DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 56.8 - - 50.6 - - 42.6 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 233 - - 85 - - 39 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 536 - - 2688 - - 1054 - - 941 - - 1469 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3922 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top 2857 - - 5009 - - 3375 - - 3262 - - 3789 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 693 - - 1361 - - 1968 - - 1242 - - 2656 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 355 - - 189 - - 140 - - 117 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 21 - - 20 - - 15 - - 18 BL Wind Direction 269 - - 240 - - 248 - - 301 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -18 - - 18 - - -8 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 520 - - 644 - - 1037 - - 856 - - 1188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 4365 - - 2338 - - 2406 - - 2601 sfcLCL ODpotential -4023 - - -710 - - 537 - - 202 - - 167 ODpotential blCL 6880 - - 5719 - - 2838 - - 3060 - - 3622 blCL maxRH 97 - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 56.8 - - 50.6 - - 42.6 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 45.5 - - 48.5 - - 40.1 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 55.3 - - 49.9 - - 42.3 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 44.8 - - 47.9 - - 39.5 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 233 - - 85 - - 39 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 536 - - 2688 - - 1054 - - 941 - - 1469 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 77 - - 101 - - 101 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98141 2 050 6 249 4 311 7 243 2 212 98141 90769 2 189 8 214 8 191 7 196 5 216 90769 85081 6 170 7 220 8 172 5 175 2 192 85081 80329 9 159 6 192 7 180 5 144 4 204 80329 76201 8 163 10 168 9 217 7 283 4 232 76201 72562 5 172 6 168 11 213 8 263 2 240 72562 69277 1 256 4 163 8 231 10 253 6 014 69277 66228 10 280 6 251 10 242 17 241 13 277 66228 63390 17 263 11 268 13 254 19 255 22 253 63390 60655 22 266 20 273 11 268 13 268 17 258 60655 57791 25 268 29 263 24 275 17 288 17 271 57791 54811 30 275 32 262 36 267 34 276 31 282 54811 51979 34 270 36 263 38 270 39 272 37 268 51979 49432 37 279 38 277 45 280 37 280 38 289 49432 47163 41 285 47 275 53 276 58 288 60 286 47163 45123 50 279 48 276 54 269 64 266 62 273 45123 43264 36 291 53 286 50 278 47 262 60 288 43264 41559 56 311 67 295 68 291 51 296 83 298 41559 39989 57 307 74 293 79 287 81 302 92 290 39989 38526 58 306 68 289 82 274 94 288 86 286 38526 37155 57 299 59 283 78 273 91 282 91 290 37155 35838 57 295 55 284 82 277 91 281 101 290 35838 34503 56 291 57 285 80 273 91 278 101 287 34503 33123 53 288 60 285 80 274 90 277 97 283 33123 31703 50 285 62 284 81 275 90 278 94 280 31703 30225 45 281 64 285 77 272 92 278 97 279 30225 28675 40 275 63 285 81 271 96 276 101 279 28675 27053 36 269 58 282 89 275 102 275 104 283 27053 25360 37 267 52 278 89 277 99 279 103 289 25360 23602 42 270 50 271 81 274 88 288 97 294 23602 21786 46 271 55 268 70 266 71 290 82 293 21786 19912 45 267 59 265 69 262 55 278 68 291 19912 17975 43 259 56 261 70 258 57 263 58 278 17975 16012 40 254 52 255 67 253 67 260 58 263 16012 14127 36 253 50 248 62 249 66 254 60 265 14127 12424 32 252 46 242 57 248 59 248 55 273 12424 10925 28 250 40 238 52 248 51 245 41 270 10925 9605 25 248 34 237 46 243 44 246 30 268 9605 8436 21 247 30 239 38 238 37 251 21 278 8436 7397 18 247 28 242 32 243 32 259 18 293 7397 6474 16 249 27 245 30 246 28 271 19 303 6474 5658 15 252 24*245 29 248 26 283 21 304 5658 4933 15 253 23*242 27 248 25 293 21 304 4933 4282 17 258 22 241 26 247 24 299 21*303 4282 3703 18 265 21 240 24*247 22*301 21*302 3703 3217 17*269 21 239 23*247 19*302 20 301 3217 2843 15*270 20 239 22 248 16 301 19 300 2843 2585 12 269 19 239 20 248 15 300 16 299 2585 2427 11 268 18 239 18 248 13 300 15 298 2427 2337 8 268 12 238 12 249 9 299 9 297 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography