DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Truckee 6856ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1019z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.0 - - 22.5 - - 27.0 - - 28.8 - - 27.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 2 - - -1 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 160 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6856 - - 6856 - - 6856 - - 6856 - - 6856 Hcrit BL Top 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 - - 7016 - - 6872 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 655 - - 494 - - 724 - - 1244 - - 1134 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 13 - - 0 - - 13 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 247 - - 268 - - 295 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -4 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 144 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 sfcLCL ODpotential -10202 - - -6969 - - -5088 - - -51 - - -217 ODpotential blCL 17074 - - 13841 - - 11960 - - 7067 - - 7089 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.0 - - 22.5 - - 27.0 - - 28.8 - - 27.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 21.7 - - 26.4 - - 28.0 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.0 - - 22.5 - - 27.0 - - 28.7 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.6 - - 21.7 - - 26.4 - - 28.0 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 2 - - -1 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 160 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70883 27 017 27 032 27 039 24 031 25 028 70883 60552 24 318 35 350 33 348 26 017 24 012 60552 55863 34 008 36 011 43 359 58 350 59 353 55863 52366 58 351 65 356 72 346 73 339 72 339 52366 49318 75 337 70 336 65 341 67 343 72 344 49318 45776 73 337 68 340 68 350 80 354 86 350 45776 44213 78 352 75 351 87 353 89 351 95 348 44213 43310 95 357 89 356 100 350 97 348 101 345 43310 42773 103 355 101 352 106 349 101 346 102 344 42773 42362 106 352 107 349 109 347 105 345 103 343 42362 41908 109 350 112 347 112 346 107 344 103 342 41908 41411 112 349 117 345 114 345 109 342 105 341 41411 40791 114 348 120 345 114 343 111 341 107 341 40791 40078 115 351 123 344 112 342 110 339 106 340 40078 39319 118 352 126 345 109 341 106 339 102 341 39319 38249 119 352 127 347 102 346 104 339 98 346 38249 35962 109 352 125 352 111 353 105 347 100 351 35962 35093 100 350 124 353 116 351 108 353 100 355 35093 30376 77 343 113 352 115 352 106 350 95 350 30376 25516 66 344 93 344 105 353 94 347 86 346 25516 23159 64 342 83 339 96 350 87 347 79 345 23159 21399 65 339 77 333 89 346 80 347 74 345 21399 19283 65 338 74 330 85 342 77 346 71 345 19283 17567 62 336 71 329 82 343 75 346 68 344 17567 15992 59 332 68 328 75 343 69 346 65 345 15992 14526 57 328 67 327 69 341 66 345 63 345 14526 13591 57 326 68 324 64 335 65 343 63 345 13591 13215 56 321 69 323 62 331 64 342 62 345 13215 12855 57 319 65 321 62 328 63 341 62 345 12855 12499 56 316 65 320 62 326 63 340 62 345 12499 12147 56 315 64 320 62 326 63 339 61 345 12147 11800 56 313 63 319 62 325 62 339 61 346 11800 11456 57 312 61 319 62 325 62 338 61 346 11456 11117 56 310 60 318 62 325 61 337 60 347 11117 10781 56 308 59 317 61 325 61 337 60 347 10781 10450 55 306 57 315 61 325 60 336 59 348 10450 10123 54 303 54 314 59 325 60 335 58 348 10123 9799 52 298 52 311 57 324 58 334 57 349 9799 9479 50 294 50 308 56 323 58 333 56 349 9479 9163 47 289 47 302 52 320 56 332 54 348 9163 8851 45 284 44 297 48 316 52 327 49 346 8851 8544 42 278 41 289 43 311 47 322 43 341 8544 8242 39 271 39 281 39 305 43 317 38 335 8242 7942 34 262 35 270 35 298 39 312 33 329 7942 7647 31 249 32 256 31 289 35 307 29 323 7647 7354 27 243 27 246 26 279 29 302 24 316 7354 7160 23 242 22 245 22 273 25*299 20 312 7160 7016 20 242 18 246 18 271 22*297 17 310 7016 6920 16 242 14 246 14 270 17 295 13 308 6920 6872 10*243 9*247 9*268 10 292 8*306 6872 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography