DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.0 - - 50.5 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 59 - - 77 - - 76 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 311 - - 1385 - - 1255 - - 3491 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 2298 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1023 - - 2097 - - 1967 - - 4203 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1734 - - 2220 - - 2389 - - 2001 - - 5313 Hgt.Variab. W* 81 - - 181 - - 192 - - 275 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 21 - - 12 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 295 - - 259 - - 282 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 12 - - 7 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 295 - - 949 - - 319 - - 1757 - - -1099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1148 - - 1648 - - 2447 - - 1827 sfcLCL ODpotential 140 - - 578 - - -238 - - 401 - - -1852 ODpotential blCL 883 - - 1519 - - 2205 - - 3802 - - 2580 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 100 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.0 - - 50.5 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 46.6 - - 43.3 - - 42.2 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 49.0 - - 47.5 - - 50.0 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 46.1 - - 42.4 - - 41.0 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 59 - - 77 - - 76 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 311 - - 1385 - - 1255 - - 3491 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 56 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98138 3 038 5 224 4 300 5 233 3 248 98138 90777 6 218 7 209 6 181 8 217 5 235 90777 85079 5 187 8 204 9 207 3 192 7 219 85079 80319 5 180 4 207 9 185 3 216 2 229 80319 76194 7 152 4 183 8 196 10 257 1 300 76194 72542 3 174 4 162 9 205 7 266 8 254 72542 69249 6 267 6 197 12 234 7 261 6 251 69249 66217 13 279 6 239 14 248 16 260 6 324 66217 63380 16 259 14 258 14 256 18 246 15 273 63380 60616 19 261 23 267 13 274 17 267 18 266 60616 57731 24 272 28 261 24 282 18 281 17 280 57731 54745 29 273 33 258 35 271 26 288 30 274 54745 51902 25 275 35 270 35 270 27 260 21 267 51902 49341 36 283 38 270 29 273 32 295 36 299 49341 47055 41 279 36 283 55 292 53 290 52 286 47055 44995 43 276 49 270 66 269 58 277 51 274 44995 43114 52 292 47 269 59 260 52 280 49 286 43114 41380 71 297 60 288 57 274 61 292 68 296 41380 39776 72 290 79 290 72 280 75 293 89 296 39776 38281 71 294 90 282 83 281 87 292 93 288 38281 36877 71 293 77 270 96 281 97 290 86 287 36877 35528 61 280 73 269 105 278 104 284 89 290 35528 34166 65 279 78 273 107 272 104 279 91 289 34166 32755 68 279 84 275 105 260 103 279 91 287 32755 31296 67 275 88 274 111 258 105 280 92 286 31296 29772 64 271 90 273 118 263 110 279 90 285 29772 28169 59 268 88 271 113 267 111 281 89 286 28169 26486 56 264 78 269 94 269 111 284 91 287 26486 24724 57 261 69 262 69 259 108 287 93 288 24724 22885 57 259 71 256 72 243 94 290 93 290 22885 20975 57 258 75 256 82 242 79 287 96 296 20975 19002 54 254 76 254 80 247 67 281 80 297 19002 16972 51 250 71 248 78 247 60 268 56 278 16972 14917 50 249 65 242 74 246 63 261 62 270 14917 12945 49 245 63 240 67 242 62 266 58 272 12945 11176 47 241 63 238 59 245 46 273 36 282 11176 9624 43 238 56 230 44 253 36 267 26 286 9624 8249 36 234 43 220 31 269 38 265 26 284 8249 7027 31 231 31 216 27 285 31 274 28 285 7027 5942 30 232 23 228 28 293 26 286 28 285 5942 4982 31 233 19 263 30 295 25*289 27 285 4982 4135 31 230 24 286 29 293 24*288 26 286 4135 3386 30 229 26 292 27 289 24 287 26 287 3386 2714 29 229 27 294 23 284 22 284 25 288 2714 2119 27 228 26*295 18*275 20 279 24 287 2119 1623 24 226 25*295 14*265 19 276 22 285 1623 1241 21*224 23 295 12 259 18 275 19 283 1241 979 18*223 21 295 11 257 16 274 15 280 979 819 15 223 18 294 10 255 14 274 12*277 819 728 11 224 13 293 8 253 11 272 7*275 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography