DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.8 - - 80.6 - - 85.7 - - 83.4 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 194 - - 551 - - 504 - - 117 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2067 - - 8349 - - 12100 - - 10319 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5947 - - 11267 - - 14319 - - 11818 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6916 - - 13198 - - 16949 - - 15168 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1757 - - 3069 - - 2308 - - 4205 - - 1628 Hgt.Variab. W* 310 - - 698 - - 767 - - 448 - - 87 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 202 - - 217 - - 242 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 4 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -93 - - 1130 - - -526 - - -4349 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7010 - - 12068 - - 17476 - - 19518 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -3592 - - -1150 - - -3041 - - -6444 - - -2979 ODpotential blCL 10508 - - 14348 - - 19990 - - 21612 - - 8134 blCL maxRH 76 - - 57 - - 42 - - 28 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 1970 - - 800 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2720 CAPE Temp@2m 70.8 - - 80.6 - - 85.7 - - 83.4 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.2 - - 45.0 - - 25.7 - - 14.3 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.1 - - 77.2 - - 82.5 - - 82.3 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 44.8 - - 25.4 - - 13.9 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 194 - - 551 - - 504 - - 117 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2067 - - 8349 - - 12100 - - 10319 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98016 13 103 18 107 14 103 12 091 14 065 98016 90659 15 086 19 109 13 104 14 069 18 081 90659 84983 12 112 17 107 12 127 7 099 13 076 84983 80245 18 117 15 115 12 130 9 122 7 117 80245 76179 8 107 9 117 13 141 8 195 8 046 76179 72577 8 158 7 127 13 122 15 162 2 169 72577 69322 4 134 7 150 3 185 4 133 7 171 69322 66368 3 176 4 265 1 330 4 046 4 089 66368 63633 7 238 19 228 14 246 7 245 13 303 63633 61006 13 245 20 214 17 211 15 220 22 235 61006 58312 24 266 20 268 19 266 6 240 17 208 58312 55479 42 263 37 263 36 262 26 269 29 246 55479 52726 52 258 47 257 44 256 45 266 48 260 52726 50242 57 261 53 261 52 260 58 264 53 264 50242 48009 67 267 64 264 67 265 73 264 60 267 48009 45982 83 269 82 266 86 265 91 264 76 268 45982 44133 97 270 99 268 98 266 103 264 90 268 44133 42434 105 272 107 269 100 267 106 265 99 269 42434 40856 103 272 101 269 97 267 103 265 104 271 40856 39381 93 270 90 267 93 266 94 264 106 270 39381 37999 82 266 86 263 87 265 83 263 100 268 37999 36678 73 264 81 260 82 264 75 263 89 266 36678 35354 64 264 73 260 76 262 71 263 82 265 35354 34001 54 263 65 260 71 260 68 262 79 265 34001 32621 47 259 60 257 70 258 66 260 76 264 32621 31200 46 253 56 253 68 256 65 260 74 263 31200 29729 47 251 52 250 64 253 65 260 73 262 29729 28210 44 250 49 249 59 250 62 258 71 263 28210 26643 42 250 46 250 53 246 57 256 66 261 26643 25037 42 250 44 250 50 244 51 252 58 254 25037 23403 43 250 43 250 48 243 45 250 52 245 23403 21732 40 250 40 250 44 245 38 249 45 244 21732 20011 35 249 35 247 36 245 31 249 40 247 20011 18264 32 242 30 240 27*237 24 248 33 248 18264 16582 31 227 29 229 19*223 15*241 23 244 16582 15046 28 215 29 220 17 218 11*230 17 231 15046 13668 25 216 27*218 16 218 10 229 15 220 13668 12429 21 213 21*215 16 217 10 231 12 215 12429 11310 17 202 17 208 16 217 11 233 8 204 11310 10301 15 196 15 200 16 216 11 238 5 162 10301 9390 13 197 14 198 16 215 12 243 8 125 9390 8574 15 201 14 198 16 215 12 247 13 114 8574 7841 18 193 14 198 16 215 13 251 16 109 7841 7174 19*185 14 198 16 215 13 252 17 097 7174 6577 18*184 13 198 16 215 13 254 16 076 6577 6075 16 184 13 198 15 215 13 254 16 060 6075 5686 15 184 13 199 15 215 13 255 16 056 5686 5415 14 184 12 198 15 214 13 255 15 055 5415 5250 13 185 12 198 14 215 12 256 14*055 5250 5155 11 185 11 199 13 214 11 256 11*055 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography