DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.8 - - 65.4 - - 69.3 - - 65.8 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 176 - - 505 - - 466 - - 28 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2153 - - 7668 - - 10818 - - 5655 - - 229 BL Depth Hcrit 7825 - - 12532 - - 15081 - - 8232 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 8838 - - 14353 - - 17503 - - 12340 - - 6914 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3619 - - 2050 - - 1738 - - 5283 - - 7912 Hgt.Variab. W* 309 - - 671 - - 733 - - 234 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 24 - - 32 - - 34 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 205 - - 211 - - 225 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 13 - - 24 - - 22 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 9 - - -11 - - 9 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -372 - - -229 - - -655 - - -4823 - - -7815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9210 - - 14582 - - 18158 - - 17164 - - 14729 sfcLCL ODpotential -2780 - - -3040 - - -5003 - - -8584 - - -10566 ODpotential blCL 11618 - - 17393 - - 22506 - - 20924 - - 17480 blCL maxRH 84 - - 100 - - 90 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 55.8 - - 65.4 - - 69.3 - - 65.8 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.7 - - 24.5 - - 12.3 - - 13.6 - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 62.8 - - 67.0 - - 65.9 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 24.1 - - 11.6 - - 13.3 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 176 - - 505 - - 466 - - 28 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2153 - - 7668 - - 10818 - - 5655 - - 229 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 100 - - 61 - - 102 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98318 1 258 13 230 12 239 10 278 4 332 98318 90887 6 031 2 117 2 281 4 231 7 292 90887 85149 4 036 4 145 2 106 2 088 7 281 85149 80419 4 142 3 188 2 113 6 040 10 102 80419 76328 6 125 10 190 0 191 3 296 8 067 76328 72683 5 099 8 151 8 233 3 298 3 003 72683 69381 6 238 3 168 5 228 2 226 0 071 69381 66346 14 201 4 139 10 269 7 277 4 308 66346 63541 24 215 23 222 20 205 15 216 10 259 63541 60830 22 212 19 229 14 243 8 261 3 280 60830 57978 26 238 20 245 27 253 15 255 12 322 57978 55007 42 249 39 254 36 233 28 228 22 252 55007 52181 51 245 46 237 29 231 23 235 27 260 52181 49640 50 245 36 242 30 252 28 260 35 274 49640 47363 47 250 38 252 44 252 52 251 47 263 47363 45306 48 257 45 259 54 249 66 243 59 248 45306 43439 50 265 54 261 60 249 75 243 70 239 43439 41743 55 270 69 260 71 252 85 244 80 241 41743 40187 62 270 83 257 86 251 91 241 92 242 40187 38744 66 267 88 254 93 248 91 237 101 238 38744 37401 69 265 87 252 93 246 88 236 100 233 37401 36122 69 263 84 251 90 245 87 236 95 231 36122 34841 69 261 80 250 88 245 86 236 92 231 34841 33533 68 260 78 249 85 244 84 236 91 232 33533 32203 66 259 77 249 84 243 83 235 91 233 32203 30840 61 256 73 248 83 242 81 235 90 233 30840 29437 58 251 70 246 81 241 80 235 87 233 29437 27999 58 247 67 243 76 240 77 235 83 232 27999 26529 57 247 64 240 71 238 75 235 80 231 26529 25030 56 247 60 238 67 237 72 235 77 230 25030 23507 53 246 56 237 63 237 68 235 73 228 23507 21956 51 243 51 234 59 235 63 234 69 227 21956 20373 49 238 47 231 53 230 57 232 64 226 20373 18783 46 232 44 227 48*223 51 225 60 224 18783 17268 40 228 42 225 43*213 48 216 57 220 17268 15893 35 228 38 224 37 207 46 213 56 216 15893 14660 33 230 33*220 35 207 44 215 53 217 14660 13549 33 231 29*214 35 207 42 218 50 221 13549 12543 31 229 26 208 34 208 41*221 47 226 12543 11628 28 226 24 203 32 210 39*223 45 230 11628 10798 24 222 24 203 30 212 38 224 45 232 10798 10046 22 215 23 203 29 213 37 225 44 233 10046 9365 21*209 23 203 28 215 36 225 43 234 9365 8739 20*203 23 203 28 215 34 226 41 234 8739 8174 18 193 23 203 27 216 33 226 38 235 8174 7691 15 183 22 203 26 217 31 226 34 235 7691 7315 15 182 21 204 25 217 28 226 30 234 7315 7052 14 181 20 204 24 217 25 226 25*234 7052 6892 13 181 20 204 22 218 23 225 22*233 6892 6799 11 181 17 204 19 218 17 225 15 233 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography