DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/05 Avenal 800ft pt30152@35.983,-120.178,1214ft SPONSORED BY: Central California Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1331z - - 1601z - - 1858z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.8 - - 83.2 - - 95.4 - - 97.4 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 328 - - 385 - - 218 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 430 - - 1620 - - 1818 - - 430 - - 430 BL Depth Hcrit 1214 - - 1717 - - 1901 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top 1230 - - 2420 - - 2618 - - 1230 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 235 - - 1227 - - 4641 - - 8286 - - 1256 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 332 - - 364 - - 186 - - 46 W* B/S 3 - - 18 - - 22 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 097 - - 030 - - 275 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 11 - - 5 - - -11 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4437 - - -4164 - - -8134 - - -11567 - - -7556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5667 - - 6584 - - 10753 - - 12798 - - 8786 sfcLCL ODpotential -11156 - - -9204 - - -11463 - - -14252 - - -11628 ODpotential blCL 12386 - - 11624 - - 14081 - - 15482 - - 12858 blCL maxRH 54 - - 53 - - 52 - - 43 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 CAPE Temp@2m 73.8 - - 83.2 - - 95.4 - - 97.4 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.5 - - 58.6 - - 52.3 - - 45.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.3 - - 79.6 - - 91.3 - - 94.5 - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.5 - - 58.6 - - 52.3 - - 45.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 328 - - 385 - - 218 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 430 - - 1620 - - 1818 - - 430 - - 430 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 69691 11 108 11 115 11 111 11 102 12 098 69691 61086 17 139 4 091 11 091 15 110 10 145 61086 57912 20 133 12 200 6 187 3 251 5 108 57912 54866 15 166 18 204 17 227 19 246 13 261 54866 52334 17 193 15 178 22 203 27 225 27 224 52334 50066 18 208 19 162 30 187 27 206 32 200 50066 47664 25 206 22 182 29 190 29 197 37 191 47664 45551 28 205 25 196 30 200 32 202 35 200 45551 43922 28 202 29 196 34 201 35 208 36 204 43922 42447 29 199 32 201 37 209 36 210 37 205 42447 40664 31 197 33 198 36 213 35 209 37 205 40664 38879 34 196 32 194 34 213 32 206 35 202 38879 36774 35 196 32 192 33 209 30 200 29 200 36774 34066 33 199 32 189 32 198 28 201 26 201 34066 30997 28 200 29 188 29 190 27 202 28 211 30997 27052 26 203 26 186 27 187 25 195 32 207 27052 23866 24 210 24 192 24 190 27 191 31 204 23866 21254 20 210 23 196 21 190 28 184 29 199 21254 19583 18 208 21 194 19 187 25 178 27 186 19583 17992 15 203 17 193 16 186 18 175 23 178 17992 16674 14 195 16 193 14 182 14 174 20 174 16674 15115 14 182 13 188 14 171 12 174 17 175 15115 13615 13 176 12 181 14 167 12 172 13 178 13615 13019 12 168 13 172 13 162 11 166 12 181 13019 12434 11 159 13 164 12 161 11 153 12 180 12434 11859 10 154 12 157 12 156 11 139 12 176 11859 11294 9 154 11 152 11 150 11 133 12 165 11294 10737 7 161 10 152 11 142 11 123 12 153 10737 10188 7 166 9 157 11 138 10 120 12 138 10188 9648 6 176 7 164 9 135 9 122 11 131 9648 9116 7 188 6 177 6 142 6 128 10 124 9116 8592 6 196 5 187 4 156 3 129 7 111 8592 8075 5 183 5 185 3 202 2 331 5 055 8075 7565 6 148 6 165 5 244 5 323 7 022 7565 7062 6 143 6 164 8 257 7 317 9 013 7062 6567 6 136 6 170 8 260 7 312 10 011 6567 6077 5 135 6 177 8 265 8 307 11 009 6077 5594 4 140 6 195 8 270 8 301 12 008 5594 5117 3 171 7 220 7 270 9 294 12 004 5117 4646 5 249 6 241 6 270 9 289 13 358 4646 4181 6 264 6 248 6 269 10 285 14 349 4181 3721 4 293 8 243 5 271 10 282 16 337 3721 3267 4 326 8 235 5 278 10 281 18 325 3267 2819 5 337 6*226 4*296 10 279 22 306 2819 2378 4 318 2*183 2*335 10 278 27 281 2378 1943 3 256 3 100 3 023 9 277 26 274 1943 1657 5 235 4 091 4 037 9 276 24 272 1657 1443 7 234 5 086 4 042 8 276 22 272 1443 1301 9*242 5 084 4 046 7 275 19*272 1301 1230 5*242 5 081 4 048 6*275 14*272 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography