DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.8 - - 76.9 - - 77.3 - - 70.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 63 - - 123 - - 67 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 545 - - 2075 - - 1778 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2339 - - 1563 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1930 - - 3460 - - 3163 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1186 - - 1711 - - 2272 - - 2307 - - 2189 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 277 - - 219 - - 46 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 142 - - 120 - - 136 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - -3 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 351 - - 1039 - - 779 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 2421 - - 2385 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 185 - - -13 - - -350 - - -257 - - -481 ODpotential blCL 1745 - - 3473 - - 3513 - - 1836 - - 2060 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1960 - - 2920 - - 3090 - - 1680 - - 1260 CAPE Temp@2m 70.8 - - 76.9 - - 77.3 - - 70.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.8 - - 70.9 - - 71.5 - - 69.5 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.1 - - 75.8 - - 76.5 - - 70.2 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.3 - - 69.8 - - 70.4 - - 69.4 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 63 - - 123 - - 67 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 545 - - 2075 - - 1778 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 78 - - 93 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98125 14 131 19 117 16 100 21 089 20 075 98125 90719 18 088 23 108 18 105 20 087 27 088 90719 85013 20 093 13 104 19 115 12 107 12 082 85013 80296 17 095 10 100 11 112 14 106 6 044 80296 76253 14 090 14 114 10 147 4 147 8 063 76253 72662 5 104 7 110 14 115 5 169 4 105 72662 69425 5 083 5 155 9 117 4 183 2 160 69425 66478 3 113 3 217 3 165 7 138 9 147 66478 63764 20 193 11 240 13 233 13 257 11 249 63764 61159 20 181 27 187 23 225 21 242 16 246 61159 58444 12 216 11 240 14 240 23 204 11 243 58444 55602 27 268 19 268 26 264 32 268 28 262 55602 52872 49 258 46 252 45 255 41 254 45 261 52872 50414 56 257 54 253 51 258 52 263 62 264 50414 48214 63 261 60 261 62 266 67 268 68 265 48214 46224 71 261 69 267 75 270 74 269 71 269 46224 44409 76 262 73 270 79 273 79 273 78 274 44409 42736 79 265 75 277 75 278 82 276 81 276 42736 41176 79 267 77 277 71 281 78 277 76 277 41176 39709 76 267 69 272 69 275 73 276 69 278 39709 38325 71 267 57 268 60 270 69 276 64 277 38325 36988 70 267 49 278 45 276 65 278 61 278 36988 35629 73 264 56 287 40 286 51 273 56 280 35629 34219 69 259 56 284 34 285 34 273 45 272 34219 32763 55 252 45 282 31 284 32 280 27 260 32763 31247 48 248 43 286 33 286 27 275 21 273 31247 29655 47 249 44 287 33 280 24 292 20 271 29655 27988 46 248 40 286 31 276 21 306 20 262 27988 26243 45 246 36 275 29 281 23 293 22 259 26243 24422 45 244 36 269 27 279 22 288 24 264 24422 22532 45 243 31 262 24 272 21 281 22 278 22532 20567 49 245 30 256 18 270 20 271 23 282 20567 18518 52 246 31 251 15 275 16 268 21 278 18518 16432 42 246 33 235 12 270 7 315 13 263 16432 14425 28 216 26 231 9 241 8 309 4 264 14425 12599 16 176 18 236 6 217 7 296 2 312 12599 10972 5 120 11 277 7 223 4 272 2 197 10972 9522 9 359 11 313 9 237 5 144 12 148 9522 8231 14 347 8 020 14 236 4 162 8 162 8231 7085 12 351 6 077 14 225 5 201 6 166 7085 6068 5 058 9 141 7 189 8 163 14 140 6068 5174 10 114 14 154 5 145 13 149 21 138 5174 4383 13 121 15 155 6 137 16 146 23 140 4383 3675 16 115 15*153 7*133 17 145 22 139 3675 3048 15 100 14*148 8*127 15 142 19 139 3048 2524 14 090 13 143 9 121 13 141 16 135 2524 2121 13*088 13 141 9 118 11 138 13 128 2121 1844 12*088 12 139 9 117 8 136 10 121 1844 1675 10 088 11 138 8 117 7*135 9*119 1675 1579 9 087 9 138 7 115 5*136 6*117 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography