DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1024z - - 1333z - - 1604z - - 1908z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.4 - - 46.3 - - 53.9 - - 48.3 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 234 - - 199 - - -22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 1639 - - 2754 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5034 - - 5702 - - 6449 - - 5034 - - 5034 Hcrit BL Top 5051 - - 6488 - - 7603 - - 5051 - - 5051 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 481 - - 476 - - 1928 - - 3555 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 304 - - 343 - - 11 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 12 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 213 - - 262 - - 242 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 8 - - -8 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3382 - - -5256 - - -3547 - - -4001 - - -2334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8433 - - 11744 - - 11150 - - 9052 - - 7385 sfcLCL ODpotential -17449 - - -13608 - - -7729 - - -9873 - - -10526 ODpotential blCL 22500 - - 20096 - - 15332 - - 14924 - - 15577 blCL maxRH 101 - - 88 - - 90 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.4 - - 46.3 - - 53.9 - - 48.3 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.1 - - 12.8 - - 22.5 - - 26.2 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.9 - - 44.3 - - 52.2 - - 48.3 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.1 - - 12.8 - - 22.5 - - 26.2 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 234 - - 199 - - -22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 1639 - - 2754 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 50 - - 62 - - 56 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 71895 25 290 20 282 20 274 19 269 21 268 71895 63510 68 257 59 260 57 278 55 262 52 266 63510 58846 25 261 45 241 49 258 43 255 50 256 58846 52494 65 254 69 248 75 238 73 247 76 246 52494 48903 84 242 75 238 85 228 83 245 69 250 48903 46550 87 227 79 227 86 227 93 241 91 242 46550 45407 85 221 79 231 87 230 96 238 95 240 45407 43398 83 228 78 239 93 242 101 243 91 242 43398 42456 83 234 88 247 98 246 102 246 89 246 42456 42068 91 239 94 249 105 249 104 245 87 241 42068 41701 100 236 103 250 115 249 111 244 86 237 41701 41095 103 238 119 250 122 249 117 243 100 242 41095 40631 108 244 131 250 134 249 119 244 115 242 40631 40311 108 236 134 247 132 241 132 239 130 242 40311 36155 110 235 129 242 129 238 124 238 129 238 36155 30946 107 234 115 234 121 235 113 232 115 232 30946 27280 103 239 111 236 119 239 106 236 112 224 27280 25498 88 233 105 237 109 240 98 233 105 225 25498 25319 83 229 98 238 98 235 92 237 99 228 25319 24108 76 229 86 232 89 225 85 234 84 230 24108 21945 70 229 78 230 80 230 76 225 77 235 21945 20513 66 227 72 234 77 234 72 235 73 238 20513 19711 62 224 65 231 76 236 73 241 71 237 19711 18692 58 225 61 225 68 228 70 238 70 234 18692 16409 54 224 57 225 63 226 67 237 68 234 16409 14904 50 224 53 224 58 230 63 241 64 238 14904 13876 45 231 49 226 54 235 62 240 62 241 13876 12824 42 236 46 235 51 241 64 239 57 243 12824 11975 39 238 46 237 50 247 59 240 54 247 11975 11450 38 238 45 240 51 251 57 241 50 253 11450 11042 37 238 44 244 51 255 55 244 47 255 11042 10649 35 239 43 248 50 259 53 249 43 256 10649 10261 34 239 41 252 49 264 52 253 40 255 10261 9878 34 240 39 255 46 266 49 255 36 254 9878 9499 33 241 36 256 45 270 42 254 33 250 9499 9124 32 243 35 257 44 274 35 252 29 247 9124 8754 32 244 32 256 41 274 30 251 25 245 8754 8388 31 245 31 257 37 273 27 250 21 244 8388 8027 31 246 31 257 31 270 24 250 18 247 8027 7670 30 247 31 257 24*268 21 248 16 251 7670 7316 29 248 30 256 17*266 19 246 15 257 7316 6967 24 245 26 249 13 262 18 243 15 264 6967 6620 15 228 18*237 12 261 16 242 14 271 6620 6278 8 177 8*209 12 261 16 242 14 274 6278 5939 7 114 7 213 12 262 15 244 13 275 5939 5602 10 070 7 214 11 261 15 246 13 276 5602 5381 9 059 6 215 11 261 14 246 11 275 5381 5215 8 055 6 215 10 261 12 245 9 267 5215 5106 7*055 5 214 9 262 10*244 6*253 5106 5051 6*055 5 215 8 261 8*242 3*236 5051 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography