DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.0 - - 89.2 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 105 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13737 - - 11951 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15669 - - 12957 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18586 - - 16800 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 933 - - 3463 - - - - - 1885 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 796 - - 453 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 090 - - 120 - - - - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 20 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3687 - - 1994 - - - - - -3739 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14899 - - 14806 - - - - - 8896 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1882 - - 1004 - - - - - -7527 ODpotential blCL - - - 16704 - - 15796 - - - - - 12683 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 100 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 150 - - - - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.0 - - 89.2 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 41.7 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.8 - - 88.0 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 41.6 - - - - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 105 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13737 - - 11951 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 101 - - - - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98477 26 115 29 126 19 079 98477 90995 20 121 18 101 25 096 90995 85252 24 095 23 108 27 103 85252 80498 25 088 28 100 28 094 80498 76431 20 089 26 084 29 083 76431 72868 18 110 24 079 26 092 72868 69662 20 118 18 094 19 092 69662 66739 15 112 15 126 14 102 66739 64063 11 126 15 151 13 121 64063 61507 18 138 14 154 12 153 61507 58854 11 165 9 162 15 166 58854 56096 17 188 15 200 14 189 56096 53462 16 177 25 189 21 202 53462 51088 19 221 21 200 28 206 51088 48948 26 230 26 225 34 218 48948 46987 29 246 34 228 38 216 46987 45170 39 258 36 239 36 225 45170 43473 43 257 40 247 38 237 43473 41881 43 253 45 248 39 238 41881 40379 41 253 47 247 39 240 40379 38967 37 260 44 245 42 242 38967 37614 37 270 40 253 45 237 37614 36257 40 276 39 264 43 236 36257 34866 42 278 39 267 37 247 34866 33447 40 276 40 265 33 254 33447 31985 34 267 40 268 31 254 31985 30466 29 258 34 261 31 258 30466 28893 24 252 29 244 28 256 28893 27271 20 247 27 239 25 247 27271 25603 14 221 23 237 24 245 25603 23896 14 228 17 223 19 246 23896 22147 14 216 11 255 11 236 22147 20354 8*138 2 315 2 283 20354 18549 12*071 2 025 8 359 18549 16819 13 074 4*055 6 005 16819 15243 12 088 4*081 3 057 15243 13833 11 092 5 096 6 085 13833 12566 9 095 7 109 9 084 12566 11423 6 098 8 116 10 087 11423 10393 3 108 9 120 12 096 10393 9467 2 120 10 123 13 108 9467 8636 2 131 10 125 15 119 8636 7891 2 147 11 126 18 129 7891 7214 2 161 11 128 25 132 7214 6607 2 174 11 128 29 131 6607 6095 2 185 11 129 28 130 6095 5697 2 188 11 129 25 129 5697 5421 2 191 11 129 19 128 5421 5253 2 187 10 130 16*127 5253 5156 2 192 9 130 9*124 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography