DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 46.1 - - 48.6 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 4 - - 11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 984 - - 670 - - 756 - - 237 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2184 - - 1870 - - 1956 - - 1437 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1005 - - 1387 - - 1322 - - 1459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 127 - - 70 - - 91 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 19 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 156 - - 162 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 15 - - 13 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 560 - - 301 - - 317 - - 25 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1624 - - 1569 - - 1639 - - 1412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 98 - - -238 - - -277 - - -798 ODpotential blCL - - - 2086 - - 2108 - - 2233 - - 2235 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 46.1 - - 48.6 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 43.8 - - 45.9 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 46.5 - - 48.9 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 43.4 - - 45.5 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 4 - - 11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 984 - - 670 - - 756 - - 237 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98128 9 130 10 234 10 262 17 285 98128 90692 5 186 15 217 15 267 15 314 90692 84993 2 290 6 183 9 239 12 313 84993 80289 3 073 2 064 1 175 6 281 80289 76238 8 004 6 315 8 332 8 292 76238 72652 7 334 6 346 9 328 7 303 72652 69404 9 314 10 326 11 314 11 317 69404 66413 12 305 11 303 13 298 13 302 66413 63623 18 312 13 293 15 280 15 281 63623 60907 22 292 14 271 14 270 18 279 60907 58060 20 280 21 266 21 276 24 282 58060 55092 24 269 31 261 32 269 32 272 55092 52256 28 269 35 263 35 262 35 266 52256 49710 32 279 36 269 34 264 36 263 49710 47436 36 271 37 269 38 265 35 262 47436 45379 32 256 32 249 42 257 37 261 45379 43513 28 247 23 239 39 240 33 249 43513 41824 29 240 26 241 36 229 40 240 41824 40284 26 234 31 238 39 224 52 231 40284 38850 24 237 34 229 39 219 53 222 38850 37500 27 242 34 235 44 223 50 217 37500 36195 32 246 34 237 49 223 49 214 36195 34867 37 247 34 237 48 223 47 216 34867 33488 37 245 35 236 46 225 44 217 33488 32058 38 243 36 232 44 224 40 216 32058 30561 38 242 39 226 43 220 40 222 30561 28984 39 241 41 223 42 215 40 226 28984 27329 39 240 38 222 41 213 41 229 27329 25595 39 236 36 222 40 216 40 236 25595 23786 40 233 37 224 40 222 35 243 23786 21905 41 230 37 228 40 230 34 245 21905 19948 42 228 35 231 37 238 32 250 19948 17912 42 224 33 230 31 243 29 254 17912 15839 40 218 31 226 29 243 28 256 15839 13842 37 215 31 225 28 253 26 255 13842 12027 35 218 33 228 27 261 24 252 12027 10413 33 220 35 233 26 258 22 254 10413 8976 29 217 40 236 25 255 21 260 8976 7698 26 215 45 233 27 254 18 261 7698 6563 29 214 47 223 33 243 18 258 6563 5562 30 205 45 210 39 228 24 246 5562 4684 31 188 40 196 41 211 30 232 4684 3914 35 170 37 180 36 195 33 217 3914 3231 36 159 35 166 31 180 31 202 3231 2630 33*155 32 160 28 169 24 189 2630 2131 30*153 29*159 26*167 20 176 2131 1748 25 151 24*157 22*163 17 170 1748 1484 21 151 20 156 18 162 14*166 1484 1324 17 150 17 156 15 161 11*164 1324 1232 10 149 9 154 9 160 6 163 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography