DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.7 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 103 - - 71 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1390 - - 3184 - - 1865 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 1886 - - 262 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1670 - - 3464 - - 2145 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2606 - - 2338 - - 2335 - - 2795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 296 - - 223 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 246 - - 268 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 350 - - 597 - - 476 - - -1262 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1320 - - 2867 - - 1669 - - 1542 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -123 - - -144 - - -617 - - -3680 ODpotential blCL - - - 1793 - - 3608 - - 2762 - - 3960 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 93 - - 97 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 1250 - - 1780 - - 2640 - - 2510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.7 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.8 - - 66.2 - - 70.0 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 77.3 - - 76.3 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 65.0 - - 68.8 - - 69.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 103 - - 71 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1390 - - 3184 - - 1865 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 70 - - 87 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98183 8 147 8 211 1 305 7 309 98183 90815 8 160 3 123 4 185 7 324 90815 85110 10 147 3 158 4 217 4 256 85110 80359 7 135 7 179 4 208 6 234 80359 76269 1 301 9 157 7 175 4 237 76269 72652 2 103 7 133 8 181 0 177 72652 69384 7 136 10 141 13 172 10 209 69384 66417 4 157 10 158 11 187 15 211 66417 63691 17 219 14 213 8 242 9 232 63691 61046 19 215 19 230 19 249 17 248 61046 58280 19 244 30 228 28 238 23 242 58280 55392 29 242 30 224 24 229 20 258 55392 52601 30 236 25 264 27 269 32 268 52601 50076 36 254 39 262 37 261 44 259 50076 47826 48 252 43 250 42 258 44 264 47826 45798 41 241 37 247 44 259 45 268 45798 43952 25 255 34 255 47 261 46 267 43952 42258 32 267 37 257 48 262 46 268 42258 40691 39 263 41 260 47 268 46 271 40691 39230 36 258 35 261 48 277 48 276 39230 37856 23 244 29 265 51 283 51 279 37856 36530 15 242 29 258 52 285 55 282 36530 35179 15 248 29 248 48 283 59 286 35179 33771 24 248 27 243 43 277 62 289 33771 32307 37 236 25 246 37 274 63 292 32307 30771 43 234 27 247 23 276 57 296 30771 29153 42 243 31 248 19 279 46 291 29153 27457 36 248 31 248 18 284 38 288 27457 25680 28 248 29 251 19 297 33 290 25680 23818 22 253 23 256 20 291 31 286 23818 21875 24 241 23 260 20 278 26 284 21875 19847 24 251 18 256 21 279 25 282 19847 17731 24 267 19 260 24 277 25 282 17731 15579 17 274 19 281 26 277 22 284 15579 13505 16 282 20 294 26 279 22 288 13505 11613 19 297 19 300 23 280 20 292 11613 9930 20 304 19 308 18 283 16 287 9930 8434 15 311 19 311 12 295 12 288 8434 7103 8 309 15 308 8 325 10 289 7103 5921 6 274 11 306 8 333 8 290 5921 4874 7 251 9 293 9 319 4 291 4874 3952 5 257 7*270 9 299 2 238 3952 3140 4 251 7*249 8 281 6 208 3140 2414 4 243 7 247 9*272 10 202 2414 1774 3*236 7 246 8*270 11 200 1774 1240 3*230 7 245 8 269 10 200 1240 830 3 228 7 244 8 268 9 201 830 548 3 226 6 243 8 267 8 203 548 377 2 227 6 243 7 266 6*204 377 279 2 226 6 243 6 266 4*207 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography