DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 55.2 - - 51.7 - - 46.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - -4 - - 31 - - 66 - - 75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3182 - - 2541 - - 2325 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 5146 - - 5122 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 7482 - - 6841 - - 6625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3212 - - 6913 - - 2568 - - 2845 - - 4309 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 24 - - 213 - - 243 - - 247 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 16 - - 28 - - 25 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 211 - - 224 - - 247 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -7 - - 11 - - 13 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3795 - - -3807 - - 1383 - - 1424 - - 141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7890 - - 7902 - - 6099 - - 5417 - - 6485 sfcLCL ODpotential -9065 - - -5166 - - -440 - - -235 - - -1877 ODpotential blCL 13159 - - 9260 - - 7922 - - 7076 - - 8502 blCL maxRH 99 - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 55.2 - - 51.7 - - 46.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 34.5 - - 38.7 - - 36.2 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 55.1 - - 51.1 - - 45.2 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 33.4 - - 37.6 - - 35.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - -4 - - 31 - - 66 - - 75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3182 - - 2541 - - 2325 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 102 - - 94 - - 91 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98093 4 024 4 191 8 258 10 316 6 304 98093 90749 5 168 6 251 3 174 9 223 1 266 90749 85059 8 171 3 208 5 221 9 262 4 299 85059 80309 4 121 4 192 9 202 8 250 5 330 80309 76195 2 137 5 190 7 207 3 196 1 157 76195 72546 6 152 8 167 8 235 4 266 3 212 72546 69237 2 196 7 194 7 218 7 225 2 299 69237 66175 5 246 6 222 5 237 7 244 12 291 66175 63313 11 266 14 234 13 248 17 243 16 248 63313 60536 17 267 8 210 9 208 8 227 19 255 60536 57651 13 273 13 273 16 257 17 284 18 244 57651 54667 19 259 32 246 24 247 22 249 9 271 54667 51816 31 247 26 225 15 249 11 230 11 316 51816 49232 25 248 7 212 22 284 19 277 7 314 49232 46903 18 275 24 277 37 265 43 258 46 248 46903 44795 27 268 52 259 52 258 53 257 50 252 44795 42867 44 265 63 249 63 245 57 251 48 261 42867 41088 64 270 67 248 66 229 60 244 51 260 41088 39439 72 266 71 246 66 228 62 234 55 250 39439 37906 73 264 73 239 75 233 61 223 55 240 37906 36479 72 263 73 236 85 230 59 219 52 238 36479 35123 69 260 74 239 90 225 57 221 52 241 35123 33768 63 254 75 241 93 225 58 224 52 242 33768 32385 59 245 75 241 93 230 59 224 52 243 32385 30978 57 240 74 239 87 232 62 221 54 246 30978 29534 56 237 71 235 77 223 67 213 57 245 29534 28048 56 237 71 232 75 213 73 204 60 241 28048 26528 57 237 71 231 78 210 78 199 61 236 26528 24979 57 237 70 230 80 213 80 201 59 231 24979 23402 56 235 69 229 81 219 82 208 57 225 23402 21794 54 230 66 229 78 221 81 215 58 223 21794 20145 51 223 61 229 73 221 75 219 57 226 20145 18443 48 214 56 228 68 223 67 220 49 229 18443 16719 46 206 53 227 66 224 63 220 39 223 16719 15065 44 204 53 227 62 222 62 218 40 216 15065 13561 42 207 56 225 57 216 60 217 41 220 13561 12221 42 212 55 219 51 213 54 219 37 229 12221 11022 43 217 49 213 46 213 43 226 31 237 11022 9946 44 220 41 208 43 214 34 233 28 242 9946 8977 44 223 37 208 39 216 32 238 27 245 8977 8108 43 224 36 210 36*218 31 242 28 247 8108 7331 39 226 34 212 33*220 30*244 28 248 7331 6635 35 228 32 213 31 222 29*246 28*250 6635 6005 29 231 31 214 30 224 28 247 27*251 6005 5440 22 232 29 215 27 225 26 247 26 252 5440 4963 17 231 26 215 26 226 25 248 25 252 4963 4595 13 228 24 215 25 226 23 247 24 252 4595 4338 11 226 21 214 23 226 21 247 22 252 4338 4182 10*224 20*213 22 226 20 246 21 252 4182 4092 9*221 16*211 18 224 17 244 17 251 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography