DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Minooka_IL 600ft pt36314@41.266,-88.244,595ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0942z - - 1027z - - 1338z - - 1618z - - 1907z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.5 - - 23.6 - - 29.0 - - 30.8 - - 30.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 18 - - 137 - - 48 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 367 - - 1354 - - 2306 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 546 - - 546 - - 934 - - 546 - - 546 Hcrit BL Top 563 - - 967 - - 1954 - - 2906 - - 563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1252 - - 418 - - 1841 - - 1159 - - 3302 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 79 - - 231 - - 199 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 312 - - 310 - - 279 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2524 - - -2276 - - -2603 - - -3344 - - -2500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3087 - - 3243 - - 4557 - - 6250 - - 3063 sfcLCL ODpotential -6036 - - -11469 - - -14639 - - -19289 - - -3109 ODpotential blCL 6599 - - 12436 - - 16593 - - 22195 - - 3672 blCL maxRH 60 - - 59 - - 81 - - 70 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.5 - - 23.6 - - 29.0 - - 30.8 - - 30.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.5 - - 12.0 - - 11.4 - - 5.6 - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.5 - - 23.6 - - 28.3 - - 30.5 - - 30.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.5 - - 12.0 - - 11.4 - - 5.6 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 18 - - 137 - - 48 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 367 - - 1354 - - 2306 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 69928 19 319 25 316 19 325 24 318 27 334 69928 61069 40 316 40 320 44 321 48 327 43 316 61069 55685 59 320 58 329 58 327 60 332 53 333 55685 51964 75 324 71 330 67 334 77 332 70 333 51964 48932 79 323 83 329 79 329 85 328 80 336 48932 45129 77 326 89 325 84 324 85 328 82 329 45129 43405 84 330 88 326 82 328 84 332 84 328 43405 42296 93 333 89 332 83 333 86 334 84 327 42296 41443 99 334 94 339 86 336 88 335 83 331 41443 40794 103 335 98 340 89 337 90 335 84 334 40794 40067 107 336 103 341 94 337 93 335 90 336 40067 39213 113 338 108 342 98 337 94 336 103 338 39213 38629 116 338 112 342 102 336 98 338 107 338 38629 38209 116 338 117 342 104 337 102 338 108 336 38209 38172 117 339 122 342 106 337 108 338 111 334 38172 36641 120 339 126 342 107 338 112 338 112 335 36641 36078 123 340 130 341 109 339 115 337 114 335 36078 35571 126 341 138 342 117 342 118 338 115 334 35571 32484 128 341 144 342 126 341 121 337 115 333 32484 28110 133 342 139 345 122 337 117 337 102 333 28110 25726 135 343 131 345 113 338 108 338 92 331 25726 24396 131 343 121 344 103 338 100 337 87 328 24396 23098 124 342 113 343 98 333 91 337 83 326 23098 21500 116 340 106 340 99 327 86 334 83 326 21500 19840 110 338 103 336 90 330 85 334 84 327 19840 18396 104 337 97 333 82 330 83 335 82 328 18396 16911 99 336 91 331 77 331 78 336 78 329 16911 15998 93 336 89 332 76 328 72 335 69 330 15998 15055 85 335 83 335 73 328 66 333 60 330 15055 14040 79 334 77 334 69 328 61 333 54 328 14040 12878 77 335 76 334 63 330 55 335 49 326 12878 11705 75 336 71 335 58 332 50 333 41 328 11705 10600 70 337 66 336 53 336 43 333 37 328 10600 9697 64 338 62 336 48 337 38 334 32 330 9697 8735 55 339 53 338 42 338 33 332 23 329 8735 7593 45 340 44 339 35 338 29 330 17 328 7593 6501 37 344 34 339 29 336 22 325 13 324 6501 5611 30 348 26 347 24 342 15 317 10 305 5611 4960 20 345 13 006 16 351 10 302 8 292 4960 4356 11 006 9 357 11 347 7 295 6 275 4356 3720 20 013 16 003 7 358 5*226 10 243 3720 2886 23 006 18 002 12 348 4*261 9 244 2886 2465 27 360 20 357 14 341 7 279 8 244 2465 2048 29 356 23 356 15*334 7 281 8 245 2048 1637 26 340 24 348 13*312 7 281 7 246 1637 1230 21 330 21*327 12 310 6 281 6 247 1230 961 18 328 16*315 12 309 6 280 5 245 961 761 16 326 13 312 11 308 6 281 5 244 761 628 14*325 12 310 10 308 5 280 3*232 628 562 11*324 9 309 8 307 5 279 2*200 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography