DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1019z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 49.0 - - 54.4 - - 51.3 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -67 - - 164 - - 259 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 159 - - 1475 - - 431 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2343 - - 2343 - - 4287 - - 2343 - - 2343 Hcrit BL Top 2360 - - 3696 - - 5012 - - 3968 - - 2360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 61 - - 993 - - 455 - - 987 - - 1421 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 122 - - 298 - - 89 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 210 - - 331 - - 245 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 18 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - 14 - - 17 - - 26 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7237 - - -6829 - - -5049 - - -4106 - - -2364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9598 - - 10525 - - 10062 - - 8074 - - 4724 sfcLCL ODpotential -20258 - - -17810 - - -14930 - - -14098 - - -12004 ODpotential blCL 22618 - - 21506 - - 19942 - - 18066 - - 14364 blCL maxRH 77 - - 60 - - 85 - - 86 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 49.0 - - 54.4 - - 51.3 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.1 - - 11.5 - - 18.8 - - 24.5 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 48.7 - - 53.8 - - 52.0 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.1 - - 11.5 - - 18.7 - - 24.5 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -67 - - 164 - - 259 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 159 - - 1475 - - 431 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 41 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 71886 21 350 22 000 19 011 20 014 23 008 71886 61894 14 308 12 329 17 333 18 343 21 355 61894 58343 40 348 29 347 30 356 37 005 26 001 58343 52873 28 353 41 005 36 347 30 339 46 016 52873 50163 37 011 39 349 48 352 59 359 60 349 50163 47540 50 359 43 352 50 346 60 354 54 343 47540 45019 47 353 49 358 41 346 55 354 56 356 45019 43146 32 000 46 006 47 003 61 005 76 001 43146 42410 71 025 70 022 58 005 73 007 86 001 42410 41977 78 019 87 018 63 007 81 006 91 359 41977 41575 82 016 93 015 76 010 89 004 95 358 41575 41164 87 013 99 012 93 007 95 002 99 357 41164 40650 92 011 104 011 100 005 99 359 104 357 40650 39974 100 009 108 009 106 004 100 357 107 355 39974 39044 111 010 113 008 110 003 98 354 104 354 39044 37944 122 011 120 008 111 003 96 352 96 352 37944 35159 111 011 115 009 106 004 90 354 89 353 35159 33077 98 011 100 009 95 003 83 356 88 003 33077 29798 76 010 68 003 69 358 82 006 89 004 29798 23172 58 010 54 000 57 352 77 008 76 359 23172 21193 50 011 50 002 54 349 63 360 70 359 21193 20160 47 014 49 005 53 348 59 357 63 359 20160 18486 48 017 50 006 52 345 56 359 52 350 18486 16372 48 016 49 008 50 343 51 352 51 351 16372 15152 42 011 46 008 47 340 51 348 49 355 15152 13915 37 007 43 003 44 338 53 344 47 357 13915 12394 36 004 41 002 42 341 50 344 47 355 12394 11235 35 360 39 002 41 346 46 348 46 354 11235 10479 33 355 37 002 41 350 44 349 45 354 10479 9937 28 349 33 003 40 351 43 349 42 352 9937 9451 25 342 29 004 40 352 40 346 38 350 9451 8973 22 335 27 001 39 353 38 344 35 347 8973 8502 20 331 25 358 38 353 36 342 33 345 8502 8038 19 322 23 353 36 353 34 341 30 342 8038 7580 19 317 21 349 35 353 32 339 29 339 7580 7130 18 312 19 343 34 353 30 339 28 337 7130 6687 17 310 17 338 33 353 27 338 27 335 6687 6250 15 309 16 332 32 353 25 339 26 333 6250 5820 14 311 14 326 30 354 22 341 25 332 5820 5396 12 316 13 321 25*356 20 346 23 329 5396 4979 10 323 12 317 16*360 15 353 19 325 4979 4569 9 330 11 317 9 358 8 359 15 323 4569 4166 7 329 9 317 6 352 4*357 11 318 4166 3769 4 345 5*315 4 337 2*293 7 306 3769 3378 1 318 2*261 4 307 5 251 5 288 3378 2992 1 120 4 203 4 279 7 243 4 276 2992 2737 3 106 4 207 4 265 7 239 3 273 2737 2548 8 090 4 207 4 257 7 238 2 288 2548 2422 11*075 4 208 4 254 6 237 2*323 2422 2359 7*067 4 211 4 253 5 238 1*355 2359 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography