DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1024z - - 1333z - - 1605z - - 1909z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 7.4 - - 11.2 - - 20.2 - - 17.0 - - 17.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 20 - - 10 - - -47 - - -87 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 621 - - 704 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7410 - - 7410 - - 7410 - - 7410 - - 7410 Hcrit BL Top 7428 - - 7428 - - 9631 - - 9714 - - 7428 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 898 - - 1228 - - 849 - - 712 - - 1914 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 29 - - 84 - - 32 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 22 - - 24 - - 28 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 293 - - 314 - - 332 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 13 - - 31 - - 29 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -4 - - -10 - - -24 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 2204 - - 2287 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7427 - - 7427 - - 7427 - - 7427 - - 7427 sfcLCL ODpotential -9592 - - -5802 - - 514 - - 609 - - -6957 ODpotential blCL 17020 - - 13230 - - 9117 - - 9105 - - 14385 blCL maxRH 92 - - 94 - - 98 - - 98 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 7.4 - - 11.2 - - 20.2 - - 17.0 - - 17.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.3 - - 7.1 - - 15.2 - - 13.1 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 11.2 - - 14.8 - - 23.8 - - 21.1 - - 21.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.3 - - 7.1 - - 15.2 - - 13.1 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 20 - - 10 - - -47 - - -87 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 621 - - 704 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 75 - - 91 - - 93 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70061 22 006 26 009 25 004 23 008 23 011 70061 57512 30 338 24 303 37 320 44 327 38 347 57512 53098 51 327 45 331 49 327 54 322 67 320 53098 50136 50 317 50 328 46 331 56 331 68 331 50136 46989 45 325 66 324 58 332 68 339 65 339 46989 43216 57 324 74 322 73 333 79 341 78 346 43216 41223 68 322 77 322 76 332 83 340 84 346 41223 39768 74 322 79 321 75 332 87 340 86 348 39768 38941 79 322 79 319 74 332 90 341 90 350 38941 38400 82 321 78 318 72 332 93 341 95 352 38400 37830 85 320 76 318 72 332 96 342 102 353 37830 37179 87 319 71 317 72 331 99 342 111 353 37179 36439 88 318 69 319 73 331 102 343 116 352 36439 35544 88 317 69 321 74 332 104 342 113 351 35544 34873 88 315 68 322 74 333 106 343 113 351 34873 34276 87 313 68 324 72 334 108 343 118 350 34276 33480 85 312 68 324 68 332 107 344 125 350 33480 32474 82 310 67 323 64 327 99 345 133 349 32474 31457 78 308 64 321 59 327 89 345 137 349 31457 30148 74 306 61 318 54 330 80 344 134 349 30148 29353 71 305 58 316 52 331 76 343 125 350 29353 28624 69 302 56 312 51 333 70 340 114 351 28624 27737 63 294 54 308 51 335 60 337 98 351 27737 26791 57 287 55 308 52 331 62 341 85 350 26791 25931 51 267 58 310 50 325 67 339 73 347 25931 25092 56 278 57 309 46 324 53 331 63 346 25092 24109 61 292 57 308 39 323 41 341 57 346 24109 23249 61 301 55 305 35 325 37 341 52 341 23249 17606 61 308 51 300 34 328 37 333 35 340 17606 14307 60 311 48 299 36 324 34 331 35 338 14307 12803 54 313 46 293 37 316 33 330 38 341 12803 12031 54 314 43 295 38 312 33 329 38 343 12031 11605 54 313 48 316 40 321 35 337 38 343 11605 11298 53 311 50 315 42 325 37 340 38 343 11298 10994 51 307 49 315 44 327 39 341 39 343 10994 10694 50 302 47 314 44 327 40 342 39 343 10694 10397 47 297 43 312 45 327 41 342 39 343 10397 10103 44 293 39 308 44 326 41 341 39 343 10103 9812 40 289 34 303 41*324 38*339 40 344 9812 9525 35 283 31 296 37*321 35*335 41 345 9525 9241 31 277 29 290 32 317 32 334 42 346 9241 8961 26 271 27 284 28 315 30 332 41 347 8961 8685 20 269 25 281 25 313 27 332 38 347 8685 8411 13 272 20 281 22 312 24 331 35 348 8411 8140 5 283 15 285 20 311 22 331 32 348 8140 7871 3 336 9 292 17 310 19 330 28 349 7871 7693 4 011 6 302 15 309 17 329 25 349 7693 7559 5 015 4 300 13 308 14 328 21 349 7559 7471 4*018 3*299 10 307 10 327 17*349 7471 7427 3*020 2*302 6 305 6 326 10*349 7427 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography