DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 63.0 - - 65.5 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 30 - - 15 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3419 - - 2513 - - 3692 - - 1859 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 86 - - 74 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 184 - - 163 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -505 - - 0 - - -411 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3322 - - 2817 - - 3228 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1096 - - -584 - - -1190 - - -352 ODpotential blCL - - - 3913 - - 3401 - - 4007 - - 3169 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 520 - - 570 - - 900 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 63.0 - - 65.5 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.4 - - 60.5 - - 60.7 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 62.2 - - 64.8 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 60.0 - - 60.0 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 30 - - 15 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 98 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98126 9 169 16 219 10 238 9 298 98126 90750 7 206 13 196 11 242 3 317 90750 85069 4 305 7 135 8 247 6 305 85069 80339 3 355 5 087 3 230 8 284 80339 76254 4 073 3 022 5 105 3 293 76254 72655 5 095 2 019 8 121 2 243 72655 69420 10 139 4 092 7 121 6 193 69420 66469 3 108 0 083 5 104 5 158 66469 63746 6 003 3 182 7 160 4 184 63746 61114 13 321 2 266 6 151 4 214 61114 58345 17 281 12 261 13 257 17 269 58345 55438 19 263 24 250 28 244 27 244 55438 52640 20 259 26 256 30 250 30 261 52640 50110 27 274 35 255 41 257 34 253 50110 47851 36 273 34 256 35 261 28 247 47851 45813 38 261 29 251 36 258 31 259 45813 43955 39 241 33 233 35 238 35 253 43955 42255 38 219 38 226 30 224 39 235 42255 40701 42 218 41 216 28 219 39 219 40701 39263 42 217 38 216 32 214 36 210 39263 37913 35 218 36 211 33 213 33 203 37913 36610 31 216 32 203 33 212 27 203 36610 35289 31 212 29 205 32 208 28 205 35289 33920 27 215 26 212 31 207 29 205 33920 32507 22 224 22 209 29 208 27 210 32507 31035 23 229 18 209 26 208 25 215 31035 29493 23 229 18 229 22 203 25 217 29493 27883 20 222 18 233 21 200 25 217 27883 26205 20 210 16 229 19 209 24 217 26205 24464 20 204 16 227 17 213 22 217 24464 22662 19 208 17 222 16 218 19 212 22662 20795 16 213 19 217 17 222 18 205 20795 18859 15 218 18 214 17 225 18 199 18859 16891 16 218 18 214 18 226 16 200 16891 14998 21 220 20 210 17 227 14 210 14998 13278 21 220 20 212 19 232 15 211 13278 11751 18 222 18 215 18 221 12 211 11751 10395 15 223 17 217 18 219 11 216 10395 9185 14 221 16 214 16 219 11 232 9185 8105 12 217 15 212 14 214 12 237 8105 7142 11 215 14 209 13 202 12 227 7142 6289 12 209 13 206 13 190 12 211 6289 5531 12 200 12 202 13 183 13 199 5531 4849 12 192 12 199 13 178 12 194 4849 4243 11 187 11 197 12 175 12 195 4243 3736 10 182 10 192 10 170 11 190 3736 3345 9 179 9 188 9 167 10 187 3345 3075 8 178 7 185 8 166 8 183 3075 2911 7*178 6*184 7*165 6*182 2911 2817 6*176 5*184 5*163 4*180 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography