DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 71.7 - - 68.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 281 - - -15 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1109 - - 3697 - - 1387 - - 744 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 3490 - - 1071 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2179 - - 4767 - - 2457 - - 1814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 695 - - 1295 - - 3301 - - 1895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 418 - - 102 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 198 - - 219 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 10 - - -3 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -269 - - 434 - - 333 - - 727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2448 - - 4333 - - 2124 - - 1087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5979 - - -297 - - -1238 - - 217 ODpotential blCL - - - 8158 - - 5064 - - 3695 - - 1597 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 200 - - 1040 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 71.7 - - 68.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 56.3 - - 62.2 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 70.5 - - 69.1 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 55.5 - - 61.3 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 281 - - -15 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1109 - - 3697 - - 1387 - - 744 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 46 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98069 8 185 15 230 8 264 10 280 98069 90716 8 202 6 287 5 309 8 303 90716 85058 6 118 3 325 4 276 8 321 85058 80345 6 080 4 113 4 213 5 307 80345 76284 4 043 8 115 3 177 2 264 76284 72695 4 111 9 129 4 193 4 301 72695 69439 6 169 11 139 10 154 4 219 69439 66431 12 182 12 194 7 206 8 242 66431 63619 11 199 20 179 19 214 19 230 63619 60893 13 239 13 224 20 205 23 239 60893 58057 26 226 27 237 27 222 29 227 58057 55096 27 224 31 223 33 222 28 221 55096 52247 36 236 31 232 29 228 27 229 52247 49679 44 237 36 243 32 249 29 250 49679 47383 48 233 42 244 46 251 45 251 47383 45316 49 229 53 236 57 236 52 242 45316 43450 52 222 58 223 53 218 52 233 43450 41762 48 216 52 217 47 225 54 227 41762 40226 37 229 47 221 54 239 61 226 40226 38802 45 253 48 229 61 239 70 225 38802 37455 50 257 51 234 65 235 72 222 37455 36148 51 254 55 233 62 233 73 221 36148 34815 53 250 59 235 61 232 69 222 34815 33430 54 247 60 234 60 229 58 221 33430 31994 52 247 53 227 58 226 54 220 31994 30493 45 244 44 221 54 223 53 222 30493 28914 38 232 42 227 48 223 51 228 28914 27260 37 236 44 232 41 227 46 236 27260 25530 37 241 46 234 42 239 39 235 25530 23723 32 237 45 233 44 248 35 224 23723 21841 42 228 44 229 43 244 36 223 21841 19886 44 228 46 229 43 235 41 223 19886 17851 33 229 42 213 37 229 39 225 17851 15776 30 222 35 212 41 231 32 227 15776 13778 31 209 33 203 43 223 31 225 13778 11961 29 196 36 199 40 222 35 234 11961 10347 26 189 35 204 37 225 35 235 10347 8917 26 178 35 213 32 217 32 225 8917 7647 25 187 34 212 28 216 29 211 7647 6518 23 199 32 211 26 215 26 206 6518 5517 22 201 26*212 23 212 21 214 5517 4634 23 203 22*209 22 212 17 231 4634 3853 24 203 20 203 21 213 17 238 3853 3153 23 194 18 197 21 215 17 236 3153 2534 20*173 17 195 20*217 16 233 2534 2017 17*169 17 194 19*218 13*238 2017 1621 13 161 16 193 17 219 11*239 1621 1348 12 159 15 193 15 219 10 240 1348 1182 11 158 14 192 12 220 9 241 1182 1087 9 158 12 192 9 221 6 242 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography