DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 79.3 - - 75.4 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 261 - - 365 - - 221 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1299 - - 2587 - - 1324 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2963 - - 3995 - - 2927 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3621 - - 4910 - - 3646 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 725 - - 1834 - - 951 - - 680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 407 - - 276 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 305 - - 302 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3219 - - -4521 - - -3725 - - -1912 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6840 - - 9431 - - 7371 - - 4251 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8433 - - -8544 - - -8070 - - -8313 ODpotential blCL - - - 12054 - - 13454 - - 11716 - - 10652 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 39 - - 48 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 79.3 - - 75.4 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 46.0 - - 51.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 77.0 - - 73.7 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 44.9 - - 50.4 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 261 - - 365 - - 221 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1299 - - 2587 - - 1324 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98373 21 082 21 092 21 097 26 097 98373 90977 19 116 15 106 20 099 23 097 90977 85254 17 126 12 120 11 083 17 103 85254 80470 8 127 13 120 7 112 10 103 80470 76342 7 110 7 143 8 147 5 164 76342 72706 8 102 4 157 6 165 4 173 72706 69435 3 360 5 013 1 103 1 138 69435 66434 8 264 8 339 9 006 3 073 66434 63651 4 235 9 306 14 343 11 014 63651 60980 6 278 10 288 15 304 15 342 60980 58212 10 343 9 329 14 285 14 305 58212 55331 14 345 13 348 10 324 10 298 55331 52575 16 336 12 319 11 329 11 333 52575 50097 12 357 7 319 8 299 11 312 50097 47877 20 023 10 008 9 003 5 315 47877 45870 26 029 18 017 16 032 7 067 45870 44045 28 032 20 022 18 037 13 067 44045 42376 26 038 22 035 18 045 13 073 42376 40829 23 047 23 045 18 049 15 073 40829 39378 22 050 22 046 16 050 12 065 39378 38012 22 049 20 042 14 044 9 065 38012 36692 23 048 19 039 12 030 9 073 36692 35355 24 051 18 041 9 022 7 063 35355 33972 26 055 18 046 9 034 6 048 33972 32547 29 056 21 048 12 045 7 053 32547 31063 30 056 20 048 12 041 7 049 31063 29510 27 061 17 045 10 033 7 029 29510 27888 22 060 14 039 10 025 9 023 27888 26196 17 045 12 030 10 027 8 037 26196 24435 13 027 9 023 8 014 4 029 24435 22607 13 008 9 007 8 007 4 349 22607 20708 15 002 10 349 9 003 6 348 20708 18738 13 001 9 323 10 348 7 002 18738 16735 10 006 7 302 12 320 10 359 16735 14807 9 000 8 306 10 307 10 340 14807 13053 9 343 6 311 7 304 8 317 13053 11490 7 343 4 294 3 293 4 277 11490 10096 5 351 4 269 3 275 4 249 10096 8850 6 343 5 260 5 273 4 257 8850 7739 8 335 5 272 6 277 5 282 7739 6752 9 332 5 300 7 280 7 297 6752 5877 10 332 5 309 7 282 8 300 5877 5101 10 329 5*308 9 284 9 297 5101 4404 7 316 6*306 10 289 10 290 4404 3785 6*300 6 306 11*298 11 291 3785 3268 6*292 7 305 11*301 12 300 3268 2872 6 290 7 304 11 302 12 310 2872 2599 6 288 7 304 11 302 10 314 2599 2434 5 287 7 303 10 303 9*314 2434 2339 5 286 6 303 9 303 5*312 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography