 245 26 252 52463 49916 42 245 40 241 37 253 34 256 49916 47645 41 242 37 238 39 248 41 250 47645 45594 29 249 32 246 39 245 41 247 45594 43731 29 261 30 254 31 235 44 250 43731 42034 27 265 29 267 24 243 34 230 42034 40482 26 238 41 269 26 245 27 221 40482 39046 27 225 43 261 21 254 30 209 39046 37692 20 215 28 222 24 238 24 180 37692 36380 15 199 21 178 21 220 19 164 36380 35040 9 202 16 163 13 182 14 183 35040 33645 3 197 12 156 11 169 13 205 33645 32197 6 155 11 137 10 191 13 217 32197 30679 3 188 7 133 12 220 13 228 30679 29078 6 268 5 205 14 249 14 236 29078 27394 8 259 11 248 13 257 15 241 27394 25626 12 247 12 262 12 251 13 232 25626 23775 14 247 13 251 15 255 15 236 23775 21845 13 262 16 246 20 265 20 247 21845 19834 11 252 18 242 22 268 24 259 19834 17740 13 221 21 240 19 262 26 271 17740 15607 8 211 18 234 17 257 27 275 15607 13553 5 167 11 229 13 242 29 273 13553 11687 7 152 8 214 11 230 30 272 11687 10035 7 198 9 232 14 256 29 269 10035 8572 10 228 11 275 17 267 26 263 8572 7272 8 243 14 301 13 267 21 255 7272 6116 7 255 15 307 10 261 17 249 6116 5092 9 254 10 297 10 256 16 250 5092 4188 12 238 5*254 10*238 16 257 4188 3390 11 218 4*204 10*224 16 265 3390 2676 10 205 5 197 10 221 16 270 2676 2045 9*203 5 194 10 219 16 271 2045 1519 7*204 5 192 10 219 16*272 1519 1116 6 204 5 192 10 219 14*273 1116 839 6 205 4 190 9 219 12 272 839 671 5 205 4 190 9 219 10 272 671 574 5 206 4 189 8 218 8 271 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography