DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Panoche 2275ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1023z - - 1335z - - 1612z - - 1901z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.6 - - 62.5 - - 77.3 - - 75.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 24 - - 185 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2516 - - 1102 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2275 - - 2275 - - 3641 - - 2275 - - 2275 Hcrit BL Top 2291 - - 2291 - - 4791 - - 3377 - - 2291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 12 - - 263 - - 2861 - - 4103 - - 141 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 30 - - 317 - - 19 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 259 - - 211 - - 255 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 11 - - 20 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3279 - - -7000 - - -8329 - - -8195 - - -4440 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5570 - - 9292 - - 13121 - - 11573 - - 6731 sfcLCL ODpotential -17079 - - -16147 - - -14781 - - -14127 - - -10740 ODpotential blCL 19370 - - 18438 - - 19572 - - 17504 - - 13031 blCL maxRH 23 - - 33 - - 49 - - 24 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.6 - - 62.5 - - 77.3 - - 75.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 30.6 - - 27.6 - - 33.0 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.1 - - 62.1 - - 75.9 - - 75.6 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 30.6 - - 27.6 - - 33.0 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 24 - - 185 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2516 - - 1102 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75181 15 091 16 093 16 101 17 102 13 087 75181 61483 5 248 4 177 4 212 8 186 7 201 61483 57613 8 207 6 207 7 207 12 212 12 208 57613 54801 11 223 13 235 5 230 7 250 8 205 54801 52356 11 227 13 237 6 220 12 224 13 227 52356 49143 15 204 16 237 16 273 16 278 12 287 49143 48029 13 156 20 198 19 259 22 283 20 289 48029 47000 4 071 12 160 20 228 25 266 21 276 47000 46149 6 352 5 177 10 223 22 251 21 268 46149 45421 8 335 5 199 11 229 21 241 22 263 45421 44549 7 325 5 197 11 227 21 231 22 257 44549 43437 9 328 4 214 11 234 19 225 22 250 43437 41996 10 322 6 259 12 241 18 226 22 249 41996 40359 9 311 7 273 12 246 18 234 22 251 40359 38252 7 290 9 284 10 243 21 252 23 256 38252 35895 5 251 8 278 11 239 19 252 24 259 35895 32440 4 251 8 273 11 229 17 256 21 257 32440 29069 5 269 8 275 8 217 15 249 16 248 29069 25732 7 243 8 260 7 224 13 225 15 231 25732 21588 12 233 11 262 10 228 14 219 16 211 21588 18542 12 240 14 262 11 250 12 232 16 208 18542 16930 13 249 14 256 11 252 12 243 14 217 16930 15983 12 247 13 249 10 247 12 247 14 229 15983 15072 8 232 12 245 9 242 12 252 14 235 15072 14450 7 219 10 223 8 247 12 259 14 243 14450 12621 8 206 10 215 9 224 9 246 12 236 12621 11695 10 201 11 212 10 214 9 237 12 231 11695 11175 10 191 11 207 10 210 9 228 11 224 11175 10663 12 189 13 203 11 207 9 222 11 218 10663 10158 14 189 15 199 11 203 11 215 12 212 10158 9660 15 187 15 192 11 186 10 201 11 195 9660 9170 15 183 16 183 12 182 10 183 12 179 9170 8686 14 178 16 178 13 179 12 173 14 169 8686 8210 14 173 16 177 13 177 14 172 14 166 8210 7740 13 167 16 175 13 177 15 174 15 169 7740 7277 12 159 13 166 13 181 15 178 16 174 7277 6820 10 147 11 153 13 186 12 176 15 183 6820 6370 9 142 10 147 12 189 11 177 15 193 6370 5925 6 142 9 143 12 191 10 183 14 204 5925 5486 5 148 9 141 12 191 8 189 14 211 5486 5053 5 158 8 141 12*190 7 191 14 217 5053 4624 4 168 8 142 12*188 6 195 14 219 4624 4201 5 181 7 140 8 192 5 200 12 221 4201 3782 5 197 6 138 5 213 4 207 11 212 3782 3369 5 218 5 137 5 220 3*223 10 207 3369 2959 7 237 4 154 5 227 2*249 5 211 2959 2689 8 245 3 180 4 232 2 264 2 273 2689 2489 8 259 3 226 4 234 2 273 5 333 2489 2357 7 254 3 217 4 237 2 273 7 332 2357 2291 2*234 1*259 4 237 2 273 3*327 2291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography