DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0716z - - 1022z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.0 - - 22.9 - - 27.8 - - 29.2 - - 27.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 64 - - 166 - - 24 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 663 - - 643 - - 1197 - - 1404 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 518 - - 518 - - 941 - - 518 - - 518 Hcrit BL Top 1258 - - 1238 - - 1792 - - 1999 - - 535 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 565 - - 363 - - 498 - - 328 - - 1463 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 139 - - 236 - - 134 - - 8 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 296 - - 075 - - 071 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1798 - - -1694 - - -2012 - - -1278 - - -2091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3056 - - 2932 - - 3804 - - 3277 - - 2626 sfcLCL ODpotential -17222 - - -16057 - - -15349 - - -13779 - - -14678 ODpotential blCL 18480 - - 17295 - - 17141 - - 15778 - - 15213 blCL maxRH 77 - - 89 - - 71 - - 75 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.0 - - 22.9 - - 27.8 - - 29.2 - - 27.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.0 - - 12.4 - - 13.3 - - 17.0 - - 17.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.0 - - 22.5 - - 26.7 - - 29.1 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.0 - - 12.4 - - 13.3 - - 17.0 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 64 - - 166 - - 24 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 663 - - 643 - - 1197 - - 1404 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 58 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 72732 25 292 25 294 26 274 38 268 39 261 72732 60368 44 261 47 263 36 268 35 246 36 255 60368 55616 60 261 61 265 59 265 63 267 57 275 55616 51911 76 267 76 258 72 259 76 250 86 259 51911 48803 98 264 89 263 99 257 88 259 89 262 48803 44994 114 253 103 262 107 259 105 260 118 257 44994 43403 112 253 106 262 110 263 119 262 120 252 43403 41792 114 257 114 265 116 264 132 262 131 252 41792 40680 121 259 124 266 121 265 137 262 128 253 40680 40230 125 259 133 265 126 266 142 261 128 255 40230 39790 130 261 144 263 137 265 149 259 131 256 39790 39473 142 264 154 262 144 263 153 257 136 255 39473 39263 166 265 161 262 150 261 163 256 139 254 39263 38883 172 263 172 262 156 260 167 255 148 255 38883 38053 166 262 175 261 168 258 171 255 158 256 38053 37700 158 260 165 260 170 256 168 251 168 255 37700 33282 149 259 156 259 163 255 154 250 160 248 33282 31207 141 260 145 258 151 253 142 248 139 244 31207 30075 137 261 136 258 139 252 136 245 125 242 30075 28044 126 258 127 257 131 255 128 246 115 242 28044 25339 119 256 120 260 125 257 122 250 113 241 25339 23671 114 258 113 260 117 257 118 252 108 245 23671 22317 98 258 104 259 110 253 114 254 103 251 22317 20620 91 259 90 254 104 255 108 255 99 254 20620 19430 87 255 87 251 96 258 99 260 92 256 19430 18666 82 256 84 254 84 257 88 265 80 258 18666 17495 76 256 76 255 79 260 71 262 68 255 17495 16286 76 252 75 248 75 261 63 265 59 255 16286 15128 68 255 73 248 68 260 59 263 56 262 15128 11723 60 256 67 254 63 261 55 259 47 258 11723 10344 55 255 62 259 59 255 45 258 44 262 10344 9743 50 259 58 260 54 256 45 254 39 259 9743 9313 47 260 48 258 46 259 41 248 34 256 9313 8779 45 256 42 254 40 260 36 248 30 256 8779 7224 37 265 34 264 32 262 28 254 23 258 7224 5905 27 269 24 273 23 262 17 267 15 269 5905 5112 17 283 17 280 19 257 13 264 9 256 5112 4588 10 298 16 281 14 258 10 261 6 226 4588 4130 6 334 12 286 10 249 8 236 6 196 4130 3688 8 020 4 316 6 212 5 184 9 147 3688 3253 11 032 4 027 6 154 6 143 13 126 3253 2827 13 032 7 036 8 122 9 121 14 119 2827 2407 14 033 9 037 10 109 12*118 15 123 2407 1994 14 031 9 038 11*107 8*083 14 121 1994 1589 11*023 9*034 4*077 7 072 10 114 1589 1189 3*352 5*300 3 075 7 071 9 110 1189 926 3 351 4 296 3 074 6 070 8 107 926 729 3 351 3 294 3 073 6 070 5 102 729 599 2 349 3 294 3 072 5 070 4*095 599 534 2 348 2 294 2 074 4 068 2*089 534 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography