DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0715z - - 1020z - - 1329z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.7 - - 42.5 - - 44.5 - - 45.8 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 37 - - -19 - - -15 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 257 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 29 - - 29 - - 29 - - 29 - - 29 Hcrit BL Top 46 - - 322 - - 46 - - 46 - - 46 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 45 - - 874 - - 2637 - - 3141 - - 2594 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 87 - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 281 - - 304 - - 308 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 2 - - -2 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -44 - - -982 - - -1308 - - -1413 - - -1070 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 90 - - 1304 - - 1354 - - 1459 - - 1116 sfcLCL ODpotential -10802 - - -9788 - - -1455 - - -1727 - - -1926 ODpotential blCL 10848 - - 10110 - - 1501 - - 1773 - - 1972 blCL maxRH 85 - - 84 - - 83 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.7 - - 42.5 - - 44.5 - - 45.8 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 37.2 - - 38.9 - - 39.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.0 - - 42.3 - - 44.8 - - 46.0 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 37.2 - - 38.9 - - 39.6 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 37 - - -19 - - -15 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 257 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 36 - - 31 - - 2 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 72095 13 223 20 229 20 239 17 229 19 237 72095 61603 39 271 25 262 22 266 37 258 39 283 61603 56085 73 258 68 272 61 273 56 264 45 253 56085 50149 47 255 73 269 63 264 69 260 85 276 50149 48437 68 265 70 263 68 267 84 269 109 270 48437 46341 76 270 77 267 91 264 107 264 120 266 46341 44335 81 271 80 265 94 260 120 260 130 257 44335 42045 92 274 85 270 93 263 107 264 107 253 42045 40535 94 274 90 272 98 267 111 270 101 259 40535 40078 95 274 92 272 103 269 114 272 105 266 40078 39802 97 275 93 272 109 270 117 273 111 270 39802 39551 100 276 99 278 115 272 119 273 117 272 39551 39311 108 277 115 281 125 275 125 274 125 274 39311 38912 114 278 133 282 138 276 136 276 134 275 38912 38314 116 280 136 283 146 277 147 277 149 276 38314 37191 114 280 134 283 143 276 159 276 157 274 37191 35512 109 280 128 281 135 273 146 269 157 272 35512 34442 104 280 120 279 127 270 132 264 151 269 34442 33404 101 282 109 277 120 271 122 263 144 266 33404 29707 96 280 107 277 106 267 110 261 123 260 29707 27693 79 263 90 265 96 257 101 260 117 263 27693 25571 67 253 81 260 90 251 96 260 107 264 25571 23484 61 254 77 257 86 249 93 258 95 261 23484 21897 55 255 62 232 82 251 88 257 91 263 21897 20428 50 252 58 243 73 252 81 256 87 263 20428 19279 49 251 57 251 58 246 71 254 81 261 19279 17578 46 251 59 259 59 247 62 254 74 259 17578 15690 43 252 59 264 59 245 56 250 68 250 15690 14374 43 257 49 260 51 236 51 248 68 248 14374 11750 44 261 47 259 47 234 46 247 59 245 11750 9854 43 258 46 253 46 238 44 246 54 245 9854 8768 39 255 46 254 48 250 41 240 51 247 8768 7828 37 261 45 253 50 256 38 240 44 250 7828 6787 36 263 44 254 48 259 34 243 37 248 6787 5717 36 269 43 254 46 259 31 247 33 250 5717 5222 36 273 41 255 42 258 28 250 29 255 5222 4735 36 278 38 255 37 255 24 254 24 260 4735 4257 36 282 36 255 33 254 18 267 21 271 4257 3788 35 285 33 256 27 262 17 290 19 289 3788 3330 34 288 30 261 19 281 17 311 19 321 3330 2882 32 290 27 271 16 316 13 322 18 333 2882 2442 24 290 25 277 18 324 12 319 18 333 2442 2007 20 296 23 279 16 317 12 319 17 333 2007 1577 23 323 18 303 14 313 12 320 18 334 1577 1153 24 325 17 316 14 311 11 319 19 335 1153 733 23 326 15 309 13 309 11 318 19 337 733 456 10 301 12*288 12 308 9 317 16 336 456 250 9 290 8*282 10 307 7 315 12 336 250 113 6*277 6 280 9*305 5*312 8*334 113 45 2*235 5 279 6*304 4*308 6*333 45 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography