DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 45.8 - - 46.4 - - 47.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 183 - - 113 - - 37 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2663 - - 2417 - - 2446 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 4508 - - 4091 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 5656 - - 5410 - - 5439 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5339 - - 2123 - - 2754 - - 2783 - - 3404 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 334 - - 275 - - 195 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 21 - - 13 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 272 - - 264 - - 312 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -37 - - -24 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1286 - - 1152 - - 1112 - - 1176 - - -944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4237 - - 4505 - - 4298 - - 4263 - - 3896 sfcLCL ODpotential -2250 - - -411 - - 183 - - 123 - - -2700 ODpotential blCL 5201 - - 6067 - - 5227 - - 5316 - - 5651 blCL maxRH 74 - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 60 - - 150 - - 140 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 45.8 - - 46.4 - - 47.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 36.1 - - 37.6 - - 38.6 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 44.5 - - 45.3 - - 46.7 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 34.9 - - 36.5 - - 37.6 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 183 - - 113 - - 37 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2663 - - 2417 - - 2446 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 51 - - 101 - - 100 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98299 1 024 2 258 7 250 17 300 7 303 98299 90891 1 222 1 017 11 282 6 269 8 290 90891 85156 7 137 1 213 3 332 4 127 3 251 85156 80391 9 123 9 201 5 238 2 099 5 096 80391 76284 6 137 9 185 6 207 5 201 3 318 76284 72643 7 148 8 212 2 235 3 198 5 249 72643 69323 8 121 9 203 14 239 11 274 11 250 69323 66250 9 276 10 174 17 223 16 255 16 240 66250 63390 15 275 12 249 19 235 24 250 18 237 63390 60615 17 244 20 236 19 226 28 245 14 243 60615 57715 19 243 18 237 11 239 25 252 18 254 57715 54697 23 250 19 251 13 273 17 256 17 253 54697 51806 24 248 17 256 17 267 17 265 25 272 51806 49196 19 234 17 260 18 265 18 276 21 286 49196 46852 15 225 18 243 20 263 16 292 20 298 46852 44734 21 210 14 233 22 261 17 300 14 307 44734 42809 17 194 13 225 15 253 16 294 19 315 42809 41037 13 214 10 213 10 252 16 286 23 306 41037 39391 16 214 7 211 6 224 13 289 20 311 39391 37862 16 189 7 202 1 239 9 308 21 334 37862 36444 17 185 8 199 5 355 10 339 20 343 36444 35096 22 182 11 193 7 352 16 356 25 351 35096 33753 25 172 13 175 5 336 23 349 29 352 33753 32390 25 169 11 165 4 356 19 357 36 349 32390 31011 25 169 9 169 7 037 25 014 40 347 31011 29599 28 164 11 174 10 023 34 010 33 000 29599 28137 31 161 16 174 9 356 32 014 35 031 28137 26619 28 158 20 176 5 333 29 046 37 041 26619 25040 22 154 23 176 5 171 44 071 32 039 25040 23402 20 149 23 176 8 168 41 076 29 020 23402 21705 24 147 15 191 2 275 29 084 32 009 21705 19948 28 156 10 250 13 320 13 037 27 009 19948 18127 29 163 13 242 17 297 25 004 21 358 18127 16273 18 166 15 231 17 274 19 356 22 004 16273 14490 5 126 14 232 16 266 21 327 19 010 14490 12878 11 079 12 230 13 262 15 324 12 349 12878 11447 11 106 8 224 10 251 16 317 14 329 11447 10168 9 121 6 248 8 243 17 308 15 322 10168 9022 7 120 10 270 8 255 16 310 19 320 9022 7998 5 096 15 273 10 271 16 318 24 332 7998 7086 6 080 18 278 13 271 17 319 29 335 7086 6275 5 075 21*278 14 268 18 316 31 330 6275 5553 4 078 22*275 15*265 19*313 31 324 5553 4902 1 099 23 273 14*264 18*312 30 316 4902 4322 1 240 23 272 14 263 18 312 29 307 4322 3835 3 245 22 271 14 264 17 312 26 298 3835 3459 3 243 21 271 13 264 17 312 23 293 3459 3199 3 245 20 272 12 264 15 312 19 291 3199 3041 3*244 18 272 11 265 14 312 16*290 3041 2950 2*243 13 273 9 265 10 312 10*288 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography