DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/05 Larkspur_CO 6700ft pt33232@39.360,-104.839,6557ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.5 degF SPONSORED BY: Tom Serkowski RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1015z - - 1338z - - 1614z - - 1904z - - 2207z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.8 - - 84.5 - - 79.4 - - 74.2 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 232 - - 529 - - 84 - - 55 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1358 - - 7730 - - 7021 - - 2091 - - 497 BL Depth Hcrit 7364 - - 12607 - - 11055 - - 6466 - - 6466 Hcrit BL Top 8058 - - 14430 - - 13721 - - 8791 - - 7197 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1859 - - 3250 - - 2707 - - 2114 - - 1995 Hgt.Variab. W* 289 - - 678 - - 378 - - 225 - - 43 W* B/S 10 - - 72 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 13 - - 20 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 054 - - 151 - - 167 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 13 - - -11 - - -21 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1601 - - 1176 - - 2763 - - 820 - - 432 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9660 - - 13255 - - 10958 - - 7972 - - 6765 sfcLCL ODpotential -5227 - - -1026 - - 534 - - -2867 - - -2951 ODpotential blCL 13285 - - 15456 - - 13187 - - 11658 - - 10148 blCL maxRH 74 - - 85 - - 99 - - 80 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 381 - - 272 - - 759 - - 2258 - - 2590 CAPE Temp@2m 72.8 - - 84.5 - - 79.4 - - 74.2 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.4 - - 48.2 - - 53.4 - - 60.8 - - 61.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.2 - - 81.2 - - 78.9 - - 73.8 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.4 - - 48.2 - - 53.4 - - 60.8 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 232 - - 529 - - 84 - - 55 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1358 - - 7730 - - 7021 - - 2091 - - 497 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 39 - - 94 - - 18 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 7 - - 9 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70392 10 084 13 083 10 109 10 108 10 107 70392 62435 14 098 5 138 11 029 13 059 13 064 62435 58543 13 134 13 265 15 332 9 017 10 177 58543 55826 16 314 9 005 12 163 14 267 13 244 55826 53080 22 260 13 287 11 254 23 254 14 293 53080 50760 19 261 24 255 27 273 26 285 26 286 50760 49545 21 263 24 262 28 264 27 277 26 280 49545 48480 30 296 28 290 22 271 21 271 26 277 48480 47471 35 300 31 296 21 289 18 279 25 274 47471 46140 35 301 34 298 27 299 23 280 28 275 46140 43190 32 301 33 296 29 295 24 271 29 277 43190 37984 27 297 30 295 24 281 24 270 25 280 37984 33146 18 273 23 290 20 278 23 288 26 277 33146 30177 15 251 15 265 20 287 19 308 24 289 30177 28320 13 224 14 235 17 280 14 302 14 304 28320 25106 11 240 13 227 16 267 13 251 8 247 25106 21841 6 278 8 253 15 263 13 244 8 246 21841 20131 7 320 2 321 10 253 1 113 11 156 20131 17707 4 352 4 099 1 075 12 060 13 133 17707 16901 3 348 3 139 2 056 11 068 12 140 16901 16465 4 356 2 245 2 028 12 079 12 142 16465 16034 5 001 2 271 2 039 12 087 12 142 16034 15609 6 007 2 323 2 053 13 090 11 144 15609 15189 9 009 2 352 3 078 13 091 11 148 15189 14775 11 003 3*348 4 107 13 090 10 152 14775 14365 12 356 4*332 6 125 12 088 10 158 14365 13960 13 354 5 330 9*136 11 081 10 164 13960 13559 13 354 5 325 11*139 9 070 10 171 13559 13163 13 354 6 320 11 140 8 060 10 180 13163 12771 13 354 6 314 12 142 6 056 11 190 12771 12384 11 352 6 303 12 144 3 074 12 196 12384 12000 9 342 6 292 13 146 3 139 14 199 12000 11621 8 333 6 285 13 147 5 170 15 200 11621 11245 6 325 5 284 13 149 7 176 17 201 11245 10874 5 321 2 281 14 150 9 180 18 201 10874 10506 2 333 2 123 14 151 11 181 19 202 10506 10142 1 035 5 117 14 151 13 183 19 203 10142 9782 2 081 6 113 14 152 15 184 19 204 9782 9426 2 086 6 112 14 153 17 184 18 204 9426 9073 2 075 6 107 14 154 18*183 18 202 9073 8724 3 025 7 102 14 154 20*177 19 195 8724 8378 5*016 7 096 13 155 21 172 21 184 8378 8036 7*016 7 091 13 156 22 167 23 175 8036 7698 6 019 7 086 13 157 22 164 23 171 7698 7363 5 019 7 083 12 159 21 164 21*170 7363 7031 5 020 7 080 11 160 19 164 18*170 7031 6810 5 020 7 078 11 162 18 164 16 169 6810 6646 5 018 6 076 9 164 16 164 14 169 6646 6537 4 019 6 075 8 167 14 164 12 169 6537 6483 4 017 6 072 6 169 11 164 9 168 6483 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography