DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 56.9 - - 50.6 - - 48.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 80 - - 38 - - 19 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1637 - - 2016 - - 681 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 543 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2181 - - 2559 - - 1224 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1677 - - 1330 - - 2022 - - 2508 - - 6176 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 212 - - 182 - - 99 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 21 - - 17 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 229 - - 302 - - 268 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 449 - - 1070 - - 239 - - -706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 560 - - 1732 - - 1490 - - 985 - - 1266 sfcLCL ODpotential -65 - - -66 - - 405 - - -66 - - -1249 ODpotential blCL 625 - - 2247 - - 2154 - - 1290 - - 1809 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 56.9 - - 50.6 - - 48.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 51.1 - - 46.0 - - 46.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 56.4 - - 50.2 - - 48.2 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.9 - - 50.5 - - 45.2 - - 45.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 80 - - 38 - - 19 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1637 - - 2016 - - 681 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98135 2 020 5 238 3 312 8 239 4 231 98135 90778 4 175 8 215 6 200 5 217 3 226 90778 85083 5 193 7 229 9 192 7 173 3 221 85083 80320 6 170 6 199 9 187 3 197 3 158 80320 76189 6 172 8 182 10 214 5 284 7 243 76189 72554 5 171 8 150 9 221 8 284 4 262 72554 69273 4 260 2 169 7 225 14 238 4 027 69273 66227 11 256 8 249 10 243 17 251 12 286 66227 63393 18 261 13 259 15 255 14 260 19 261 63393 60650 19 265 19 263 20 259 10 267 14 263 60650 57772 24 272 31 263 24 268 20 285 22 287 57772 54789 33 275 35 263 36 274 31 281 35 280 54789 51953 35 272 34 264 38 271 38 274 32 274 51953 49405 36 279 39 276 41 280 36 290 42 294 49405 47139 44 284 44 277 51 280 60 288 57 287 47139 45101 43 280 52 278 53 263 61 267 53 275 45101 43239 34 294 53 282 49 266 47 267 55 291 43239 41527 62 307 64 292 58 288 56 297 80 299 41527 39947 63 301 77 291 85 294 82 300 93 291 39947 38476 59 298 76 288 95 285 96 290 87 285 38476 37092 60 293 70 282 93 273 96 282 88 289 37092 35758 62 294 62 280 91 271 94 280 98 292 35758 34401 61 289 63 283 95 273 94 281 104 289 34401 32990 59 284 67 282 98 274 94 279 103 286 32990 31528 56 282 71 283 97 274 94 278 98 284 31528 29999 53 280 75 283 99 272 95 280 97 283 29999 28390 48 274 74 282 104 273 95 281 99 283 28390 26698 43 266 67 279 100 276 98 275 104 285 26698 24921 43 265 58 273 90 275 99 281 106 290 24921 23062 48 270 60 268 82 271 93 294 98 294 23062 21130 52 271 64 263 75 262 77 295 85 295 21130 19127 50 266 64 259 75 254 57 282 73 297 19127 17056 48 257 62 256 75 252 57 252 59 279 17056 14955 45 249 56 250 68 248 66 258 60 268 14955 12939 39 247 53 247 60 244 56 270 61 270 12939 11125 33 246 51 245 55 245 41 257 52 275 11125 9540 27 246 47 243 48 240 34 265 34 260 9540 8146 24 244 42 240 35 230 27 283 29 285 8146 6913 21 248 38 242 22 237 23 293 29 300 6913 5819 21 256 36 246 24 275 22 299 26 304 5819 4850 21 259 35 247 27 289 21 300 22 305 4850 3994 19 252 33 245 26 297 21 298 20 304 3994 3237 20 250 32 242 23*302 20 294 19 302 3237 2560 20 253 29*235 20*304 17 289 17 298 2560 1960 18 253 27*231 20 304 15 281 16 293 1960 1460 16 252 23 229 18 302 13*273 15 284 1460 1076 14 249 21 229 16 300 11*269 13 276 1076 812 11 248 19 229 14 299 10 268 11 270 812 652 9*246 17 229 13 298 9 267 9*267 652 560 7*246 11 228 9 296 6 266 5*264 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography