DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 61.7 - - 64.4 - - 64.3 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 180 - - 194 - - 41 - - -13 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4035 - - 6861 - - 175 - - 176 - - 1647 BL Depth Hcrit 8387 - - 10580 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 9903 - - 12729 - - 6043 - - 6044 - - 7515 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1745 - - 2230 - - 10896 - - 11263 - - 4620 Hgt.Variab. W* 382 - - 467 - - 82 - - 24 - - 165 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 28 - - 34 - - 19 - - 21 - - 29 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 200 - - 210 - - 215 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg 52 - - 54 - - 34 - - 35 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1991 - - -1093 - - -8639 - - -8477 - - -2358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11894 - - 13822 - - 14682 - - 14522 - - 9874 sfcLCL ODpotential -5376 - - -4068 - - -10137 - - -10092 - - -4213 ODpotential blCL 15279 - - 16797 - - 16180 - - 16136 - - 11728 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 61.7 - - 64.4 - - 64.3 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 21.7 - - 20.5 - - 21.2 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 60.6 - - 64.0 - - 64.4 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 21.4 - - 20.4 - - 21.0 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 180 - - 194 - - 41 - - -13 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4035 - - 6861 - - 175 - - 176 - - 1647 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98312 3 113 11 238 18 242 11 267 8 303 98312 90936 7 011 5 184 3 275 5 247 6 282 90936 85208 4 005 7 176 1 108 1 180 6 224 85208 80445 7 171 9 205 3 167 1 211 2 163 80445 76335 12 133 10 179 7 209 3 322 6 092 76335 72692 11 117 5 150 9 181 6 241 6 064 72692 69394 10 173 2 178 5 187 5 208 3 324 69394 66368 11 193 7 205 10 227 6 177 5 235 66368 63564 9 220 10 229 12 253 8 268 11 261 63564 60835 6 227 11 239 8 271 6 285 3 274 60835 57974 15 282 18 255 11 244 11 324 19 294 57974 54982 34 255 26 243 21 237 20 262 31 267 54982 52120 44 248 35 255 35 254 31 219 30 255 52120 49559 43 252 35 259 35 267 33 247 32 265 49559 47283 48 253 31 261 38 267 39 262 35 248 47283 45221 55 250 49 250 52 247 47 243 39 252 45221 43323 62 256 53 247 58 234 55 237 52 248 43323 41574 74 263 63 254 59 240 69 236 66 243 41574 39966 80 260 80 255 76 246 83 240 74 238 39966 38484 84 257 92 253 93 243 97 239 83 237 38484 37113 85 255 97 249 100 240 107 234 98 236 37113 35816 85 254 96 247 100 239 107 231 108 231 35816 34525 85 254 92 244 100 238 104 231 111 228 34525 33208 84 254 87 242 98 236 102 232 113 227 33208 31866 82 255 85 241 96 235 101 233 114 229 31866 30487 78 256 83 240 93 235 99 233 115 231 30487 29063 74 255 81 241 89 235 95 232 114 233 29063 27602 69 250 77 240 86 235 91 231 106 234 27602 26108 65 240 73 237 83 233 88 229 93 227 26108 24581 65 235 71 234 81 231 86 228 91 217 24581 23026 65 232 70 232 78 229 83 227 91 216 23026 21446 62 230 68 230 73 228 76 226 80 214 21446 19837 57 227 62 228 66 226 65 223 62 210 19837 18217 51 222 58 226 56 218 52 217 53 208 18217 16661 48 219 56 225 47 208 45 213 50 207 16661 15244 48 220 53 221 45 207 44 214 47 208 15244 13978 48 222 47 214 44 208 43 215 45 210 13978 12840 50 223 41*207 43 210 43 216 43 213 12840 11812 50 224 39*204 42 210 43 217 41 219 11812 10882 46 223 38 204 41 211 43 217 39 225 10882 10040 38*216 36 201 39 211 42 217 37 233 10040 9282 33*209 35 200 38 211 42 217 35 241 9282 8597 31 203 34 199 37 211 42 217 33 250 8597 7970 30 198 33 198 36 211 41 217 32*259 7970 7406 28 193 32 197 34 211 40 217 31*266 7406 6927 27 190 31 197 33 211 38 217 31 269 6927 6554 26 188 29 196 30 211 36 216 30 269 6554 6294 24 187 28 196 27 211 33 216 28 270 6294 6135 23 187 25 195 24 210 29*216 26 269 6135 6043 19 187 21 195 19*210 21*215 19 268 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography