DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.8 - - 39.1 - - 40.1 - - 39.2 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 95 - - 235 - - 166 - - 69 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1539 - - 2223 - - 3051 - - 5298 - - 1681 BL Depth Hcrit 7864 - - 8816 - - 9303 - - 10403 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 9039 - - 9723 - - 10551 - - 12798 - - 9181 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2072 - - 1544 - - 1449 - - 1727 - - 2164 Hgt.Variab. W* 230 - - 352 - - 351 - - 320 - - 63 W* B/S 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 - - 18 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 268 - - 258 - - 243 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -34 - - -35 - - -31 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2439 - - 3124 - - 2995 - - 5056 - - 2582 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 6600 - - 7556 - - 7742 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -263 - - 1148 - - 155 - - 1560 - - 525 ODpotential blCL 9302 - - 8575 - - 10396 - - 11238 - - 8656 blCL maxRH 93 - - 99 - - 95 - - 85 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 39.8 - - 39.1 - - 40.1 - - 39.2 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 34.9 - - 29.6 - - 28.0 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 40.2 - - 41.6 - - 41.4 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 33.7 - - 28.4 - - 26.8 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 95 - - 235 - - 166 - - 69 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1539 - - 2223 - - 3051 - - 5298 - - 1681 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 94 - - 82 - - 38 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98275 4 086 10 213 16 225 6 284 7 268 98275 90897 5 269 8 184 11 234 16 256 8 271 90897 85173 4 277 6 201 8 238 8 235 7 249 85173 80402 7 124 10 232 9 277 1 251 5 223 80402 76299 5 119 11 223 6 243 4 208 3 178 76299 72665 2 263 7 234 3 216 7 246 4 293 72665 69350 8 204 11 235 8 224 10 242 8 237 69350 66291 8 179 11 225 12 238 11 269 8 204 66291 63442 10 208 13 242 13 241 15 254 9 245 63442 60670 7 259 15 237 15 265 19 244 17 272 60670 57762 12 276 11 234 16 255 19 248 20 259 57762 54722 18 263 8 258 16 250 18 242 21 248 54722 51814 23 260 15 266 18 222 23 211 21 241 51814 49203 25 246 17 269 17 211 18 211 18 245 49203 46867 24 223 22 252 23 250 19 243 19 244 46867 44748 35 209 39 219 38 234 22 236 19 233 44748 42814 31 199 38 196 40 211 25 223 22 235 42814 41037 22 202 32 187 34 203 28 211 26 235 41037 39393 35 213 30 194 31 203 24 206 23 229 39393 37867 52 208 38 199 33 201 21 217 12 199 37867 36450 52 198 50 192 37 192 24 212 6 197 36450 35110 49 191 54 184 38 187 29 187 17 221 35110 33775 48 187 53 182 39 189 30 179 27 204 33775 32424 48 184 53 181 43 188 31 175 26 184 32424 31076 48 183 54 176 46 186 30 172 27 168 31076 29721 50 183 55 169 52 187 29 178 27 149 29721 28350 51 182 56 168 60 186 36 187 26 118 28350 26964 52 183 56 174 61 184 46 187 22 082 26964 25558 51 187 56 183 59 181 48 178 20 071 25558 24126 52 193 52 188 57 176 44 170 21 081 24126 22667 52 191 44 190 55 175 39 174 21 104 22667 21178 39 173 37 189 55 181 39 182 22 129 21178 19656 35 173 37 187 51 190 39 192 24 149 19656 18125 32 178 42 189 44 195 28 199 12 163 18125 16660 31 185 43 189 41 195 23 201 5 053 16660 15328 32 193 37 184 34 191 18 209 3 035 15328 14139 32 197 29 174 29 186 13 234 4 354 14139 13067 29 199 18 163 22 180 12*252 5 318 13067 12095 25 202 8 150 13 168 13*254 6 301 12095 11213 19 208 2 149 6*166 14 252 8 287 11213 10414 12 216 3*300 5*244 16 248 11 269 10414 9692 7 226 6*295 10 264 16 245 15*257 9692 9041 4*219 10 285 15 263 17 243 18*249 9041 8444 4*200 13 273 16 260 17 240 20 244 8444 7905 7 199 15 266 17 258 17 238 20 239 7905 7447 9 197 16 261 17 257 16 237 19 235 7447 7090 9 195 15 259 16 255 16 235 18 231 7090 6840 9 194 14 258 15 254 15 235 15 228 6840 6687 8 192 13 258 14 254 13 233 14 227 6687 6600 6 189 9 256 9 253 9 232 8 227 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography