DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1024z - - 1333z - - 1604z - - 1908z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.4 - - 33.9 - - 33.3 - - 32.3 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 54 - - 30 - - 3 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 861 - - 798 - - 931 - - 726 - - 482 BL Depth Hcrit 626 - - 626 - - 626 - - 626 - - 626 Hcrit BL Top 1521 - - 1458 - - 1591 - - 1386 - - 1142 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 534 - - 681 - - 791 - - 794 - - 589 Hgt.Variab. W* 145 - - 142 - - 123 - - 57 - - 62 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 341 - - 321 - - 287 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - -2 - - 0 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 55 - - 495 - - 430 - - 208 - - -80 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1466 - - 963 - - 1161 - - 1178 - - 1223 sfcLCL ODpotential 26 - - 527 - - 419 - - 96 - - -13523 ODpotential blCL 1495 - - 931 - - 1172 - - 1290 - - 14665 blCL maxRH 103 - - 102 - - 101 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 25 - - 74 - - 169 - - 0 - - 1 CAPE Temp@2m 32.4 - - 33.9 - - 33.3 - - 32.3 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 32.2 - - 30.8 - - 29.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.1 - - 33.4 - - 33.2 - - 32.2 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 32.2 - - 30.7 - - 29.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 54 - - 30 - - 3 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 861 - - 798 - - 931 - - 726 - - 482 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 112 - - 110 - - 104 - - 95 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73570 27 273 19 260 22 269 24 278 22 287 73570 63257 32 254 35 272 35 267 39 236 44 245 63257 59244 58 231 55 230 63 238 59 255 56 245 59244 53094 52 252 57 261 71 256 75 259 73 252 53094 48961 83 255 89 245 88 242 95 243 90 250 48961 46349 91 244 99 242 98 239 106 236 106 240 46349 45136 99 246 103 240 103 238 111 238 113 239 45136 43950 102 242 102 242 108 233 108 236 114 237 43950 43258 102 248 103 241 111 233 106 240 112 236 43258 42964 102 251 103 241 111 233 108 243 111 236 42964 42952 102 252 110 242 110 233 113 242 110 238 42952 42016 102 251 113 244 106 232 116 242 110 238 42016 41255 102 248 111 245 122 260 123 247 111 239 41255 41244 102 248 111 246 123 258 125 248 112 239 41244 41233 104 248 110 247 119 255 126 247 118 242 41233 28854 92 242 105 250 102 241 115 243 107 232 28854 28188 85 241 93 248 97 239 101 232 100 228 28188 25777 79 240 85 244 86 243 96 235 94 229 25777 24288 74 230 70 237 80 245 88 239 90 230 24288 23327 67 230 64 233 75 244 82 237 88 233 23327 22209 58 230 63 233 57 234 77 236 85 234 22209 20910 55 234 59 232 57 234 71 235 82 233 20910 19344 53 234 52 231 53 238 63 232 73 234 19344 17989 46 226 45 235 50 242 54 234 65 238 17989 16452 41 220 41 239 52 242 52 237 58 241 16452 14541 37 221 40 243 50 240 53 238 50 236 14541 12938 35 225 41 243 45 238 53 241 49 237 12938 11740 31 222 42 237 47 232 47 246 46 246 11740 10411 29 224 42 232 49 228 36 245 44 252 10411 8874 28 228 42 232 48 227 36 246 41 253 8874 8342 31 231 43 233 49 226 34 247 38 251 8342 7818 31 232 43 234 49 226 33 249 34 249 7818 7300 30 234 41 235 49 226 32 252 31 248 7300 6789 27 239 39 238 48 226 28 257 30 247 6789 6285 24 241 35 241 46 226 24 267 29 246 6285 5789 22 237 31 247 43 227 21 276 27 244 5789 5299 21 231 27 252 40 229 20 280 23 239 5299 4818 18 224 22 246 36 237 20 279 21 237 4818 4344 14 218 20 232 28 242 19 274 19 238 4344 3878 11 217 21 229 19 229 17 257 19 241 3878 3421 6 156 10 227 17 229 13 244 19 245 3421 2974 6 058 3 220 10 247 12 256 21 235 2974 2537 6 030 1 037 9 289 11 280 18 229 2537 2114 12 010 5 010 11 317 13 292 10 246 2114 1703 13*354 9*346 11*322 10*290 7 250 1703 1301 12*352 9*342 9*322 6*286 3*205 1301 1036 11 351 8 341 9 321 5 287 2*199 1036 839 10 352 7 340 8 321 5 287 2 199 839 708 9 351 6 339 7 321 4 286 1 196 708 642 8 350 5 340 6 320 3 287 1 199 642 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography