DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/05 BigSpring_TX 2550ft pt20904@32.162,-101.426,2509ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: David Glover, Flying Human RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1336z - - 1611z - - 1902z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 87.0 - - 98.0 - - 101.6 - - 97.4 - - 88.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 241 - - 592 - - 543 - - 169 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1678 - - 8596 - - 11423 - - 11053 - - 1257 BL Depth Hcrit 3420 - - 9172 - - 11462 - - 10363 - - 2573 Hcrit BL Top 4228 - - 11146 - - 13973 - - 13603 - - 3807 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2686 - - 2679 - - 2251 - - 1622 - - 5811 Hgt.Variab. W* 303 - - 705 - - 754 - - 506 - - 72 W* B/S 33 - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 17 - - 19 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 067 - - 068 - - 076 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 22 - - 13 - - 14 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4826 - - 308 - - 1876 - - 2199 - - -4672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9055 - - 10839 - - 12098 - - 11405 - - 8480 sfcLCL ODpotential -7324 - - -2301 - - -317 - - 1522 - - -6869 ODpotential blCL 11552 - - 13447 - - 14290 - - 12081 - - 10676 blCL maxRH 71 - - 64 - - 67 - - 94 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 676 - - 636 - - 359 - - 304 CAPE Temp@2m 87.0 - - 98.0 - - 101.6 - - 97.4 - - 88.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.1 - - 58.8 - - 56.7 - - 55.9 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 85.1 - - 94.4 - - 98.4 - - 96.5 - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 58.8 - - 56.7 - - 55.9 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 241 - - 592 - - 543 - - 169 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1678 - - 8596 - - 11423 - - 11053 - - 1257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 75 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70612 26 088 22 091 22 087 23 086 19 104 70612 61992 17 086 28 096 18 087 16 094 21 080 61992 59080 18 074 21 078 20 099 17 100 23 082 59080 56570 15 088 7 068 13 123 8 129 14 090 56570 54598 7 060 7 001 19 076 14 138 8 107 54598 51861 12 137 4 105 13 089 13 152 5 227 51861 50739 7 106 10 031 16 066 9 102 4 111 50739 48301 9 098 15 035 16 058 11 074 9 103 48301 46054 12 099 14 046 14 053 12 054 11 119 46054 44088 16 091 13 061 8 066 9 062 9 120 44088 40516 19 080 14 072 9 099 9 068 5 119 40516 36322 20 072 17 080 20 092 13 051 16 045 36322 32817 21 061 19 073 19 080 13 061 16 031 32817 29532 18 043 21 050 17 070 13 039 16 031 29532 27147 17 031 21 040 18 056 16 034 17 045 27147 25085 10 066 11 065 15 046 18 035 17 061 25085 22653 10 092 13 099 10 045 20 023 22 064 22653 20231 14 095 21 104 12 057 18 026 25 055 20231 17693 18 092 24 097 18 064 18 051 22 054 17693 16210 20 088 22 094 20 075 19 068 21 060 16210 15423 22 089 21 095 20 077 21 079 21 069 15423 14768 23 092 21 095 20 078 23 084 22 073 14768 14207 23 093 20 093 21*079 25 085 24 075 14207 13655 23 093 20 088 21*079 26*085 26 076 13655 13111 22 090 20 084 21 078 25*083 26 078 13111 12575 18 084 20 083 21 078 20 079 26 079 12575 12048 16 078 20 079 21 078 20 079 25 078 12048 11529 15 071 21*074 21 077 20 079 24 075 11529 11019 15 070 22*074 18 069 20 079 23 072 11019 10515 14 073 23 076 18 068 20 079 22 069 10515 10018 13 077 23 078 18 067 20 079 19 067 10018 9528 10 069 23 079 17 067 20 079 18 067 9528 9045 6 048 18 077 17 067 20 079 17 072 9045 8568 4 033 13 072 17 065 20 079 17 078 8568 8098 2 031 11 070 17 064 21 078 18 085 8098 7633 0 064 10 068 17 063 21 077 20 090 7633 7175 0 091 9 065 17 063 20 076 21 093 7175 6721 0 064 8 062 17 062 20 075 22 097 6721 6273 1 035 7 060 17 062 20 074 23 100 6273 5830 1 023 6 056 17 061 19 073 23 103 5830 5392 2 008 6 054 17 061 19 072 22 107 5392 4959 2 007 4 035 16 060 19 071 22 112 4959 4530 2*006 4 007 16 059 18 071 22 116 4530 4106 2*001 3 001 12 064 18 069 20*121 4106 3687 2 316 3 357 11 064 18 069 19*125 3687 3272 2 297 3 357 11 065 17 068 17 128 3272 2998 2 289 3 357 11 065 16 068 15 130 2998 2793 2 289 3 353 10 065 15 068 14 130 2793 2657 2 291 3 353 10 064 13 068 12 131 2657 2589 2 291 3 352 9 064 11 068 9 131 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography