DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 79.6 - - 74.2 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 96 - - -29 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1960 - - 3163 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1636 - - 2248 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2620 - - 3823 - - 742 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1516 - - 1293 - - 1685 - - 2897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 295 - - 39 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 101 - - 141 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1407 - - 72 - - -2628 - - -714 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4027 - - 3752 - - 3370 - - 1457 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4806 - - -3475 - - -7815 - - -2065 ODpotential blCL - - - 7426 - - 7298 - - 8557 - - 2808 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 59 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1020 - - 970 - - 130 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 79.6 - - 74.2 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.8 - - 65.2 - - 61.7 - - 65.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 78.9 - - 75.1 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 63.9 - - 61.0 - - 65.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 96 - - -29 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1960 - - 3163 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 101 - - 0 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98322 14 114 14 147 9 092 10 109 98322 90849 14 101 18 113 14 092 17 086 90849 85131 17 118 15 101 12 090 21 076 85131 80406 23 119 16 111 13 069 20 084 80406 76352 20 090 21 111 14 118 12 090 76352 72768 11 099 15 094 14 118 16 114 72768 69522 6 114 12 125 11 161 9 120 69522 66566 9 233 8 196 9 173 15 154 66566 63845 24 223 17 264 4 266 7 184 63845 61219 14 217 22 237 24 232 17 243 61219 58481 18 249 24 243 19 246 23 237 58481 55605 25 257 27 257 26 282 13 219 55605 52818 38 270 34 271 43 270 44 249 52818 50304 59 251 54 261 66 246 62 246 50304 48053 68 248 76 249 70 239 61 244 48053 46008 77 251 82 249 73 243 66 246 46008 44143 88 252 87 247 86 245 80 245 44143 42440 92 250 93 241 97 241 90 244 42440 40866 89 251 96 237 99 235 94 243 40866 39393 80 249 101 241 99 236 99 244 39393 38006 69 243 112 246 105 239 107 246 38006 36662 62 237 111 245 108 239 113 247 36662 35292 56 237 93 238 109 242 111 246 35292 33865 56 240 83 228 106 244 103 245 33865 32384 55 241 72 225 99 244 96 246 32384 30840 54 241 55 224 91 244 93 247 30840 29222 53 242 55 230 77 244 88 250 29222 27530 53 244 63 234 63 243 73 251 27530 25764 53 246 57 235 58 239 60 244 25764 23924 50 246 47 238 60 235 50 233 23924 22011 47 247 41 245 59 235 55 218 22011 20014 48 248 40 250 57 235 57 212 20014 17929 46 247 41 254 51 236 54 220 17929 15801 30 224 37 256 40 248 44 237 15801 13753 24 195 28 253 30 259 30 262 13753 11890 22 187 20 246 19 293 23 271 11890 10231 23 191 11 239 20 322 11 343 10231 8756 28 181 6 227 16 355 12 027 8756 7445 31 165 6 172 16 340 7 025 7445 6284 30 166 11 150 18 321 6 007 6284 5260 23 170 17 131 13 312 4 024 5260 4356 14 167 18*114 5 275 2 169 4356 3561 11 156 17*104 12 160 6 196 3561 2848 9*146 16 102 29 141 6 229 2848 2218 8*139 15 100 33 137 7 275 2218 1692 7 133 15 100 31 138 8 289 1692 1287 7 130 14 099 27 140 9 293 1287 1008 7 128 13 098 23 141 9 293 1008 839 6 127 12 098 19 141 8*294 839 743 6 127 11 099 14*141 4*303 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography