DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 76.6 - - 73.0 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 91 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2394 - - 3310 - - 1641 - - 250 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1399 - - 1619 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2474 - - 3390 - - 1721 - - 330 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2720 - - 2368 - - 2730 - - 2788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 279 - - 116 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 180 - - 166 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -92 - - 409 - - 541 - - -132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2566 - - 2981 - - 1180 - - 462 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -558 - - -140 - - 1 - - -530 ODpotential blCL - - - 3032 - - 3530 - - 1720 - - 860 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 400 - - 660 - - 1220 - - 1060 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 76.6 - - 73.0 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.8 - - 63.9 - - 68.0 - - 68.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 76.1 - - 73.1 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 63.4 - - 67.4 - - 68.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 91 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2394 - - 3310 - - 1641 - - 250 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 101 - - 94 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98213 2 047 10 260 12 278 18 310 98213 90777 5 234 13 262 15 286 16 305 90777 85057 7 233 15 260 14 286 15 299 85057 80312 4 270 9 255 8 275 10 295 80312 76247 2 356 2 333 4 282 6 291 76247 72689 3 335 3 061 2 348 4 278 72689 69479 1 329 6 104 4 297 4 347 69479 66520 4 287 7 125 9 235 10 285 66520 63782 6 269 1 195 11 231 13 259 63782 61136 15 292 13 267 13 251 13 266 61136 58350 23 258 23 260 23 260 21 271 58350 55438 28 254 27 250 27 262 28 269 55438 52648 29 246 29 251 28 267 29 266 52648 50133 28 251 31 251 30 272 29 277 50133 47883 28 256 31 256 41 275 37 286 47883 45852 23 264 38 259 48 265 49 285 45852 44011 23 268 41 253 35 254 54 270 44011 42332 28 258 24 250 22 269 31 289 42332 40787 32 243 19 293 44 332 40 329 40787 39352 25 242 25 298 72 328 57 325 39352 37995 22 245 24 282 57 329 57 319 37995 36670 21 231 22 270 24 317 60 320 36670 35315 19 209 19 256 22 308 53 324 35315 33900 16 198 21 257 25 276 43 330 33900 32429 15 211 27 249 30 246 30 318 32429 30882 15 239 23 245 25 246 27 296 30882 29248 15 259 16 240 20 249 26 285 29248 27529 15 267 15 237 19 254 22 264 27529 25725 16 266 13 242 21 256 19 254 25725 23832 12 252 12 258 21 245 18 250 23832 21857 12 227 11 249 19 231 18 249 21857 19794 13 217 12 228 17 228 17 257 19794 17644 10 211 11 211 15 233 15 270 17644 15451 8 234 10 211 13 210 9 255 15451 13338 13 238 12 218 15 208 7 232 13338 11421 16 215 18 222 18 216 8 235 11421 9722 14 208 17 213 19 212 11 227 9722 8216 16 197 17 206 18 203 14 222 8216 6882 19 186 17 203 19 199 16 217 6882 5701 20 183 18 199 19 195 17 212 5701 4659 21 187 18 197 18 187 17 201 4659 3742 21 187 18*197 18 179 19 189 3742 2934 21*184 16*189 18 173 20 180 2934 2213 18*175 14 181 17*170 20 176 2213 1578 16 165 14 179 16*168 19 175 1578 1049 15 163 13 178 15 167 17 172 1049 643 14 162 13 177 13 166 14 169 643 365 13 161 12 176 12 165 12*168 365 196 12 160 11 176 10 164 10*167 196 100 10 160 8 175 7 164 6 165 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography