DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.0 - - 43.1 - - 47.7 - - 49.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 59 - - 209 - - 223 - - 131 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1863 - - 3374 - - 4568 - - 3895 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 5153 - - 6080 - - 5313 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 4923 - - 6434 - - 7627 - - 6955 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2419 - - 2734 - - 1686 - - 1365 - - 2655 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 378 - - 427 - - 341 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 337 - - 004 - - 350 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -20 - - -8 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1171 - - 1251 - - 1907 - - 1270 - - -499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3752 - - 5183 - - 5721 - - 5686 - - 3575 sfcLCL ODpotential -615 - - -561 - - 317 - - 153 - - -1813 ODpotential blCL 5538 - - 6995 - - 7310 - - 6802 - - 4889 blCL maxRH 79 - - 74 - - 82 - - 84 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.0 - - 43.1 - - 47.7 - - 49.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 31.2 - - 33.4 - - 35.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.6 - - 41.7 - - 46.5 - - 48.6 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 30.0 - - 32.2 - - 34.3 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 59 - - 209 - - 223 - - 131 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1863 - - 3374 - - 4568 - - 3895 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 27 - - 37 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98295 5 133 8 192 8 175 13 254 13 279 98295 90905 4 092 11 165 9 205 7 240 2 050 90905 85172 11 178 8 196 2 200 2 110 8 119 85172 80402 10 148 13 197 5 266 3 080 6 130 80402 76288 5 181 6 164 8 221 6 252 1 120 76288 72638 6 181 5 234 6 172 7 199 8 251 72638 69343 3 175 10 229 9 203 5 193 9 257 69343 66316 10 254 8 214 13 241 8 265 12 281 66316 63495 6 224 11 248 18 241 16 253 19 266 63495 60760 15 306 12 282 15 258 14 262 15 269 60760 57913 25 285 19 290 15 286 20 284 19 293 57913 54966 24 275 21 292 19 288 21 302 24 316 54966 52163 26 296 27 296 30 300 40 305 39 307 52163 49655 47 291 41 293 39 295 41 293 39 308 49655 47408 46 283 36 284 42 303 41 316 48 316 47408 45378 40 293 38 305 52 313 59 324 56 313 45378 43538 53 312 57 316 61 316 73 314 69 307 43538 41854 78 308 72 312 68 315 76 311 68 305 41854 40289 91 296 79 307 76 314 73 321 73 327 40289 38829 93 290 85 303 77 316 91 341 99 330 38829 37463 90 290 88 302 82 324 101 340 104 324 37463 36144 89 291 87 307 96 333 93 336 99 327 36144 34808 88 292 88 312 110 336 83 331 99 338 34808 33431 90 294 92 316 114 336 77 329 105 342 33431 32018 92 295 94 317 110 337 77 330 107 341 32018 30554 95 296 90 313 100 334 78 327 102 339 30554 29028 97 295 89 317 96 331 78 324 96 339 29028 27438 100 294 91 320 92 330 75 321 81 339 27438 25787 102 294 90 320 81 333 74 318 69 330 25787 24075 103 295 93 317 70 337 69 322 71 321 24075 22304 101 296 102 313 66 336 59 330 67 322 22304 20476 96 301 97 313 65 334 52 332 55 323 20476 18583 87 307 82 322 62 337 46 328 47 320 18583 16665 83 314 70 332 55 340 42 333 43 318 16665 14826 69 320 59 340 49 342 41 340 39 324 14826 13158 48 325 48 349 44 347 39 344 35 336 13158 11677 35 324 39 001 36 358 33 347 30 345 11677 10360 33 324 32 009 24 009 25 350 26 348 10360 9188 32 328 25 005 17 010 16 355 23 344 9188 8145 31 331 21 355 15*008 14 358 18 340 8145 7219 30 333 19*346 15*007 14*357 14 343 7219 6401 28 334 18*343 15 005 14*355 12 358 6401 5677 27 336 17 339 14 004 14 352 13 007 5677 5025 24*337 17 337 14 003 14 350 14 006 5025 4446 21*336 16 336 14 003 14 349 13 002 4446 3960 18 335 16 334 14 002 14 348 13 358 3960 3585 16 333 15 334 13 002 13 347 12 354 3585 3325 14 332 14 333 12 001 13 346 10 350 3325 3167 12 331 13 333 11 001 12 345 8 348 3167 3076 9 330 10 331 9 000 9 344 4*344 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography