DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 58.9 - - 58.9 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 222 - - 104 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4689 - - 5186 - - 4273 - - 2121 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12005 - - 12571 - - 11487 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13699 - - 14196 - - 13283 - - 11131 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2368 - - 1492 - - 1913 - - 2823 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 398 - - 467 - - 342 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 22 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 277 - - 290 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 19 - - 29 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - -10 - - -19 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3521 - - 3752 - - 2326 - - 2667 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10179 - - 10444 - - 10957 - - 8464 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1847 - - -832 - - -4308 - - -4549 ODpotential blCL - - - 15546 - - 15028 - - 17591 - - 15680 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 60 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 58.9 - - 58.9 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 37.6 - - 35.5 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 61.2 - - 61.9 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 36.4 - - 34.3 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 222 - - 104 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4689 - - 5186 - - 4273 - - 2121 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98648 22 104 31 117 23 097 20 086 98648 91210 17 119 20 111 13 118 27 084 91210 85410 16 126 12 144 6 127 14 102 85410 80574 12 122 10 164 4 160 6 142 80574 76418 7 144 6 146 4 182 7 168 76418 72755 7 198 4 256 1 148 9 148 72755 69428 6 222 7 276 3 278 3 157 69428 66356 10 290 6 273 2 301 2 259 66356 63505 14 274 13 268 6 341 7 305 63505 60753 13 257 14 257 11 333 7 282 60753 57910 24 293 17 292 16 292 18 293 57910 54982 38 319 26 318 24 321 22 317 54982 52195 46 319 41 319 39 309 33 315 52195 49700 43 321 44 321 41 311 39 314 49700 47474 42 326 43 329 37 325 41 320 47474 45468 41 330 47 326 44 332 45 329 45468 43651 51 333 54 321 54 331 56 330 43651 41991 56 328 57 321 64 328 59 326 41991 40449 53 328 58 323 65 325 55 324 40449 39003 54 331 59 325 61 324 52 322 39003 37646 55 332 57 326 58 324 50 318 37646 36352 54 332 56 327 54 322 49 315 36352 35061 51 332 55 327 51 320 49 313 35061 33746 48 331 53 328 46 317 49 311 33746 32413 45 330 49 329 43 316 47 308 32413 31052 43 329 45 329 41 316 41 303 31052 29653 42 328 42 326 39 318 36 296 29653 28219 39 327 40 322 37 320 32 293 28219 26753 30 321 35 315 33 322 30 295 26753 25261 25 310 33 305 30 321 28 296 25261 23746 26 304 31 297 28 318 26 296 23746 22207 28 305 30 292 29 312 27 297 22207 20636 28 307 29 291 29 306 28 296 20636 19060 27 306 29 293 28 302 28 295 19060 17553 24 301 27 295 28 299 29 293 17553 16184 22 294 26 292 29 297 30 289 16184 14960 20 291 25*286 29 295 32 285 14960 13858 19*290 24*279 30*292 34 283 13858 12860 18*289 20 275 29*290 34 282 12860 11953 17 290 18 273 27 288 33*283 11953 11130 15 291 17 274 24 288 31*285 11130 10385 14 293 17 275 23 289 28 286 10385 9709 13 294 17 277 22 290 25 288 9709 9089 13 294 16 278 21 291 22 289 9089 8527 12 294 16 280 20 292 18 290 8527 8049 12 294 15 281 19 293 15 292 8049 7675 11 295 14 282 18 293 11 295 7675 7414 10 294 13 282 16 294 7 301 7414 7255 9 293 12 283 14 294 5 309 7255 7163 7 293 9 283 10 295 2 333 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography