DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/05 Aguila_AZ 2208ft pt25065@33.821,-113.087,2303ft SPONSORED BY: Aguila Air Services BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1015z - - 1338z - - 1614z - - 1904z - - 2207z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 85.7 - - 94.5 - - 98.5 - - 98.5 - - 92.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 280 - - 456 - - 206 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 157 - - 6092 - - 8401 - - 9967 - - 157 BL Depth Hcrit 2349 - - 6497 - - 8560 - - 9329 - - 2349 Hcrit BL Top 2365 - - 8300 - - 10609 - - 12175 - - 2365 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3355 - - 2554 - - 1257 - - 1318 - - 8656 Hgt.Variab. W* 78 - - 500 - - 646 - - 523 - - 17 W* B/S 4 - - 44 - - 21 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 283 - - 216 - - 230 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -8 - - -38 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5059 - - -1911 - - -636 - - 574 - - -7482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7425 - - 10211 - - 11246 - - 11602 - - 9848 sfcLCL ODpotential -7997 - - -4059 - - -3754 - - 319 - - -9227 ODpotential blCL 10362 - - 12359 - - 14363 - - 11856 - - 11592 blCL maxRH 68 - - 77 - - 84 - - 93 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 139 - - 162 - - 354 - - 209 CAPE Temp@2m 85.7 - - 94.5 - - 98.5 - - 98.5 - - 92.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.1 - - 57.6 - - 56.8 - - 55.3 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.5 - - 91.7 - - 95.2 - - 96.7 - - 92.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.1 - - 57.6 - - 56.8 - - 55.3 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 280 - - 456 - - 206 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 157 - - 6092 - - 8401 - - 9967 - - 157 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 36 - - 70 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 71922 18 102 16 108 15 107 13 101 17 090 71922 61758 20 102 20 110 20 112 16 110 6 136 61758 58563 7 017 20 078 20 135 21 120 31 156 58563 55726 18 213 3 327 14 136 19 119 16 148 55726 53801 24 169 17 224 17 241 7 069 12 137 53801 51193 15 170 29 188 24 220 9 178 10 207 51193 50656 8 175 21 168 16 188 14 165 16 191 50656 49347 24 230 22 202 21 212 14 191 14 213 49347 45784 28 221 28 197 21 204 17 184 18 179 45784 43647 21 197 32 184 22 189 25 168 26 184 43647 40680 28 193 31 180 26 173 28 174 26 176 40680 37474 31 180 36 181 27 180 24 178 26 181 37474 32804 28 168 32 184 27 188 16 193 23 194 32804 29651 21 178 25 179 26 191 14 195 19 196 29651 26914 20 194 23 180 23 184 14 186 17 199 26914 24724 20 196 15 202 17 177 17 193 18 210 24724 22724 12 193 13 222 12 181 16 190 17 203 22724 20648 9 220 9 211 6 211 8 210 15 190 20648 16878 7 267 6 227 8 218 10 236 9 195 16878 15870 7 291 5 232 6 224 9 238 7 201 15870 15279 7 296 4 244 5 227 9 237 6 210 15279 14700 8 289 4 260 5 237 8 239 5 221 14700 14131 8 279 5 272 5 255 7 243 5 232 14131 13572 9 275 5 277 6 276 6 260 4 238 13572 13023 9 277 4 281 7 290 6 294 3 272 13023 12482 9 280 1 286 8 299 7*307 4 321 12482 11950 10 279 1 078 8 300 8*305 6 332 11950 11426 11 272 1 078 7 297 8 300 6 340 11426 10909 12 266 0 317 5*300 8 296 6 346 10909 10400 11 258 1 261 3*301 8 290 6 337 10400 9898 11 251 2 233 3 297 7 282 6 323 9898 9403 11 246 5 175 3 286 7 274 6 311 9403 8914 9 236 8 163 4 272 6 267 6 301 8914 8432 5 203 8*160 4 264 6 258 6 294 8432 7954 4 139 6*160 4 256 6 250 7 288 7954 7484 5 110 4 167 5 247 6 240 7 281 7484 7018 5 105 1 206 5 237 7 230 7 276 7018 6558 5 085 2 262 6 227 7 222 7 269 6558 6103 5 063 3 272 6 221 7 214 7 262 6103 5654 6 046 3 280 7 216 8 208 7 254 5654 5209 6 026 3 286 8 210 8 202 7 247 5209 4770 6 014 4 302 8 204 9 196 7 239 4770 4335 6 006 3 311 9 200 9 192 7 230 4335 3904 8 008 3 313 10 196 10 188 7 222 3904 3479 9 020 3 313 10 193 10 185 8 215 3479 3058 7 041 3 312 11 191 10 183 8 206 3058 2779 6 049 3 309 11 190 10 182 8 200 2779 2572 5 044 3 308 10 189 10 181 7 196 2572 2434 4 041 3 305 10 189 9 181 5 193 2434 2365 3*043 2 303 9 189 8 181 3*192 2365 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography