DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 50.1 - - 54.2 - - 50.6 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 126 - - 404 - - 371 - - 1 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 5295 - - 9175 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 12675 - - 15775 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 14095 - - 17975 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3113 - - 2012 - - 1124 - - 8534 - - 6399 Hgt.Variab. W* 185 - - 567 - - 662 - - 58 - - 43 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 26 - - 34 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 170 - - 197 - - 201 - - 212 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 29 - - 76 - - 91 - - 31 - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 468 - - 1331 - - -6120 - - -3600 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 13628 - - 16645 - - 15484 - - 12963 sfcLCL ODpotential -917 - - -3007 - - -3229 - - -8623 - - -6182 ODpotential blCL 10279 - - 17102 - - 21204 - - 17986 - - 15545 blCL maxRH 87 - - 98 - - 93 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 50.1 - - 54.2 - - 50.6 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 22.8 - - 13.5 - - 15.3 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 - - 47.1 - - 51.6 - - 49.9 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 21.7 - - 12.4 - - 14.6 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 126 - - 404 - - 371 - - 1 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 5295 - - 9175 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 93 - - 70 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98327 3 262 12 242 14 240 12 278 5 319 98327 90889 7 036 4 178 2 280 3 202 6 274 90889 85157 5 063 4 128 1 254 2 161 8 272 85157 80429 2 129 6 203 1 097 4 013 8 101 80429 76339 3 101 8 196 4 199 4 311 7 064 76339 72693 5 101 9 140 8 189 3 258 3 014 72693 69388 7 194 3 178 3 256 2 286 3 318 69388 66355 13 183 6 132 8 253 4 268 3 332 66355 63545 18 226 15 222 14 219 8 252 9 274 63545 60824 20 204 16 214 15 244 11 266 5 165 60824 57974 25 237 22 239 19 257 8 291 8 285 57974 55004 41 251 37 252 29 239 23 232 22 285 55004 52166 51 246 42 236 30 233 21 224 23 258 52166 49609 50 242 38 245 36 253 20 251 31 269 49609 47325 46 248 43 253 46 253 49 257 39 263 47325 45267 50 255 50 255 53 248 62 245 53 254 45267 43391 51 260 56 258 57 246 70 240 67 242 43391 41680 55 265 65 261 67 247 82 240 77 238 41680 40109 62 266 79 258 86 248 93 239 88 240 40109 38658 68 266 90 254 97 246 97 236 101 237 38658 37315 70 265 92 250 98 244 96 234 104 232 37315 36046 71 263 89 249 96 243 93 233 100 229 36046 34787 71 261 85 247 93 242 91 233 97 229 34787 33510 70 259 83 246 91 242 91 233 97 230 33510 32222 71 258 81 245 89 241 90 233 97 231 32222 30915 69 257 77 245 86 240 89 233 96 230 30915 29582 64 254 73 243 83 239 87 233 94 230 29582 28230 59 248 70 240 79 237 84 232 90 230 28230 26865 59 244 68 238 75 235 82 232 86 228 26865 25492 60 243 65 235 72 234 79 231 83 226 25492 24117 61 243 62 234 70 233 76 231 80 224 24117 22737 60 242 58 232 66 232 71 230 76 222 22737 21350 56 238 53 229 62 230 65 228 71 221 21350 19974 53 233 49 225 55 223 57 223 66 220 19974 18671 49 228 48 223 46*212 50 215 62 218 18671 17493 45 221 46 220 41*206 45 212 57 215 17493 16441 41 217 43 217 38 203 43 213 53 213 16441 15488 40 217 38 213 37 202 41 214 50 215 15488 14618 39 218 33*207 36 202 40 215 47 219 14618 13818 37 217 30*201 35 201 39 216 46 223 13818 13081 34 213 28 198 34 201 38 216 45 226 13081 12404 29 207 28 197 34 200 37 216 44 228 12404 11783 26 199 27 196 33 200 36 216 43 229 11783 11204 23 191 27 196 32 200 35 216 41 230 11204 10675 20 184 26 196 31 199 32 216 39 230 10675 10218 17 177 25 196 30 199 30 215 35 230 10218 9860 15 173 24 196 29 199 26 214 31 230 9860 9607 13 172 23 195 27 198 23 214 25 229 9607 9452 12*171 21 195 24 198 19*213 21*229 9452 9363 9*170 15 195 16 197 12*212 12*228 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography