DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.3 - - 41.3 - - 38.8 - - 36.6 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 174 - - 190 - - 64 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1192 - - 1673 - - 1921 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6714 - - 7083 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7421 - - 7902 - - 8150 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1156 - - 1276 - - 994 - - 1792 - - 3840 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 260 - - 299 - - 220 - - 36 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 239 - - 259 - - 251 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -11 - - -11 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 851 - - 1333 - - 1581 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -2846 - - 216 - - 454 - - 127 - - -1083 ODpotential blCL 9416 - - 7205 - - 7448 - - 8023 - - 7653 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 100 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.3 - - 41.3 - - 38.8 - - 36.6 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 38.8 - - 36.0 - - 32.1 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.7 - - 39.6 - - 37.1 - - 35.8 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 37.6 - - 34.7 - - 30.9 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 174 - - 190 - - 64 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1192 - - 1673 - - 1921 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 89 - - 102 - - 86 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98272 9 041 3 141 11 241 7 314 7 286 98272 90885 5 329 8 168 11 254 5 272 7 316 90885 85169 1 327 3 212 4 258 8 252 3 299 85169 80415 5 175 11 249 6 292 7 267 3 145 80415 76304 10 149 10 226 6 242 5 280 3 158 76304 72670 6 145 6 233 4 174 6 274 3 267 72670 69372 5 195 9 238 6 221 9 243 9 293 69372 66314 5 267 7 218 7 240 14 216 15 263 66314 63463 14 261 15 210 13 253 9 234 11 240 63463 60688 16 232 19 224 19 259 14 270 11 259 60688 57783 11 230 19 228 22 246 20 273 15 257 57783 54752 9 279 11 219 20 240 23 255 16 262 54752 51848 20 273 6 257 18 244 22 221 29 232 51848 49241 23 242 17 260 15 238 17 218 23 220 49241 46914 22 233 27 251 17 249 22 250 26 221 46914 44810 40 223 42 220 34 227 41 233 29 221 44810 42886 40 208 47 195 43 207 43 220 24 231 42886 41112 45 213 45 192 43 203 41 208 28 227 41112 39469 57 213 46 205 47 208 38 196 29 212 39469 37944 57 204 53 205 56 205 39 196 30 213 37944 36527 54 198 52 203 56 201 46 198 38 213 36527 35187 51 195 49 206 56 202 52 195 45 201 35187 33865 51 189 49 206 59 206 53 194 48 190 33865 32539 54 186 49 203 63 206 58 198 52 187 32539 31212 58 186 50 198 62 202 67 199 64 185 31212 29869 61 187 51 193 62 197 77 197 78 178 29869 28498 60 189 50 193 64 194 80 194 81 175 28498 27099 58 191 47 196 66 194 70 187 76 173 27099 25673 54 193 46 198 66 196 58 177 65 176 25673 24225 51 196 45 198 61 196 56 173 58 180 24225 22754 50 197 43 193 56 197 55 172 56 181 22754 21252 52 196 42 188 53 198 52 172 56 180 21252 19712 53 196 41 190 52 199 49 178 54 186 19712 18163 51 201 39 195 50 199 53 192 46 200 18163 16682 46 202 39 199 49 196 56 202 36 207 16682 15335 36 189 39 199 49 193 48 210 24 211 15335 14131 33 179 40 196 46 188 34 214 19 222 14131 13050 33 180 40 191 41 186 26 210 20 226 13050 12073 35 182 38 188 36 186 20 206 20 228 12073 11190 35 184 35 185 31 186 15 209 18 236 11190 10390 33 182 31 183 24 186 13 223 16 245 10390 9669 29 179 26 181 17 190 14 239 15 246 9669 9016 23 177 22 184 13 212 14 248 14 241 9016 8418 18 180 17 196 13*243 14*250 13 236 8418 7879 14 190 14 217 14*256 13*250 12 233 7879 7419 12 208 13*233 15 258 13 251 11 232 7419 7061 11 221 12*236 14 260 12 251 9 230 7061 6811 10 226 12 238 14 261 11 251 8 228 6811 6657 9*227 11 240 13 261 9 251 6*226 6657 6570 6*229 9 241 10 263 7 251 4*221 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography