DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Williams 49ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1019z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.0 - - 42.0 - - 45.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -8 - - -2 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1653 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 49 - - 49 - - 49 - - 49 - - 49 Hcrit BL Top 66 - - 66 - - 66 - - 1702 - - 66 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 580 - - 1208 - - 2134 - - 974 - - 458 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 133 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 143 - - 120 - - 169 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2965 - - -2038 - - -2896 - - -1589 - - -1152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3031 - - 2105 - - 2962 - - 3291 - - 1218 sfcLCL ODpotential -15219 - - -12617 - - -14525 - - -13052 - - -13591 ODpotential blCL 15285 - - 12683 - - 14591 - - 14754 - - 13657 blCL maxRH 59 - - 70 - - 63 - - 97 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.0 - - 42.0 - - 45.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 33.4 - - 32.6 - - 34.4 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.1 - - 42.1 - - 45.1 - - 48.1 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 33.4 - - 32.6 - - 34.4 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -8 - - -2 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1653 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 87 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70993 28 024 26 028 26 033 25 032 26 031 70993 60731 28 015 28 016 27 008 32 014 32 014 60731 56758 66 344 64 350 62 354 59 355 61 354 56758 53268 68 345 71 347 70 344 61 346 66 343 53268 49435 61 346 57 344 58 344 62 350 71 348 49435 46402 56 003 62 001 74 356 78 351 84 346 46402 45225 78 002 74 003 87 355 86 349 90 346 45225 44343 89 354 90 355 95 352 93 348 94 345 44343 43778 95 352 96 352 99 351 97 347 95 345 43778 43375 99 350 100 350 101 351 100 346 96 345 43375 42940 104 350 104 349 104 350 103 345 97 345 42940 42435 108 349 109 349 106 349 106 344 99 344 42435 41873 111 350 113 350 107 348 108 344 101 343 41873 40966 115 351 116 350 106 347 109 343 101 342 40966 39468 118 352 118 350 100 347 106 343 98 342 39468 38057 118 352 117 351 97 351 99 344 88 344 38057 36811 110 352 116 355 98 355 93 345 79 347 36811 32645 87 349 110 353 95 347 88 348 81 347 32645 28354 79 346 95 352 93 346 83 347 75 345 28354 24214 70 346 77 348 87 354 77 344 68 344 24214 21769 69 344 67 341 80 350 73 342 67 345 21769 19613 71 342 67 338 74 343 69 341 67 346 19613 17766 70 341 67 336 72 342 68 340 65 344 17766 16270 68 339 66 334 70 342 66 340 63 342 16270 14956 64 338 64 332 66 342 64 341 62 342 14956 13751 58 335 63 329 59 341 61 342 60 343 13751 12594 54 331 62 322 55 338 57 342 60 345 12594 11482 53 327 59 321 53 336 55 343 60 346 11482 10385 47 323 54 324 52 333 54 344 59 346 10385 9436 43 322 48 327 50 332 52 344 57 348 9436 8628 39 320 41 328 46 331 52 344 55 350 8628 7928 36 319 36 325 41 331 50 344 51 352 7928 7261 32 314 34 320 35 329 48 344 47 354 7261 6613 27 310 31 316 31 326 43 345 43 355 6613 5896 22 297 26 308 27 322 34 348 39 357 5896 5313 17 276 22 295 25 319 26 350 35 358 5313 4824 16 248 21 286 22 314 20 350 31 358 4824 4342 16 228 19 274 20 309 16 351 26 358 4342 3870 17 216 16 263 18 302 12 347 21 359 3870 3404 17 211 14 240 16 294 8 337 16 359 3404 2946 16 209 12 218 12 280 5 311 12 356 2946 2496 16 208 13 200 8 255 4 234 10 347 2496 2052 16 211 13 190 6 211 7*188 6 330 2052 1616 17 215 13 183 8 175 10*175 2 295 1616 1186 16 215 13 178 10 153 11 170 2 165 1186 761 15 215 12 175 12 136 11 169 4 149 761 481 11 196 10 167 9 124 10 169 6 149 481 272 11 174 9 154 8 123 10 167 7 149 272 134 9*169 7*147 6*121 9 166 6*148 134 66 6*166 5*143 5*120 7 166 3*139 66 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography