DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 53.6 - - 54.0 - - 54.8 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 152 - - 69 - - 119 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 25 - - 1202 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3562 - - 4739 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1500 - - 1814 - - 1426 - - 1145 - - 2722 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 56 - - 50 - - 218 - - 27 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 208 - - 222 - - 225 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 34 - - 38 - - 43 - - 37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -320 - - 1 - - 940 - - 1535 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2943 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 3204 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential -6958 - - -320 - - 336 - - 738 - - -481 ODpotential blCL 9581 - - 2943 - - 3226 - - 4001 - - 3103 blCL maxRH 89 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 53.6 - - 54.0 - - 54.8 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.8 - - 52.7 - - 52.0 - - 49.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.9 - - 53.2 - - 54.1 - - 54.7 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 52.3 - - 51.7 - - 49.0 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 152 - - 69 - - 119 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 25 - - 1202 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 99 - - 100 - - 89 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98183 5 149 2 064 5 114 8 166 8 099 98183 90803 16 124 8 131 8 126 10 142 7 100 90803 85079 18 109 10 145 8 109 12 135 7 140 85079 80332 10 135 9 158 3 152 9 099 7 113 80332 76237 5 113 11 151 9 205 1 189 2 135 76237 72599 7 223 9 126 12 187 8 228 4 223 72599 69301 2 279 5 139 10 210 12 234 10 255 69301 66277 10 310 7 262 13 234 16 253 13 238 66277 63468 19 276 17 259 21 249 23 261 11 255 63468 60724 25 267 25 260 27 257 26 268 27 259 60724 57872 32 264 34 261 32 268 29 275 39 269 57872 54944 37 262 38 260 39 269 40 269 42 277 54944 52156 40 266 41 265 44 270 50 269 42 281 52156 49647 42 273 43 268 48 270 53 264 49 273 49647 47412 46 273 40 267 42 277 51 275 52 272 47412 45409 42 277 38 285 48 283 52 276 52 277 45409 43597 45 286 52 292 43 273 48 284 66 282 43597 41939 44 289 40 316 45 303 52 289 71 280 41939 40407 36 300 48 325 58 312 54 291 71 281 40407 38972 33 311 49 321 54 308 55 291 65 278 38972 37619 26 316 44 312 48 304 56 289 60 273 37619 36312 25 319 36 301 47 303 58 289 59 274 36312 34986 29 319 39 300 48 304 58 289 61 278 34986 33610 31 316 42 301 48 303 57 289 65 277 33610 32189 31 310 37 300 47 301 56 287 65 275 32189 30710 29 311 25 299 46 297 56 286 65 278 30710 29163 29 309 33 288 45 290 57 286 66 281 29163 27548 28 299 41 285 41 287 56 288 68 283 27548 25865 25 286 41 283 40 285 55 289 67 284 25865 24119 25 280 40 283 41 282 53 286 66 282 24119 22313 26 275 37 280 41 280 48 277 64 276 22313 20442 26 272 33 276 38 268 49 272 61 271 20442 18499 25 272 29 267 37 257 47 267 57 267 18499 16525 23 268 26 256 37 253 45 257 53 263 16525 14631 22 263 26 248 36 252 45 254 50 258 14631 12916 20 261 25 245 34 251 43 256 49 256 12916 11397 18 261 25 245 33 251 39 258 46 259 11397 10049 17 263 25 248 31 253 35 260 42 263 10049 8851 17 267 24 252 29 256 31 264 37 268 8851 7786 17 271 22 257 26 261 28 266 33 271 7786 6841 16 276 19 261 22 263 22 264 28 272 6841 6005 15 283 15 261 16 262 15 258 21 268 6005 5266 12 291 10 258 12 254 12*248 14 259 5266 4602 7 295 8 242 9 239 10*234 10 242 4602 4013 3 277 7 220 9*226 10 227 9 230 4013 3518 2 202 8 209 9*223 10 225 9 225 3518 3137 3 172 8 208 9 222 10 223 9 222 3137 2873 3 164 8 208 8 221 10 222 8 220 2873 2714 3*170 7*207 7 220 9 221 7*220 2714 2621 3*172 6*209 6 220 7 222 6*220 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography