DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 56.0 - - 53.4 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 71 - - 10 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 919 - - 1231 - - 711 - - 619 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 71 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 984 - - 1296 - - 776 - - 684 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1338 - - 864 - - 1037 - - 1052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 182 - - 84 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 17 - - 17 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 087 - - 092 - - 085 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 208 - - 217 - - 151 - - 131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 776 - - 1079 - - 625 - - 553 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 285 - - 346 - - 6 - - 48 ODpotential blCL - - - 699 - - 950 - - 770 - - 636 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 40 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 56.0 - - 53.4 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 51.8 - - 51.3 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 55.5 - - 53.5 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 51.5 - - 51.0 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 71 - - 10 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 919 - - 1231 - - 711 - - 619 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98102 8 142 8 203 22 252 16 300 98102 90723 8 251 12 243 12 269 15 284 90723 85020 9 260 12 242 5 272 13 269 85020 80285 3 265 6 270 2 314 7 293 80285 76221 1 200 4 327 3 348 6 308 76221 72645 2 104 5 007 2 001 6 325 72645 69427 7 032 6 356 4 335 6 335 69427 66470 10 353 8 338 6 314 8 344 66470 63718 11 311 12 320 11 314 14 345 63718 61055 13 323 19 328 18 326 21 324 61055 58276 25 326 28 319 28 318 23 321 58276 55366 33 304 27 299 33 310 32 309 55366 52565 28 301 26 296 39 302 36 292 52565 50031 26 296 31 285 36 279 37 287 50031 47763 27 281 32 281 29 271 33 281 47763 45730 33 283 33 275 35 266 35 261 45730 43906 42 262 46 253 44 253 37 250 43906 42257 42 257 45 252 45 247 43 247 42257 40733 49 263 39 256 41 246 40 243 40733 39299 47 262 34 255 41 245 39 242 39299 37939 42 265 32 251 35 244 32 246 37939 36614 37 270 30 252 30 241 26 246 36614 35256 33 271 26 257 27 239 23 242 35256 33835 30 274 22 266 21 239 19 246 33835 32356 28 287 19 276 16 238 18 251 32356 30804 25 290 17 280 14 242 20 257 30804 29166 23 271 18 270 15 254 23 261 29166 27442 23 266 19 255 16 263 21 259 27442 25630 17 272 17 259 20 259 19 247 25630 23733 13 260 17 258 19 253 17 237 23733 21755 12 238 20 249 15 264 18 240 21755 19687 12 215 21 241 13 278 14 242 19687 17529 7 225 16 245 15 263 9 234 17529 15330 6 276 14 255 12 253 8 232 15330 13212 6 287 14 245 11 215 7 214 13212 11293 8 243 13 226 11 226 10 200 11293 9596 10 217 16 209 13 226 13 218 9596 8092 9 220 17 205 15 217 14 225 8092 6759 10 233 13 216 14 207 14 210 6759 5577 6 225 4 160 13 194 13 207 5577 4535 4 153 7 147 13 182 14 191 4535 3621 5 130 8 159 15 169 18 176 3621 2822 11 108 16 123 16 130 19 143 2822 2118 15 093 21 102 22 101 22 111 2118 1504 15 092 20*096 23 091 23 097 1504 996 14*090 19*093 22*088 22*095 996 608 12*087 18 092 20*086 19*092 608 342 11 087 17 091 18 085 17 091 342 180 10 086 15 091 15 084 15 091 180 88 8 086 11 090 11 084 10 089 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography