DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0936z - - 1025z - - 1337z - - 1615z - - 1906z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.6 - - 33.9 - - 34.8 - - 31.7 - - 29.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 169 - - 284 - - 60 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 221 - - 2855 - - 5487 - - 4234 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1355 - - 3001 - - 5220 - - 3161 - - 1355 Hcrit BL Top 1658 - - 4292 - - 6924 - - 5671 - - 1373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3893 - - 4719 - - 2827 - - 3687 - - 6888 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 320 - - 472 - - 260 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 18 - - 27 - - 31 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 339 - - 326 - - 322 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 15 - - 9 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -860 - - 597 - - 1903 - - 1521 - - -1963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2518 - - 3695 - - 5022 - - 4150 - - 3336 sfcLCL ODpotential -1193 - - -680 - - 1541 - - 204 - - -2236 ODpotential blCL 2851 - - 4972 - - 5383 - - 5467 - - 3609 blCL maxRH 88 - - 81 - - 77 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 14 CAPE Temp@2m 30.6 - - 33.9 - - 34.8 - - 31.7 - - 29.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.7 - - 22.7 - - 17.7 - - 18.6 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.6 - - 33.1 - - 33.3 - - 31.5 - - 29.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.7 - - 22.7 - - 17.7 - - 18.6 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 169 - - 284 - - 60 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 221 - - 2855 - - 5487 - - 4234 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 24 - - 6 - - 7 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70007 26 280 17 302 16 297 22 296 26 298 70007 57502 81 237 66 254 46 265 38 271 39 285 57502 53131 47 276 60 279 53 277 44 281 44 301 53131 48547 58 272 62 279 52 286 42 286 39 294 48547 44365 62 259 55 277 53 284 46 296 45 309 44365 41334 60 256 46 263 49 277 53 296 58 304 41334 39658 58 260 44 260 49 277 49 289 62 305 39658 38058 57 268 46 265 50 278 48 285 64 306 38058 36984 59 271 49 271 48 277 48 286 66 308 36984 36389 59 269 49 272 48 280 50 288 65 313 36389 35856 57 266 48 270 49 284 56 295 64 315 35856 35250 56 262 47 270 49 285 57 301 62 315 35250 34539 59 263 50 275 48 286 56 305 62 315 34539 33626 62 262 54 278 46 288 54 307 64 318 33626 32636 62 260 57 279 44 289 53 311 67 323 32636 31817 60 261 57 280 43 289 52 313 69 326 31817 31139 57 261 53 281 42 292 53 316 71 326 31139 30554 55 261 51 282 42 297 53 319 72 326 30554 29966 50 261 50 282 44 302 51 320 71 327 29966 29301 48 261 52 283 46 304 48 319 69 327 29301 28876 46 261 52 284 48 306 48 320 68 327 28876 28457 43 262 50 285 50 306 50 321 68 328 28457 27999 43 263 45 284 50 310 51 321 69 330 27999 27476 45 262 40 284 48 315 52 320 71 331 27476 26944 45 263 37 285 48 318 53 319 73 331 26944 26430 42 265 37 287 48 315 52 319 72 331 26430 25969 39 266 36 286 49 315 51 318 67 329 25969 25528 37 268 34 284 46 316 50 320 62 327 25528 24826 36 270 31 281 43 320 50 324 56 323 24826 23422 36 271 28 280 42 325 45 328 49 319 23422 22125 37 271 26 279 45 331 46 328 44 316 22125 20836 38 269 25 280 48 334 49 328 41 315 20836 19430 36 266 26 283 47 335 50 327 40 318 19430 18072 34 262 26 281 44 335 48 329 41 322 18072 15758 31 260 26 275 39 336 41 335 38 331 15758 13583 26 272 27 272 34 333 38 343 36 337 13583 11855 31 269 26 287 27 324 29 326 34 343 11855 9770 21 279 20 267 19 333 21 321 35 342 9770 8438 11 343 22 322 24*350 24 342 33 345 8438 8220 17 002 25*337 27*335 38*342 35 347 8220 4006 18 004 24*340 28 324 35*323 37 333 4006 3599 19 001 23 342 27 324 34 322 35 332 3599 3196 19 354 20 338 27 324 33 322 33 331 3196 2797 18 354 19 338 27 324 31 321 31 330 2797 2403 16 354 18 338 26 323 30 321 29 329 2403 2013 15 355 17 338 25 323 27 320 26 328 2013 1755 13*355 16 337 24 323 25 320 24 327 1755 1563 11*355 14 337 23 323 23 319 21 327 1563 1435 10 356 12 337 21 323 21 319 17*326 1435 1372 6 354 10 336 19 322 17 318 12*325 1372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography